XOP – State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF

ETF

Equity Energy | Inception: 2006-06-19

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$189.54
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▲ Long
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms uptrend – bulls in control
+25.65%
Signal Edge
Strong positive edge across 3 signals – signal has a clear statistical advantage
39.9
Trend Strength (ADX)
Strong trend – directional signals reliable
Options Signals
21%
IV-Rank (52w)
IV in normal range – no clear vol edge
57% / 43%
Call / Put Flow
Neutral flow – call and put activity roughly balanced
Last Trendchange Signal
17.07.26
Date
Signal entry date
$170.18
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
23d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
+2.76%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
+5.28%
+20d
Return after 20 trading days
+11.38%
+30d
Return after 30 trading days
+60d
Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Trend Building – Constructive Composite Score: +4 / 7

XOP is trending in a positive direction but the setup is not yet fully developed. Momentum has been running for 8 days and is still gaining strength – the trend is building. The overall configuration is constructive but not yet at peak alignment.

What to watch

The trend deserves respect but not blind confidence. Position sizing should reflect the incomplete alignment. A further improvement in momentum strength and ADX would raise conviction.

XOP Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 21.08.2026  ·  Close: $189.54  ·  ATR14: $2.27

Trend Building – Constructive Composite Score: +4 / 7

XOP is trending in a positive direction but the setup is not yet fully developed. Momentum has been running for 8 days and is still gaining strength – the trend is building. The overall configuration is constructive but not yet at peak alignment.

What to watch

The trend deserves respect but not blind confidence. Position sizing should reflect the incomplete alignment. A further improvement in momentum strength and ADX would raise conviction.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▲ Long Primary directional bias
Momentum ▲ Up · 8d Strength: 0.84 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX) 39.9 – Strong ADX38: 37.8
Volatility (HV30) 29.5% – Calm HV90: 31.8% | HV180: 30.4%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Golden Cross ✓ Stack: Mostly aligned (2/3)
EMA21 Distance 5.16 ATR ↑ EMA21: $175.60
GD200 Extension 9.6 ATR – Extended GD20: 3.3 | GD50: 5.9 | GD100: 5.4
🚀 Momentum Accelerating
Upward momentum active for 8 days and still gaining strength (current: 0.84). Trend is building, not fading.
💪 Trend Strength – ADX14: 39.9 (Strong)
A strong and well-defined trend. ADX38: 37.8. Trend-following has clear edge here.
🔻 Volatility Calm
HV30: 29.5% | HV90: 31.8% | HV180: 30.4%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.
⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish
Golden Cross in place. GD50 $167.34 above GD200 $155.54 by 7.59%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Mostly aligned (2/3).
📈 EMA21 – Trend Accelerating
Price is pulling away from the EMA21 ($175.60) with 5.16 ATR distance and growing.
📏 Extended Move
9.6 ATR from the 200-day SMA. The trend may be maturing. Disciplined stop management becomes increasingly important.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $176.46 (3.3 ATR) | GD50: $167.34 (5.9 ATR) | GD100: $168.86 (5.4 ATR) | GD200: $155.54 (9.6 ATR). ATR14: $2.27.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -8.53 -0.29 1.27 3.12 -10.21 -0.99 5.35 -7.78 6.24 2.65 8.50 6.93 22.81
2011 6.48 7.64 8.07 -1.58 -2.78 -0.10 4.27 -14.00 -18.84 34.66 6.14 -3.62 -0.09
2012 -0.13 8.68 -5.52 -2.56 -15.90 11.10 1.20 2.78 5.92 -4.29 -2.44 3.31 0.14
2013 5.12 -1.21 4.79 -4.10 7.64 -4.19 6.36 -3.31 5.28 3.60 -1.99 1.16 25.15
2014 -2.02 8.82 3.66 7.43 0.35 8.23 -8.27 7.17 -11.08 -8.93 -14.27 -4.07 -27.93
2015 -4.49 3.95 3.78 9.80 -9.53 -4.76 -15.12 2.94 -8.80 11.34 -2.27 -18.87 -36.43
2016 -6.19 -10.61 20.77 19.74 0.14 -2.85 -3.25 12.30 5.14 -8.28 18.28 -1.32 37.62
2017 -4.59 -4.83 -3.54 -6.27 -6.65 -3.07 -0.28 -6.57 11.61 -0.03 1.20 2.25 -10.74
2018 -3.43 -10.87 5.66 15.71 7.78 2.34 1.85 0.00 3.57 -17.54 -10.80 -21.47 -30.05
2019 T
11.90
-3.00 1.34 -0.71 -14.49 5.78 -7.98 -8.10 T
6.04
-1.99 T
-6.82
T
16.86
-11.96
2020 -19.02 -18.33 -45.85 T
75.15
3.74 -1.72 1.40 T
-0.92
-17.32 -0.22 T
28.23
9.30 -36.29
2021 8.95 22.72 -1.32 -6.27 T
7.40
2.35 -16.35 1.85 T
18.38
7.18 -11.12 3.03 65.23
2022 T
6.16
5.23 13.26 -4.82 T
17.14
-24.73 13.32 T
7.97
-9.59 T
13.95
-0.70 -8.22 38.78
2023 T
9.90
-3.43 -5.41 T
-5.06
-6.44 T
8.29
10.87 4.29 -2.91 T
1.57
-4.79 T
-1.57
15.22
2024 -3.57 T
6.20
8.89 -2.93 2.65 -1.46 0.36 -1.73 -2.14 T
-2.24
T
12.48
-7.97 -4.04
2025 T
-0.49
-2.24 T
5.73
-16.41 T
6.08
3.86 1.00 T
7.53
-1.76 -5.70 T
4.98
-6.53 -6.35
2026 T
8.75
13.23 13.96 1.92 T
-7.18
-8.11 T
15.38
8.76 46.98

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for XOP:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
17.07.26 $170.18 23d +2.76% +5.28% +11.38% +0%
04.05.26 $181.01 6d -6.45% -8.24% -8.24% +2.4%
21.01.26 $134.63 59d +3.83% +9.97% +19.42% +23.38%
13.11.25 $131.92 29d -0.18% +0.83% -0.14% +13.37%
27.08.25 $131.40 23d +0.28% +2.95% +1.92% +0.25%
13.05.25 $127.35 17d -3.61% -0.98% -0.95% +5.16%
27.03.25 $131.82 9d +1.46% +1.46% +1.46% +0%
14.01.25 $142.89 12d -3.9% -2.53% -5.65% -6.4%
08.11.24 $140.03 27d +4.91% -0.44% -0.44% -1.28%
03.10.24 $139.81 10d -3.82% -2.95% +1.09% +0%

Signal Statistics – Historical Edge

Calculated edge for XOP: 25.65%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
10-15% 3 +11.63% +12.2% +12.89% +37.38% Hold
7-10% 2 +7.86% +11.35% +21.64% +4.49% Close
5-7% 3 +6.08% +5.43% +7.75% +20.81% Hold
3-5% 6 +4.43% +6.37% +8.97% +7.28% Close
1-3% 5 +1.83% +4.14% +6.86% +0.08% Close
0-1% 3 +0.35% +0.65% +0.31% +0.66% Close
-1-0% 2 -0.42% +6.05% +2.44% +21.05% Neg
-3-1% 6 -1.99% +1.5% +1.67% -2.75% Neg
-5-3% 8 -3.94% -2.2% -1.72% -1.79% Neg
-7-5% 2 -6.43% -7.32% -7.32% +5.44% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 5% after 10 days

Signal data as of August 21, 2026

LOW ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 2.8

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
21%
IV is in its normal historical range – no structural vol edge in either direction.
Call / Put Flow
57% / 43%
Call and put premium are roughly balanced. No clear directional bias from options flow.
GEX (Mio.)
1,429,903.2
Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.
GEX Flip Strike
$185.00 · 2.4%
The GEX flip strike is the price level where dealer gamma exposure shifts from positive to negative. A break through this level often accelerates the move.
Max Pain
$185.00 · 2.4%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$189.54
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

XOP GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

XOP GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

About State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF

In seeking to track the performance of the S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Select Industry Index, the fund employs a sampling strategy. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 80%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index represents the oil and gas exploration and production segment of the S&P Total Market Index ("S&P TMI").

Fund Overview

MetricValue
Assets under Management$2.69 B
Expense Ratio0.35%
Dividend Yield2.00%
Portfolio Turnover33%
YTD Return2,173.78%
3-Year Return18.50%
5-Year Return20.15%

Sector Allocation

Sector Weight
Energy 99.3%

Top 10 Holdings

Symbol Company Weight
VG VENTURE GLOBAL INC ORDINARY SHARES CLASS A 4.48%
TPL TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP 3.73%
OXY OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP 2.9%
PBF PBF ENERGY INC CLASS A 2.87%
APA APA CORP 2.85%
CRC CALIFORNIA RESOURCES CORP ORDINARY SHARES NEW 2.82%
VLO VALERO ENERGY CORP 2.81%
OVV OVINTIV INC 2.79%
XOM EXXON MOBIL CORP 2.78%
CVX CHEVRON CORP 2.74%

Frequently Asked Questions – State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.