How is TSLA valued relative to the market?

TSLA currently trades at a trailing P/E of 326.34x and a forward P/E of 166.30x. The stock has a beta of 1.85, meaning it moves roughly more than the broader market on average. Valuation multiples should always be considered alongside earnings growth rate and sector context.

How profitable is TSLA?

TSLA reports a gross margin of 18.85%, an operating margin of 1.41%, a net profit margin of 3.67%. Return on equity stands at 4.67% and return on assets at 1.93%. These figures provide context for evaluating the quality and sustainability of the company's earnings relative to its peers.

What is the analyst price target for TSLA?

Based on a consensus of 39 analysts, the median price target is $410.00, the most optimistic target is $600.00, the most conservative target is $125.00. At the current price of $377.75, the median target implies 8.5% upside. Analyst targets represent 12-month price expectations and should be considered alongside technical signals and momentum data.

Which ETFs hold TSLA?

TSLA is held by 6 ETFs tracked by StockBotty. The largest allocations are in XLY (19.22%), VCR (16.56%), QQQ (3.87%). Significant ETF ownership means institutional flows in and out of these funds can influence TSLA's price action, particularly around rebalancing dates.

What is the current trend signal for TSLA?

As of the most recent session, TSLA closed at $377.75. The swing trend is positive with ADX at 6.9 (weak trend strength). Momentum is bullish and has been running for 1 days. No Golden Cross is currently active. 30-day historical volatility is at 41.9%.

When was the last Trendchange signal for TSLA and what is its historical edge?

The most recent Trendchange signal for TSLA fired on 31.08.26 at $367.95. The position has been held for 10 trading days. 10-day return from entry: -2.44%. 20-day return: -2.85%. The historical edge of the signal system for TSLA is +45.34% across 49 tracked signals. The best-performing entry bucket historically is the >20% range, averaging 32.8% at 10 days and 57.7% at 60 days.

TSLA – Tesla, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical | Auto Manufacturers | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal

$377.75

Last Close

Official EOD price – basis for all calculations

▲ Long

Swing Trend

Moving average structure confirms uptrend – bulls in control

+45.34%

Signal Edge

Strong positive edge across 3 signals – signal has a clear statistical advantage

6.9

Trend Strength (ADX)

Weak / ranging – trend signals less reliable

Options Signals

17%

IV-Rank (52w)

Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored

57% / 43%

Call / Put Flow

Neutral flow – call and put activity roughly balanced

Last Trendchange Signal

31.08.26

Date

Signal entry date

$367.95

Entry Price

Closing price at signal date

10d

Days Held

Trading days since signal

-2.44%

+10d

Return after 10 trading days

-2.85%

+20d

Return after 20 trading days

-2.85%

+30d

Return after 30 trading days

–

+60d

Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Breakout – Downside Composite Score: +2 / 7

TSLA has just broken out of a 0-day volatility compression to the downside. Compressions of this length tend to resolve with a sustained directional move rather than a brief spike. Sellers have taken control out of the compression. The path of least resistance is now lower until a clear reclaim is confirmed.

What to watch

Avoid catching a falling knife. Wait for stabilisation and a reclaim of the breakout level before considering any long exposure.

Options Signal Highlight

HIGH Strength 28.8 Long Straddle 📖 View full options analysis →

TSLA Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 07.10.2026 · Close: $377.75 · ATR14: $3.14

Breakout – Downside Composite Score: +2 / 7

What to watch

Avoid catching a falling knife. Wait for stabilisation and a reclaim of the breakout level before considering any long exposure.

Indicator	Signal	Detail
Swing Trend	▲ Long	Primary directional bias
Momentum	▲ Up · 1d	Strength: 0.13 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX)	6.9 – Weak	ADX38: 26.7
Volatility (HV30)	41.9% – Calm	HV90: 53.2% \| HV180: 46.6%
Vola Compression	Breakout – Upside	Prior compression: 0d
MA Structure	Death Cross ✗	Stack: Partially aligned (1/3)
EMA21 Distance	0.96 ATR ↓	EMA21: $361.64
GD200 Extension	-1.1 ATR – Normal	GD20: 0.9 \| GD50: 2.4 \| GD100: 0.3

🚀 Momentum Accelerating

Upward momentum active for 1 days and still gaining strength (current: 0.13). Trend is building, not fading.

⚪ Trend Strength – ADX14: 6.9 (Weak)

Weak or ranging market. ADX38: 26.7. Trend-following signals carry lower reliability.

🔻 Volatility Calm

HV30: 41.9% | HV90: 53.2% | HV180: 46.6%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.

💥 Compression Breakout – Upside

A 0-day compression was followed by a upside breakout. Watch for volume confirmation and follow-through.

💀 Death Cross – Long-term Bearish

Death Cross in place. GD50 $351.73 below GD200 $391.67. Long-term structure remains bearish. MA stack: Partially aligned (1/3).

📉 EMA21 – Gap Narrowing

Price is 0.96 ATR from the EMA21 ($361.64) but the distance is shrinking.

📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance

GD20: $367.22 (0.9 ATR) | GD50: $351.73 (2.4 ATR) | GD100: $374.43 (0.3 ATR) | GD200: $391.67 (-1.1 ATR). ATR14: $3.14.

Monthly Performance History

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Total
2010						-0.25	-9.20	-6.88	-0.19	6.02	65.02	-22.48	11.46
2011	-9.47	-0.08	15.91	3.53	9.80	2.14	-2.93	-14.01	1.63	23.77	13.37	-12.39	7.29
2012	3.53	12.95	8.23	-9.43	-12.67	11.15	-9.80	8.65	4.05	-3.53	15.63	-2.17	20.62
2013	6.08	-9.06	9.35	22.90	83.48	15.95	14.59	24.68	14.46	-17.13	-21.51	21.15	325.43
2014	20.86	38.23	-16.81	-4.19	0.02	17.27	-6.85	15.62	-14.59	0.61	0.80	-3.99	48.17
2015	-7.16	-3.60	-4.34	20.50	10.96	7.54	-1.11	-4.20	4.09	-13.74	7.70	1.19	9.44
2016	-14.42	-2.54	23.30	1.33	-7.68	-3.32	8.45	-7.83	1.62	-7.47	-0.73	17.49	-4.35
2017	16.10	0.30	T 11.31	5.21	5.63	6.24	-8.27	T 11.37	-4.02	-2.93	-3.81	T 1.57	43.49
2018	10.54	-1.77	-19.58	16.41	T -5.06	T 17.52	-11.02	T 0.27	-8.37	T 8.57	1.80	-7.17	3.83
2019	T -1.00	2.46	-5.06	-17.46	-20.88	T 24.86	6.36	-3.52	T 7.05	28.70	5.31	24.92	34.89
2020	51.20	-14.36	-29.53	T 62.36	19.06	20.23	27.79	67.78	-9.69	-13.41	T 41.72	20.68	720.05
2021	8.74	-19.57	-7.03	T 7.21	-8.71	T 8.94	1.37	3.67	5.64	43.70	-5.28	T -3.49	44.81
2022	-21.93	-6.53	T 24.67	-19.72	-16.02	-9.04	30.75	-7.29	-4.30	-6.13	-14.54	-36.73	-69.20
2023	T 60.24	13.40	T 2.31	-15.64	T 26.01	26.14	-4.43	-1.15	T 2.13	-20.17	T 16.74	4.04	129.86
2024	-24.61	6.89	-13.25	T 4.60	-1.06	T 12.25	10.58	-1.27	T 24.23	-3.17	38.63	13.09	62.56
2025	6.68	-23.64	-8.95	T 5.10	23.51	-7.30	T 2.51	T 10.32	35.03	-0.63	-8.16	T 4.55	18.57
2026	-1.75	-4.58	-7.83	T 0.10	11.51	1.13	-26.83	T 14.24	-0.36	6.68			-13.77

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

TSLA - Trendchange Chart

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for TSLA:

Date	Entry Price	Days Held	+10d	+20d	+30d	+60d
31.08.26	$367.95	10d	-2.44%	-2.85%	-2.85%	+0%
21.04.26	$386.42	31d	+1.58%	+6.1%	+9.66%	+9.65%
04.12.25	$454.53	20d	+2.8%	-0.02%	-0.02%	-0.02%
11.08.25	$339.03	32d	+0.29%	+2.18%	+28.07%	+28.47%
23.07.25	$332.56	1d	-4.07%	+0%	+0%	+0%
25.04.25	$284.95	29d	-0.05%	+19.68%	+16.53%	+16.53%
13.09.24	$230.29	26d	+10.39%	+6.17%	+6.17%	+6.17%
24.06.24	$182.58	46d	+38.54%	+37.75%	+34.94%	+34.94%
29.04.24	$194.05	3d	-13.18%	-7.18%	-7.18%	+0%
20.11.23	$235.60	22d	-0.01%	+6.99%	+5.44%	+5.44%

Signal Statistics - Historical Edge

Calculated edge for TSLA: 45.34%

Range	N	10d	20d	30d	60d	Signal
>20%	3	+32.76%	+40.08%	+46.14%	+57.72%	Hold
15-20%	5	+16.34%	+27.75%	+37.77%	+93.32%	Hold
10-15%	6	+11.11%	+10.01%	+12.86%	+12.61%	Hold
7-10%	1	+7.42%	+6.14%	+8.13%	+94.94%	Hold
5-7%	2	+5.56%	+5.63%	+5.35%	+5.81%	Close
3-5%	1	+3.65%	+12.28%	+16.46%	+22.3%	Hold
1-3%	2	+2.19%	+3.04%	+4.82%	+4.81%	Close
0-1%	1	+0.29%	+2.18%	+28.07%	+28.47%	Hold
-1-0%	4	-0.32%	+9.74%	+5.69%	+5.69%	Neg
-3-1%	5	-1.98%	-1.21%	-1.3%	-0.73%	Neg
-5-3%	5	-3.88%	-1.4%	-2.34%	-2.34%	Neg
-7-5%	6	-6.02%	-5.12%	-4.13%	-3.11%	Neg
-10-7%	2	-8.15%	-7.31%	-7.31%	-7.31%	Neg
<-10%	6	-12.37%	-9.73%	-9.72%	-7.75%	Neg

Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 0% after 10 days

Signal data as of October 7, 2026

HIGH ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 28.8

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)

17%

Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).

Call / Put Flow

57% / 43%

Call and put premium are roughly balanced. No clear directional bias from options flow.

GEX (Mio.)

265,014,817.0

Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.

GEX Flip Strike

$362.50 · 4.1%

The GEX flip strike is the price level where dealer gamma exposure shifts from positive to negative. A break through this level often accelerates the move.

Max Pain

$370.00 · 2.1%

Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.

Spot Price

$377.81

Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

TSLA GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, one setup stands out. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Setup 1 of 1 Long Straddle Full guide →

Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 17% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages

✓ Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side

✓ Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle

✓ An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously

Risks

✕ Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid

✕ Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches

✕ If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless

▶ FAQ: Long Straddle

What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	$1.42 T
PE Ratio (TTM)	326.34
Forward PE	166.30
PEG Ratio	4.37
EV/EBITDA	129.33
Price/Sales	13.68
Price/Book	16.32
Beta	1.85

Profitability

Metric	Value
Gross Margin	18.85%
Operating Margin	1.41%
Net Margin	3.67%
ROE	4.67%
ROA	1.93%

Analyst Consensus (39 Analysts)

Metric	Value
Median Target	$410
High Target	$600
Low Target	$125

About Tesla, Inc.

Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Automotive; and Energy Generation and Storage. The company offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty maintenance services and collision, automotive insurance services, as well as part sales and retail merchandise sale. It also provides sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct and used vehicle sales, a network of Tesla Superchargers, and in-app upgrades; purchase financing and leasing services; services for electric vehicles through its company-owned service locations and Tesla mobile service technicians; and vehicle limited warranties and extended service plans. In addition, the company engages in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products, and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers and utilities through its website, stores, and galleries, as well as through a network of channel partners. Further, it provides services and repairs to its energy product customers, including under warranty and extended service plans; and various financing options to its residential customers; lithium-ion battery energy storage products, such as Powerwall and Megapack; energy generation products, including solar panels and solar roof; self-driving development and artificial intelligence software, vehicle control and infotainment software, and battery and powertrain. The company was formerly known as Tesla Motors, Inc. and changed its name to Tesla, Inc. in February 2017. Tesla, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

ETF Holdings

Tesla, Inc. is included in 6 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF	Weight
XLY	19.22%
VCR	16.56%
QQQ	3.87%
DRIV	2.80%
SPY	1.91%
GRID	1.88%

Frequently Asked Questions – Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.