XLK – State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF

ETF

Technology | Inception: 1998-12-16

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$183.31
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▲ Long
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms uptrend – bulls in control
+9.34%
Signal Edge
Slim positive edge across 3 signals – treat with caution
9.4
Trend Strength (ADX)
Weak / ranging – trend signals less reliable
Options Signals
15%
IV-Rank (52w)
Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored
53% / 47%
Call / Put Flow
Neutral flow – call and put activity roughly balanced
Last Trendchange Signal
07.08.26
Date
Signal entry date
$187.97
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
3d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
-2.59%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
+20d
Not yet reached
+30d
Not yet reached
+60d
Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Pullback to EMA21 – Potential Entry Zone Composite Score: -1 / 7

XLK is pulling back toward the 21-day EMA at $182.55 within an intact uptrend. The primary swing trend remains positive and momentum, while fading slightly, has not reversed. This kind of measured pullback to a rising EMA is a textbook continuation setup.

What to watch

The EMA21 at $182.55 is the level to watch. A bounce with renewed momentum from this zone would be a trendline entry with a clear invalidation level directly below the EMA.

Options Signal Highlight

Latest XLK Reports

Aug 21, 2026
Apr 22, 2026
Exchange Traded Funds - Signals XLK Trade Setup: 11.60% Edge with Clear Exit Rules
Apr 08, 2026

XLK Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 21.08.2026  ·  Close: $183.31  ·  ATR14: $2.32

Pullback to EMA21 – Potential Entry Zone Composite Score: -1 / 7

XLK is pulling back toward the 21-day EMA at $182.55 within an intact uptrend. The primary swing trend remains positive and momentum, while fading slightly, has not reversed. This kind of measured pullback to a rising EMA is a textbook continuation setup.

What to watch

The EMA21 at $182.55 is the level to watch. A bounce with renewed momentum from this zone would be a trendline entry with a clear invalidation level directly below the EMA.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▲ Long Primary directional bias
Momentum ▲ Up · 13d Strength: 0.22 – Fading
Trend Strength (ADX) 9.4 – Weak ADX38: 14.9
Volatility (HV30) 30.1% – Calm HV90: 32.2% | HV180: 28.1%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Golden Cross ✓ Stack: Mostly aligned (2/3)
EMA21 Distance ~0 ATR – Near line EMA21: $182.55
GD200 Extension 6.8 ATR – Extended GD20: 0.1 | GD50: 0.1 | GD100: 2.2
⚠️ Momentum Fading
Upward momentum has been running 13 days but strength is declining (0.22). The trend is intact but losing energy.
⚪ Trend Strength – ADX14: 9.4 (Weak)
Weak or ranging market. ADX38: 14.9. Trend-following signals carry lower reliability.
🔻 Volatility Calm
HV30: 30.1% | HV90: 32.2% | HV180: 28.1%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.
⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish
Golden Cross in place. GD50 $183.04 above GD200 $158.39 by 15.56%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Mostly aligned (2/3).
🎯 EMA21 – Reaction Zone
Price is within 0.5 ATR of the EMA21 at $182.55. Watch for a decisive bounce or break.
📏 Extended Move
6.8 ATR from the 200-day SMA. The trend may be maturing. Disciplined stop management becomes increasingly important.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $182.76 (0.1 ATR) | GD50: $183.04 (0.1 ATR) | GD100: $174.54 (2.2 ATR) | GD200: $158.39 (6.8 ATR). ATR14: $2.32.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -9.93 2.31 5.14 1.43 -8.73 -4.81 7.87 -7.55 8.48 5.73 -1.72 2.98 8.25
2011 2.04 0.49 0.04 2.81 -0.68 -0.81 -1.19 -5.23 -2.36 12.74 1.30 -1.20 -0.08
2012 4.73 6.04 3.57 -2.17 -6.65 5.63 1.28 4.56 1.12 -6.14 -0.72 -0.83 11.78
2013 -1.38 -0.34 1.99 2.43 3.70 -3.87 3.19 -2.09 1.94 4.12 3.06 3.35 19.89
2014 -1.61 6.63 1.08 -0.90 3.64 1.56 0.67 3.84 -0.97 3.21 4.37 -1.57 16.84
2015 -3.32 6.90 -4.58 2.90 0.63 -4.81 2.16 -5.01 1.44 10.45 -0.18 -3.43 3.78
2016 -2.44 T
-1.01
5.14 -5.75 T
4.12
-1.61 6.86 0.97 1.36 -0.46 T
1.04
3.96 14.41
2017 2.64 3.75 0.41 2.10 3.18 -3.44 T
5.19
2.40 0.54 6.35 1.40 0.69 31.07
2018 5.73 T
-0.50
-2.42 2.51 T
5.46
-2.28 T
1.18
5.65 0.03 -8.44 -3.10 -10.74 -4.26
2019 T
6.87
6.28 3.73 4.93 -8.43 T
10.49
1.88 -1.03 T
2.51
4.88 4.12 5.49 47.81
2020 2.08 -8.51 -14.02 T
19.43
10.20 6.69 5.51 9.19 -7.31 T
-6.00
T
11.10
3.97 39.22
2021 0.81 -1.11 -1.55 T
3.11
-0.65 7.22 3.71 3.93 -6.03 T
6.57
4.61 4.48 35.94
2022 -7.72 -5.12 T
5.26
-10.75 -2.17 -9.22 T
13.19
-6.01 -11.75 4.42 T
7.22
-8.60 -29.10
2023 T
10.30
-50.95 11.43 0.04 8.85 4.77 2.80 -1.67 T
-6.96
-1.01 T
10.75
3.72 -21.92
2024 5.46 3.40 -1.18 -6.02 T
8.18
7.38 -4.01 T
4.60
7.40 0.90 4.39 -1.45 24.05
2025 T
-0.50
T
-0.95
-5.57 T
0.95
8.38 8.71 4.69 2.09 8.49 5.64 -5.20 T
0.56
24.13
2026 -0.29 -4.47 -4.76 T
18.23
18.01 -2.68 -5.53 T
2.96
27.03

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for XLK:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
07.08.26 $187.97 3d -2.59% +0% +0% +0%
08.04.26 $141.69 72d +9.18% +16.9% +22.27% +29.37%
24.12.25 $146.30 36d -1.41% -0.46% -0.71% +26.06%
08.12.25 $147.63 3d -3.43% +0% +0% +0%
29.04.25 $104.55 81d +8.9% +11.05% +15.19% +38.94%
13.02.25 $119.58 16d -4.45% -4.45% -4.45% -2.6%
22.01.25 $120.69 6d -3.21% +0.33% +0% +0%
21.08.24 $112.79 16d -7.05% -3.73% -1.64% +1.3%
09.05.24 $102.39 56d +5.06% +5.04% +11.54% +9.26%
03.11.23 $85.88 80d +6.65% +8.05% +11.61% +35.91%

Signal Statistics – Historical Edge

Calculated edge for XLK: 9.34%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
7-10% 3 +8.97% +11.92% +14.64% +13.64% Hold
5-7% 4 +5.73% +6.37% +8.18% +16.47% Hold
3-5% 1 +4.23% +4.25% +9.83% +47.46% Hold
1-3% 8 +2.01% +3.71% +4.86% +10.76% Hold
0-1% 2 +0.52% +4.81% +5.87% +5.68% Close
-1-0% 2 -0.34% -0.78% +0.5% +22.5% Neg
-3-1% 4 -1.99% -0.47% -0.52% +12.49% Neg
-5-3% 5 -3.93% -2.54% -1.79% -0.52% Neg
-10-7% 1 -7.05% -3.73% -1.64% +1.3% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 1% after 10 days

Signal data as of August 21, 2026

HIGH ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 7.5

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
15%
Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).
Call / Put Flow
53% / 47%
Call and put premium are roughly balanced. No clear directional bias from options flow.
GEX (Mio.)
3,397,420.0
Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.
GEX Flip Strike
$172.50 · 5.9%
The GEX flip strike is the price level where dealer gamma exposure shifts from positive to negative. A break through this level often accelerates the move.
Max Pain
$187.00 · 2%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$183.31
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

XLK GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

XLK GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, one setup stands out. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 15% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages
Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side
Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle
An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously
Risks
Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid
Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches
If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless
FAQ: Long Straddle
What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

About State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF

In seeking to track the performance of the index, the fund employs a replication strategy, which means that the fund typically invests in substantially all of the securities represented in the index in approximately the same proportions as the index. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The fund is non-diversified.

Fund Overview

MetricValue
Assets under Management$87.69 B
Expense Ratio0.08%
Dividend Yield0.54%
Portfolio Turnover5%
YTD Return-359.76%
3-Year Return22.84%
5-Year Return15.72%

Sector Allocation

Sector Weight
Information Technology 98.9%

Top 10 Holdings

Symbol Company Weight
NVDA NVIDIA CORP 15.16%
AAPL APPLE INC 12.72%
MSFT MICROSOFT CORP 10.12%
AVGO BROADCOM INC 5.22%
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC 4.41%
PLTR n/a 3.1%
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC 2.84%
CSCO CISCO SYSTEMS INC 2.76%
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC 2.45%
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORP 2.45%

Frequently Asked Questions – State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.