WMT – Walmart Inc.

Consumer Defensive | Discount Stores | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$103.70
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▼ Short
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms downtrend – bears in control
+6.38%
Signal Edge
Slim positive edge across 1 signals – treat with caution
26.7
Trend Strength (ADX)
Strong trend – directional signals reliable
Options Signals
3%
IV-Rank (52w)
Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored
46% / 54%
Call / Put Flow
Neutral flow – call and put activity roughly balanced
Last Trendchange Signal
17.08.26
Date
Signal entry date
$114.33
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
2d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
-0.03%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
+20d
Not yet reached
+30d
Not yet reached
+60d
Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Trend Under Pressure – Bearish Composite Score: -2 / 7

WMT is showing signs of trend deterioration. The primary swing trend has turned negative. Momentum has been running negative for -1 days though selling strength is beginning to ease. The moving average structure is breaking down.

What to watch

This is not an environment for new long exposure. If holding a position, reassess the stop placement relative to the EMA21 at $110.72 and GD50 at $113.60.

Options Signal Highlight

Latest WMT Reports

Trendchange Signals and Reviews WMT: 6.39% Edge Trade Setup with Clear Exit Rules
Aug 18, 2026
Follow-Up from Signals and Trendchanges WMT Signal Follow-Up – 10 Days: +4.15% Performance Review
Apr 24, 2026

WMT Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 21.08.2026  ·  Close: $103.70  ·  ATR14: $2.90

Trend Under Pressure – Bearish Composite Score: -2 / 7

WMT is showing signs of trend deterioration. The primary swing trend has turned negative. Momentum has been running negative for -1 days though selling strength is beginning to ease. The moving average structure is breaking down.

What to watch

This is not an environment for new long exposure. If holding a position, reassess the stop placement relative to the EMA21 at $110.72 and GD50 at $113.60.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▼ Short Primary directional bias
Momentum ▼ Down · -1d Strength: -0.40 – Fading
Trend Strength (ADX) 26.7 – Strong ADX38: 12.2
Volatility (HV30) 34.0% – Rising HV90: 29.8% | HV180: 27.3%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Death Cross ✗ Stack: Partially aligned (1/3)
EMA21 Distance -2.82 ATR ↓ EMA21: $110.72
GD200 Extension -4.3 ATR – Normal GD20: -2.6 | GD50: -3.0 | GD100: -4.6
🟡 Downside Momentum Easing
Downward momentum has run -1 days but strength is decreasing (-0.40). The move may be exhausting.
💪 Trend Strength – ADX14: 26.7 (Strong)
A strong and well-defined trend. ADX38: 12.2. Trend-following has clear edge here.
🔺 Volatility Rising
HV30: 34.0% | HV90: 29.8% | HV180: 27.3%. Short-term vol is running above its 90-day average. Wider stops and reduced size may be appropriate.
💀 Death Cross – Long-term Bearish
Death Cross in place. GD50 $113.60 below GD200 $118.52. Long-term structure remains bearish. MA stack: Partially aligned (1/3).
📉 EMA21 – Gap Narrowing
Price is -2.82 ATR from the EMA21 ($110.72) but the distance is shrinking.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $112.21 (-2.6 ATR) | GD50: $113.60 (-3.0 ATR) | GD100: $119.67 (-4.6 ATR) | GD200: $118.52 (-4.3 ATR). ATR14: $2.90.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -1.48 1.10 3.15 -3.33 -5.92 -5.60 5.90 -2.47 4.53 1.52 -0.40 -1.41 -0.55
2011 2.77 -7.72 -0.04 5.47 0.33 -2.14 -1.50 1.08 -1.42 9.16 4.75 1.96 9.53
2012 1.71 -4.99 4.05 -3.99 11.43 6.36 7.33 -1.39 0.39 1.31 -1.95 -4.36 13.09
2013 1.03 0.41 4.31 3.04 -4.12 -1.59 4.49 -6.70 1.76 4.29 5.11 -2.98 13.65
2014 -5.36 2.81 3.12 3.83 -3.68 -2.20 -2.26 2.67 0.95 0.20 14.76 -0.39 8.83
2015 -1.07 -2.08 -2.04 -3.30 -5.51 -5.09 0.14 -10.32 1.60 -10.94 2.14 3.92 -28.64
2016 7.97 -1.72 3.05 -3.17 4.72 3.57 0.22 -3.17 -0.99 -2.76 1.63 -2.19 12.46
2017 -2.80 7.10 2.31 4.66 4.48 -5.17 6.14 -3.02 -0.29 11.29 10.56 1.44 43.82
2018 8.12 -14.70 -0.12 T
3.40
-5.57 T
3.21
6.23 8.64 -1.52 T
6.23
-2.91 -5.67 -5.52
2019 T
2.67
5.47 -0.41 T
5.13
0.08 8.37 -0.22 T
4.46
3.52 -0.50 1.25 -0.37 27.32
2020 -3.74 T
-5.77
T
-1.95
6.49 0.93 -3.37 T
8.11
7.39 -5.20 -3.03 8.82 -5.56 21.20
2021 -4.12 T
-6.71
3.40 T
3.16
-0.06 -0.45 T
2.32
4.13 -5.68 T
9.03
-6.12 5.51 -1.26
2022 T
-3.35
-4.08 T
9.51
1.31 -15.36 -3.08 T
7.68
0.01 -3.55 T
7.39
7.57 -7.55 -1.98
2023 0.19 T
-1.76
T
5.21
1.53 -3.11 T
6.63
1.05 2.20 -1.02 T
2.07
-5.57 2.14 9.78
2024 T
3.74
4.47 2.40 -1.08 11.74 2.87 1.72 T
10.66
4.64 0.84 12.54 -2.47 70.16
2025 T
9.07
-0.93 -10.04 T
9.48
1.34 -1.99 T
-0.26
-1.53 5.32 -0.77 T
8.78
-0.11 23.79
2026 5.66 3.14 -2.22 T
5.76
-12.04 -1.17 2.19 T
-6.33
-8.03

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for WMT:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
17.08.26 $114.33 2d -0.03% +0% +0% +0%
10.04.26 $126.77 30d +4.15% +2.71% +3.22% -9.84%
26.11.25 $109.10 46d +3.74% +3.21% +4.98% +19.94%
29.07.25 $98.33 39d +5.7% +4.31% +4.03% +21.73%
03.07.25 $98.36 4d -1.58% -0.39% +0% +0%
15.04.25 $93.97 35d +2.2% +2.03% +3.48% +9.74%
24.01.25 $94.76 41d +8.54% +2.59% +2.59% +3.21%
15.08.24 $73.18 93d +3.96% +8.85% +9.21% +32.84%
11.01.24 $53.70 92d +1.07% +5.13% +8.97% +61.26%
24.10.23 $54.42 30d +1% -4.42% -4.42% +3.7%

Signal Statistics – Historical Edge

Calculated edge for WMT: 6.38%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
7-10% 1 +8.54% +2.59% +2.59% +3.21% Close
5-7% 1 +5.7% +4.31% +4.03% +21.73% Hold
3-5% 9 +3.61% +3.95% +5.68% +8.23% Hold
1-3% 10 +1.96% +2.78% +5.06% +10.94% Hold
0-1% 2 +0.64% -3.39% -3.39% +4.21% Close
-1-0% 4 -0.32% +2.15% +3.34% +11.18% Neg
-3-1% 6 -1.97% -1.01% -0.01% +3.89% Neg
-5-3% 1 -4.45% +10.78% +3.47% +9.95% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 1% after 10 days

Signal data as of August 21, 2026

HIGH ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 16.5

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
3%
Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).
Call / Put Flow
46% / 54%
Call and put premium are roughly balanced. No clear directional bias from options flow.
GEX (Mio.)
-6,304,942.2
Negative GEX: market makers are short gamma. They sell dips and buy rallies, which amplifies moves and increases volatility.
GEX Flip Strike
$103.00 · 0.7%
GEX flip strike is very close to spot price. Crossing this level can trigger a regime change – from suppressed to amplified volatility.
Max Pain
$108.00 · 4.1%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$103.70
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

WMT GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

WMT GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, one setup stands out. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 3% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages
Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side
Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle
An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously
Risks
Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid
Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches
If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless
FAQ: Long Straddle
What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap$917.33 B
PE Ratio (TTM)40.88
Forward PE35.13
PEG Ratio4.29
EV/EBITDA22.13
Price/Sales1.26
Price/Book9.73
Beta0.61

Profitability

MetricValue
Gross Margin24.98%
Operating Margin4.22%
Net Margin3.14%
ROE24.13%
ROA6.84%

Dividends

MetricValue
Annual Dividend$0.99
Forward Yield86.00%
Payout Ratio33.54%
Dividend Date2027-01-03

Analyst Consensus (40 Analysts)

MetricValue
Median Target$140
High Target$155
Low Target$81

About Walmart Inc.

Walmart Inc. engages in the operation of retail and wholesale stores and clubs, ecommerce websites, and mobile applications worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club U.S. It operates supercenters, supermarkets, warehouse clubs, cash and carry stores, and discount stores under Walmart and Walmart Neighborhood Market brands; membership-only warehouse clubs; and ecommerce websites, such as walmart.com.mx, walmart.ca, flipkart.com, PhonePe and other sites. It offers grocery items, including dry grocery, snacks, dairy, meat, produce, deli and bakery, frozen foods, alcoholic and nonalcoholic beverages, as well as consumables, such as health and beauty aids, pet supplies, household chemicals, paper goods, and baby products; and fuel and other categories. In addition, it is involved in the provision of health and wellness products covering pharmacy, optical and hearing services, over-the-counter drugs, and protein and nutrition products; and home, hardlines, and seasonal items, including home improvement, outdoor living, gardening, furniture, apparel, jewelry, tools and power equipment, housewares, toys, and mattresses. Further, the company offers consumer electronics and accessories, software, video games, office supplies, appliances, and third-party gift cards. Additionally, it operates digital payment platforms; offers financial services and related products, including money transfers, bill payments, money orders, check cashing, prepaid access, co-branded credit cards, installment lending, and earned wage access; and markets lines of merchandise under private and licensed brands. The company was formerly known as Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. and changed its name to Walmart Inc. in February 2018. Walmart Inc. was founded in 1945 and is based in Bentonville, Arkansas.

ETF Holdings

Walmart Inc. is included in 4 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF Weight
XLP 11.87%
QQQ 3.33%
DIA 1.63%
SPY 0.95%

Frequently Asked Questions – Walmart Inc. (WMT)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.