WEAT – Teucrium Wheat Fund

ETF

Commodities Focused | Inception: 2011-09-16

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$25.41
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▲ Long
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms uptrend – bulls in control
+11.81%
Signal Edge
Moderate edge across 1 signals – signal performs above random, not exceptional
39.3
Trend Strength (ADX)
Strong trend – directional signals reliable
Last Trendchange Signal
15.07.26
Date
Signal entry date
$24.92
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
9d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
-1.2%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
-4.45%
+20d
Return after 20 trading days
+1.97%
+30d
Return after 30 trading days
+60d
Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Pullback to EMA21 – Potential Entry Zone Composite Score: +4 / 7

WEAT is pulling back toward the 21-day EMA at $24.39 within an intact uptrend. The primary swing trend remains positive and momentum, while fading slightly, has not reversed. This kind of measured pullback to a rising EMA is a textbook continuation setup.

What to watch

The EMA21 at $24.39 is the level to watch. A bounce with renewed momentum from this zone would be a trendline entry with a clear invalidation level directly below the EMA.

Latest WEAT Reports

WEAT Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 21.08.2026  ·  Close: $25.41  ·  ATR14: $2.06

Pullback to EMA21 – Potential Entry Zone Composite Score: +4 / 7

WEAT is pulling back toward the 21-day EMA at $24.39 within an intact uptrend. The primary swing trend remains positive and momentum, while fading slightly, has not reversed. This kind of measured pullback to a rising EMA is a textbook continuation setup.

What to watch

The EMA21 at $24.39 is the level to watch. A bounce with renewed momentum from this zone would be a trendline entry with a clear invalidation level directly below the EMA.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▲ Long Primary directional bias
Momentum ▲ Up · 3d Strength: 0.37 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX) 39.3 – Strong ADX38: 28.6
Volatility (HV30) 28.1% – Rising HV90: 27.9% | HV180: 25.3%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Golden Cross ✓ Stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack
EMA21 Distance ~0 ATR – Near line EMA21: $24.39
GD200 Extension 6.5 ATR – Extended GD20: 1.9 | GD50: 3.2 | GD100: 3.6
🚀 Momentum Accelerating
Upward momentum active for 3 days and still gaining strength (current: 0.37). Trend is building, not fading.
💪 Trend Strength – ADX14: 39.3 (Strong)
A strong and well-defined trend. ADX38: 28.6. Trend-following has clear edge here.
🔺 Volatility Rising
HV30: 28.1% | HV90: 27.9% | HV180: 25.3%. Short-term vol is running above its 90-day average. Wider stops and reduced size may be appropriate.
⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish
Golden Cross in place. GD50 $23.83 above GD200 $22.43 by 6.25%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack.
🎯 EMA21 – Reaction Zone
Price is within 0.5 ATR of the EMA21 at $24.39. Watch for a decisive bounce or break.
📏 Extended Move
6.5 ATR from the 200-day SMA. The trend may be maturing. Disciplined stop management becomes increasingly important.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $24.45 (1.9 ATR) | GD50: $23.83 (3.2 ATR) | GD100: $23.64 (3.6 ATR) | GD200: $22.43 (6.5 ATR). ATR14: $2.06.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2011 -7.61 2.50 -6.88 4.23 -8.83
2012 -0.09 -3.05 -2.77 -3.63 -1.86 12.98 9.02 0.04 -0.24 0.00 -1.96 -9.16 -5.08
2013 2.71 -7.77 -4.02 8.71 -1.57 -10.45 -0.12 -2.47 1.96 -0.95 -3.19 -8.33 -28.50
2014 -8.10 7.02 7.27 4.46 -10.18 -8.02 -7.50 0.78 -14.52 8.88 4.76 -2.60 -13.27
2015 -12.68 2.33 1.77 -9.54 -1.19 18.91 -15.08 -3.60 5.44 -0.10 -5.67 -0.87 -27.11
2016 3.13 -5.56 5.14 1.77 -4.69 -6.57 -2.26 -9.15 0.84 3.53 -6.55 2.23 -23.13
2017 3.35 -0.41 -6.59 -1.88 -4.49 15.49 -11.29 -9.52 1.08 -5.20 -1.46 -2.76 -12.54
2018 3.95 5.71 -11.17 T
9.27
-1.15 -7.00 T
13.21
-4.71 -3.99 -2.23 -2.10 T
-2.95
-2.47
2019 T
1.17
-11.82 -0.94 -7.49 T
12.57
-0.87 -6.02 -5.16 T
8.16
2.07 T
3.28
3.91 -2.17
2020 -2.39 -4.90 T
6.81
-4.63 0.75 -4.71 T
5.87
T
3.76
1.42 2.65 -2.72 T
9.75
5.63
2021 2.11 1.13 -3.53 T
19.93
-5.44 -1.17 T
4.07
-1.39 1.43 T
2.73
-2.32 -2.25 19.77
2022 T
0.55
T
19.62
4.78 7.53 4.18 -13.82 -1.97 T
2.15
12.13 -1.64 -12.04 1.01 9.77
2023 -1.78 T
-7.38
-1.94 -10.52 -2.42 T
3.54
4.19 -9.65 -5.91 T
-1.91
T
1.23
T
3.65
-24.05
2024 -2.24 -5.27 3.24 T
5.76
11.46 -15.31 -8.86 -0.20 T
3.15
-3.93 -6.26 1.05 -17.04
2025 T
3.56
-3.40 -1.68 -4.24 0.00 T
-2.84
-3.97 -0.47 -2.61 T
2.66
-3.74 -3.71 -16.44
2026 T
4.85
9.72 7.19 T
5.61
-2.62 -5.49 T
6.29
4.74 27.05

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for WEAT:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
15.07.26 $24.92 9d -1.2% -4.45% +1.97% +0%
23.04.26 $23.41 16d -0.38% +6.36% +3.46% +8.42%
23.01.26 $20.75 28d +0.58% +6.84% +13.78% +16.72%
31.10.25 $21.20 18d +1.18% -1.18% -1.18% +2.78%
06.06.25 $23.40 8d +2.56% -3.63% -3.63% -10.47%
21.01.25 $24.65 28d +1.42% +8.11% +3.45% -8.52%
04.09.24 $26.05 13d -0.58% +2.69% -0.19% -2.11%
03.04.24 $26.85 37d -1.12% +5.96% +16.57% -3.17%
04.12.23 $29.65 16d +0.17% -2.02% -0.84% +8.43%
08.11.23 $29.55 4d -2.54% +1.18% +0% +0%

Signal Statistics – Historical Edge

Calculated edge for WEAT: 11.81%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
10-15% 1 +12.36% +13.95% +8.56% +12.68% Hold
7-10% 1 +7.24% +10.02% +6.31% +1.3% Close
5-7% 2 +5.79% +18.16% +19.85% +3.62% Close
3-5% 2 +4.45% +7.5% +5.73% +2.37% Close
1-3% 5 +1.74% +2.24% +1.2% -1.03% Close
0-1% 4 +0.57% +3.17% +6.79% +12.61% Hold
-1-0% 7 -0.64% +2.3% +2.61% +7.36% Neg
-3-1% 11 -2.04% -0.26% +1.06% -2% Neg
-5-3% 2 -4.01% -4.01% -2.96% -12.68% Neg
-7-5% 1 -6.56% +0% +0% +0% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 0% after 10 days
📊

No Options Data Available

Options flow data for WEAT is not yet tracked. Check back after the next market session.

About Teucrium Wheat Fund

The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing in Benchmark Component Futures Contracts. Under normal market conditions, the manager expects that 100% of the fund’s assets will be invested in benchmark component futures contracts and in cash and cash equivalents.

Fund Overview

MetricValue
Assets under Management$270.74 M
Expense Ratio1.00%
Dividend Yield0.00%
Portfolio Turnover0%
YTD Return1,744.90%
3-Year Return-12.87%
5-Year Return-5.30%

Top 10 Holdings

Symbol Company Weight
FGTXX GOLDMAN SACHS FS GOVERNMENT INSTL 14.93%

Frequently Asked Questions – Teucrium Wheat Fund (WEAT)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.