XLI – State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF

ETF

Industrials | Inception: 1998-12-16

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$180.25
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▲ Long
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms uptrend – bulls in control
+5.82%
Signal Edge
Slim positive edge across 8 signals – treat with caution
12.0
Trend Strength (ADX)
Weak / ranging – trend signals less reliable
Options Signals
27%
IV-Rank (52w)
IV in normal range – no clear vol edge
65% / 35%
Call / Put Flow
Bullish positioning – call premium dominates options flow
Last Trendchange Signal
12.06.26
Date
Signal entry date
$176.18
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
32d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
+2.85%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
+3.26%
+20d
Return after 20 trading days
+3.98%
+30d
Return after 30 trading days
+3.28%
+60d
Return after 60 trading days

Trend Overview

Trend Under Pressure – Bearish Composite Score: -2 / 7

XLI is showing signs of trend deterioration. The primary trend is losing structural support. Momentum has been running negative for -2 days though selling strength is beginning to ease. The moving average structure is breaking down.

What to watch

This is not an environment for new long exposure. If holding a position, reassess the stop placement relative to the EMA21 at $182.12 and GD50 at $181.80.

Latest XLI Reports

Apr 28, 2026
Apr 15, 2026

XLI Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 21.08.2026  ·  Close: $180.25  ·  ATR14: $1.41

Trend Under Pressure – Bearish Composite Score: -2 / 7

XLI is showing signs of trend deterioration. The primary trend is losing structural support. Momentum has been running negative for -2 days though selling strength is beginning to ease. The moving average structure is breaking down.

What to watch

This is not an environment for new long exposure. If holding a position, reassess the stop placement relative to the EMA21 at $182.12 and GD50 at $181.80.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▲ Long Primary directional bias
Momentum ▼ Down · -2d Strength: -0.11 – Fading
Trend Strength (ADX) 12.0 – Weak ADX38: 13.6
Volatility (HV30) 16.1% – Calm HV90: 18.8% | HV180: 18.4%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Golden Cross ✓ Stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack
EMA21 Distance -1.92 ATR ↓ EMA21: $182.12
GD200 Extension 4.5 ATR – Normal GD20: -1.2 | GD50: -0.6 | GD100: 1.4
🟡 Downside Momentum Easing
Downward momentum has run -2 days but strength is decreasing (-0.11). The move may be exhausting.
⚪ Trend Strength – ADX14: 12.0 (Weak)
Weak or ranging market. ADX38: 13.6. Trend-following signals carry lower reliability.
🔻 Volatility Calm
HV30: 16.1% | HV90: 18.8% | HV180: 18.4%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.
⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish
Golden Cross in place. GD50 $181.80 above GD200 $169.57 by 7.21%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack.
📉 EMA21 – Gap Narrowing
Price is -1.92 ATR from the EMA21 ($182.12) but the distance is shrinking.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $183.34 (-1.2 ATR) | GD50: $181.80 (-0.6 ATR) | GD100: $176.82 (1.4 ATR) | GD200: $169.57 (4.5 ATR). ATR14: $1.41.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -3.32 3.78 6.91 3.59 -10.90 -5.22 10.75 -8.74 6.72 2.78 1.34 4.25 23.13
2011 3.19 0.71 4.00 1.90 -2.61 2.31 -8.52 -5.98 -8.32 17.68 4.57 -0.09 -3.90
2012 5.02 1.69 0.16 -1.73 -6.60 5.81 1.27 2.22 1.53 -0.57 -0.03 3.19 9.89
2013 3.27 1.24 2.10 0.48 6.40 -2.51 4.85 -4.11 4.72 4.11 2.92 4.12 34.66
2014 -2.91 7.03 1.20 0.63 2.17 -0.41 -4.71 4.33 -1.94 5.87 3.21 0.71 9.80
2015 -3.43 3.81 -3.88 0.42 -0.92 -3.57 -0.20 -4.95 -0.08 9.02 -0.29 -3.62 -6.19
2016 -4.42 4.51 4.38 0.77 -0.94 0.07 3.29 1.07 -0.44 -2.09 10.03 -0.96 18.97
2017 1.26 4.09 -2.85 2.19 2.09 0.25 -0.32 0.51 3.62 0.06 4.22 2.83 20.90
2018 4.74 -3.69 -1.14 -0.74 3.55 -4.82 7.15 1.61 1.77 -11.64 2.01 -12.22 -15.38
2019 10.86 6.20 -1.81 1.87 -7.03 6.73 0.43 -0.72 3.88 T
3.62
2.27 0.97 25.84
2020 -2.29 T
-9.87
-22.00 T
13.95
8.67 1.30 T
4.88
8.02 -2.06 T
-1.15
12.97 0.84 6.67
2021 -1.90 T
5.79
5.94 3.19 2.08 -2.97 T
0.22
1.81 -6.02 T
5.35
-3.83 T
6.48
22.45
2022 -4.00 -2.19 T
4.65
-6.89 -0.67 -7.20 T
8.56
-2.94 -10.98 T
10.56
7.91 -3.48 -6.41
2023 T
3.49
-1.58 -0.19 T
-1.34
-3.67 T
9.41
2.87 -2.28 -6.82 -2.02 T
8.48
4.83 15.82
2024 0.04 5.39 3.65 -2.78 T
1.89
-0.11 T
6.06
4.76 5.36 -1.24 7.45 -7.82 16.77
2025 T
5.37
-0.47 -2.47 T
-0.45
8.03 3.42 2.70 T
1.52
T
2.44
0.82 -0.46 T
2.43
18.14
2026 4.72 5.74 -9.60 T
6.17
0.10 T
7.44
-1.92 -1.59 14.10

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for XLI:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
12.06.26 $176.18 32d +2.85% +3.26% +3.98% +3.28%
03.06.26 $174.05 4d +2.66% +0% +0% +0%
14.04.26 $173.35 16d -0.48% +0.97% +0.55% +0%
03.12.25 $154.21 42d +1.2% +0.59% +7.5% +14.25%
19.09.25 $153.12 24d +0.71% +0.08% +1.03% +5.81%
28.08.25 $153.42 2d +0% -1.43% +0% +0%
24.04.25 $129.02 65d +3.98% +9.53% +11.39% +20.04%
23.01.25 $141.67 7d -3.21% -2.69% -2.69% +1.46%
16.07.24 $128.19 25d -1.65% -4.26% +0.74% +7.54%
09.05.24 $125.59 13d -0.22% -0.9% -0.9% +1.24%

Signal Statistics – Historical Edge

Calculated edge for XLI: 5.82%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
3-5% 8 +3.75% +6.31% +7.35% +11.92% Hold
1-3% 15 +1.99% +2.64% +4.36% +7.12% Hold
0-1% 5 +0.5% +0.09% +0.52% +2.97% Close
-1-0% 8 -0.44% +0.27% +0.49% -0.84% Neg
-3-1% 5 -1.76% -1.54% +0.31% +0.3% Neg
-5-3% 2 -3.13% +0.4% +6.52% +12.88% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 1% after 10 days

Signal data as of August 21, 2026

MEDIUM ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 4

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
27%
IV is in its normal historical range – no structural vol edge in either direction.
Call / Put Flow
65% / 35%
More than 60% of options premium is flowing into calls. This indicates net bullish positioning by market participants.
GEX (Mio.)
-728,037.3
Negative GEX: market makers are short gamma. They sell dips and buy rallies, which amplifies moves and increases volatility.
GEX Flip Strike
$182.50 · 1.2%
GEX flip strike is very close to spot price. Crossing this level can trigger a regime change – from suppressed to amplified volatility.
Max Pain
$181.00 · 0.4%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$180.25
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

XLI GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

XLI GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

About State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF

Under normal market conditions, the fund generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index includes companies that have been identified as Industrial companies by the Global Industry Classification Standard, including securities of companies from the following industries: aerospace and defense; industrial conglomerates; marine transportation. It is non-diversified.

Fund Overview

MetricValue
Assets under Management$31.65 B
Expense Ratio0.08%
Dividend Yield1.02%
Portfolio Turnover3%
YTD Return1,424.60%
3-Year Return20.28%
5-Year Return12.09%

Sector Allocation

Sector Weight
Industrials 99.7%

Top 10 Holdings

Symbol Company Weight
CAT CATERPILLAR INC 6.43%
GE GE AEROSPACE 6.29%
RTX RTX CORP 5.42%
GEV GE VERNOVA INC 4.4%
BA BOEING CO 3.28%
UBER UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC 3.04%
HON HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC 2.92%
DE DEERE & CO 2.82%
UNP UNION PACIFIC CORP 2.82%
ETN EATON CORP PLC 2.75%

Frequently Asked Questions – State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.