XBI – State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF

ETF

Health | Inception: 2006-01-31

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$150.23
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▼ Short
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms downtrend – bears in control
+4.99%
Signal Edge
Slim positive edge across 1 signals – treat with caution
39.2
Trend Strength (ADX)
Strong trend – directional signals reliable
Options Signals
27%
IV-Rank (52w)
IV in normal range – no clear vol edge
72% / 28%
Call / Put Flow
Bullish positioning – call premium dominates options flow
Last Trendchange Signal
15.06.26
Date
Signal entry date
$136.40
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
48d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
+16.06%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
+13.97%
+20d
Return after 20 trading days
+14.53%
+30d
Return after 30 trading days
+14.53%
+60d
Return after 60 trading days

Trend Overview

Volatility Compression – Wait for Breakout Composite Score: 0 / 7

XBI has been in a volatility compression for 6 consecutive sessions. Price is coiling and the range is contracting. This kind of structure typically resolves with an expansion in one direction – and the underlying trend bias remains negative, which tilts the probability toward a downside continuation. The key question is not if the move happens, but when and which way.

What to watch

This is a waiting game. Define the breakout level in advance, set alerts at the range boundaries, and let the market make the first move.

XBI Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 07.10.2026  ·  Close: $150.23  ·  ATR14: $2.86

Volatility Compression – Wait for Breakout Composite Score: 0 / 7

XBI has been in a volatility compression for 6 consecutive sessions. Price is coiling and the range is contracting. This kind of structure typically resolves with an expansion in one direction – and the underlying trend bias remains negative, which tilts the probability toward a downside continuation. The key question is not if the move happens, but when and which way.

What to watch

This is a waiting game. Define the breakout level in advance, set alerts at the range boundaries, and let the market make the first move.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▼ Short Primary directional bias
Momentum ▼ Down · -22d Strength: -0.26 – Fading
Trend Strength (ADX) 39.2 – Strong ADX38: 8.9
Volatility (HV30) 25.8% – Calm HV90: 30.6% | HV180: 30.0%
Vola Compression 6 days active Potential breakout building
MA Structure Golden Cross ✓ Stack: Mostly aligned (2/3)
EMA21 Distance -1.32 ATR ↑ EMA21: $154.41
GD200 Extension 2.7 ATR – Normal GD20: -1.3 | GD50: -1.8 | GD100: -0.2
🟡 Downside Momentum Easing
Downward momentum has run -22 days but strength is decreasing (-0.26). The move may be exhausting.
💪 Trend Strength – ADX14: 39.2 (Strong)
A strong and well-defined trend. ADX38: 8.9. Trend-following has clear edge here.
🔻 Volatility Calm
HV30: 25.8% | HV90: 30.6% | HV180: 30.0%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.
🗜️ Volatility Compression – 6 Days Active
Price has been compressing for 6 sessions. The longer the compression, the more powerful the potential breakout.
⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish
Golden Cross in place. GD50 $158.18 above GD200 $139.30 by 13.55%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Mostly aligned (2/3).
📈 EMA21 – Trend Accelerating
Price is pulling away from the EMA21 ($154.41) with -1.32 ATR distance and growing.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $155.88 (-1.3 ATR) | GD50: $158.18 (-1.8 ATR) | GD100: $151.19 (-0.2 ATR) | GD200: $139.30 (2.7 ATR). ATR14: $2.86.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 1.43 0.78 1.16 -0.15 -11.78 -3.09 8.50 -6.24 10.30 0.42 0.37 5.03 15.77
2011 -3.27 0.70 7.36 9.78 1.56 -0.30 -3.79 -10.07 -3.68 16.65 2.34 1.09 3.90
2012 15.60 -2.57 3.65 0.08 -0.88 13.01 -2.34 1.50 3.06 -10.54 4.12 -0.04 32.94
2013 4.22 -2.20 5.17 7.41 7.71 -4.90 12.74 -4.17 5.82 -9.72 9.08 -0.71 42.98
2014 14.79 14.21 -12.57 -11.51 1.50 18.36 -6.69 11.64 -2.53 11.36 4.84 7.00 44.25
2015 5.97 9.23 3.79 -6.54 11.73 5.71 2.50 -12.83 -13.30 6.73 1.85 -2.44 12.39
2016 -25.47 -6.00 3.01 1.45 5.55 -6.96 11.20 -5.47 9.91 -15.15 10.27 -3.15 -12.49
2017 8.92 8.09 -2.95 T
4.58
-6.12 T
11.09
0.34 T
8.75
2.35 -4.92 0.87 T
1.78
42.81
2018 7.06 -3.46 T
-1.93
3.73 T
7.68
-1.45 -1.04 T
5.00
-4.06 -16.37 -2.50 -15.21 -17.56
2019 T
14.75
6.13 -1.38 -5.78 -5.02 T
9.14
-2.91 -6.44 -3.06 T
9.36
11.95 3.02 30.56
2020 -5.88 T
-2.13
-16.47 T
27.49
14.01 7.54 -2.80 -1.86 T
1.78
-0.05 18.13 6.02 49.00
2021 8.46 -7.28 -10.49 -0.30 -5.10 T
7.08
-10.89 T
7.19
-6.94 -1.08 T
-10.28
-0.15 -20.55
2022 -19.06 -5.38 T
0.89
-20.83 -10.42 T
9.97
6.00 5.31 -7.24 2.72 0.96 -0.11 -28.10
2023 T
9.05
-7.67 -8.30 T
4.07
2.81 -2.21 1.63 -4.92 -10.00 -6.26 T
11.72
14.72 10.11
2024 -3.10 10.62 -6.54 -9.83 T
2.06
1.41 6.47 2.62 0.14 -0.96 T
0.35
T
-9.31
-0.19
2025 1.25 T
-2.96
-5.26 T
6.13
-4.01 2.08 3.11 4.56 7.88 11.16 12.11 1.74 33.21
2026 2.66 T
0.02
0.93 T
2.16
T
4.81
T
18.43
-6.09 10.31 -3.50 -2.77 23.63

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

XBI - Trendchange Chart

StockBotty Trendchange XBI Chart

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for XBI:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
15.06.26 $136.40 48d +16.06% +13.97% +14.53% +14.53%
29.05.26 $136.69 1d -2.25% +0% +0% +0%
07.04.26 $128.85 21d +6.94% +1.79% +1.79% +0%
24.02.26 $129.16 3d -2.02% -2.02% -2.02% +0%
29.04.25 $81.88 12d -6.7% -6.7% -6.7% -6.7%
05.02.25 $94.70 4d -5.97% -5.97% -5.97% -5.97%
06.12.24 $99.14 4d -2.19% -2.19% -2.19% -2.19%
06.11.24 $102.44 9d -5.35% -5.35% -5.35% +0%
14.05.24 $90.78 8d -1.82% -1.82% -1.82% -1.82%
17.11.23 $72.66 54d +7.12% +17.97% +24.18% +21.58%

Signal Statistics - Historical Edge

Calculated edge for XBI: 4.99%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
15-20% 1 +16.06% +13.97% +14.53% +14.53% Hold
10-15% 2 +12.04% +17.62% +18.27% +18.97% Hold
7-10% 3 +8.01% +10.71% +12.86% +12% Hold
5-7% 9 +6.02% +7.37% +9.17% +9.24% Hold
3-5% 8 +3.92% +4.18% +5.37% +5.25% Close
1-3% 9 +1.68% +2.72% +3.39% +4.21% Hold
0-1% 3 +0.55% +2.65% -0.3% -0.3% Close
-1-0% 6 -0.43% -0.54% -0.47% -0.01% Neg
-3-1% 18 -2.02% -0.54% -0.74% -0.04% Neg
-5-3% 6 -3.89% -4.38% -3.63% -3.63% Neg
-7-5% 6 -5.99% -6.77% -6.77% -4.17% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 1% after 10 days

Signal data as of October 7, 2026

MEDIUM ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 5.5

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
27%
IV is in its normal historical range – no structural vol edge in either direction.
Call / Put Flow
72% / 28%
More than 60% of options premium is flowing into calls. This indicates net bullish positioning by market participants.
GEX (Mio.)
-10,689,290.3
Negative GEX: market makers are short gamma. They sell dips and buy rallies, which amplifies moves and increases volatility.
GEX Flip Strike
$146.00 · 2.8%
The GEX flip strike is the price level where dealer gamma exposure shifts from positive to negative. A break through this level often accelerates the move.
Max Pain
$150.00 · 0.2%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$150.23
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

XBI GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

XBI GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

About State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF

In seeking to track the performance of the S&P Biotechnology Select Industry Index (the "index"), the fund employs a sampling strategy. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 80%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index represents the biotechnology segment of the S&P Total Market Index ("S&P TMI").

Fund Overview

MetricValue
Assets under Management$8.06 B
Expense Ratio0.35%
Dividend Yield-0.13%
Portfolio Turnover43%
YTD Return4.46%
3-Year Return18.85%
5-Year Return-1.31%

Sector Allocation

Sector Weight
Healthcare 96.1%

Top 10 Holdings

Symbol Company Weight
MRNA MODERNA INC 2.31%
ROIV ROIVANT SCIENCES LTD ORDINARY SHARES 1.79%
ACLX ARCELLX INC 1.67%
PCVX VAXCYTE INC ORDINARY SHARES 1.63%
RVMD REVOLUTION MEDICINES INC ORDINARY SHARES 1.55%
FOLD AMICUS THERAPEUTICS INC 1.49%
GILD GILEAD SCIENCES INC 1.49%
AMGN AMGEN INC 1.45%
PRAX n/a 1.45%
CELC CELCUITY INC 1.4%

Frequently Asked Questions – State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (XBI)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.