How is TMUS valued relative to the market?

TMUS currently trades at a trailing P/E of 19.15x and a forward P/E of 12.67x. The stock has a beta of 0.33, meaning it moves roughly less than the broader market on average. Valuation multiples should always be considered alongside earnings growth rate and sector context.

How profitable is TMUS?

TMUS reports a gross margin of 63.05%, an operating margin of 25.22%, a net profit margin of 11.46%. Return on equity stands at 17.99% and return on assets at 5.97%. These figures provide context for evaluating the quality and sustainability of the company's earnings relative to its peers.

Does TMUS pay a dividend?

TMUS pays an annual dividend of $4.08, representing a forward yield of 2.24%. The payout ratio is 41.21%, which indicates the share of earnings distributed to shareholders. The most recent dividend date was 2026-09-09. Dividend sustainability should always be evaluated alongside free cash flow trends.

What is the analyst price target for TMUS?

Based on a consensus of 24 analysts, the median price target is $235.00, the most optimistic target is $300.00, the most conservative target is $169.00. At the current price of $167.65, the median target implies 40.2% upside. Analyst targets represent 12-month price expectations and should be considered alongside technical signals and momentum data.

Which ETFs hold TMUS?

TMUS is held by 3 ETFs tracked by StockBotty. The largest allocations are in XLC (5.00%), QQQ (1.30%), SPY (0.18%). Significant ETF ownership means institutional flows in and out of these funds can influence TMUS's price action, particularly around rebalancing dates.

What is the current trend signal for TMUS?

As of the most recent session, TMUS closed at $167.65. The swing trend is negative with ADX at 2.3 (weak trend strength). Momentum is bearish and has been running for 20 days. No Golden Cross is currently active. 30-day historical volatility is at 29.9%.

When was the last Trendchange signal for TMUS and what is its historical edge?

The most recent Trendchange signal for TMUS fired on 03.09.26 at $188.02. The position has been held for 3 trading days. 10-day return from entry: -3.37%. 20-day return: -3.37%. The historical edge of the signal system for TMUS is +13.74% across 63 tracked signals. The best-performing entry bucket historically is the 15-20% range, averaging 15.7% at 10 days and 0% at 60 days.

TMUS – T-Mobile US, Inc.

Communication Services | Telecom Services | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal

$167.65

Last Close

Official EOD price – basis for all calculations

▼ Short

Swing Trend

Moving average structure confirms downtrend – bears in control

+13.74%

Signal Edge

Moderate edge across 1 signals – signal performs above random, not exceptional

2.3

Trend Strength (ADX)

Weak / ranging – trend signals less reliable

Options Signals

14%

IV-Rank (52w)

Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored

82% / 18%

Call / Put Flow

Bullish positioning – call premium dominates options flow

Last Trendchange Signal

03.09.26

Date

Signal entry date

$188.02

Entry Price

Closing price at signal date

Days Held

Trading days since signal

-3.37%

+10d

Return after 10 trading days

-3.37%

+20d

Return after 20 trading days

-3.37%

+30d

Return after 30 trading days

–

+60d

Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Trend Under Pressure – Bearish Composite Score: -3 / 7

TMUS is showing signs of trend deterioration. The primary swing trend has turned negative. Momentum has been running negative for -20 days and downside pressure is still intensifying. The moving average structure is breaking down.

What to watch

This is not an environment for new long exposure. If holding a position, reassess the stop placement relative to the EMA21 at $166.96 and GD50 at $175.55.

Options Signal Highlight

MEDIUM Strength 5 Long Call 📖 View full options analysis →

TMUS Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 07.10.2026 · Close: $167.65 · ATR14: $2.49

Trend Under Pressure – Bearish Composite Score: -3 / 7

What to watch

This is not an environment for new long exposure. If holding a position, reassess the stop placement relative to the EMA21 at $166.96 and GD50 at $175.55.

Indicator	Signal	Detail
Swing Trend	▼ Short	Primary directional bias
Momentum	▼ Down · -20d	Strength: -0.34 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX)	2.3 – Weak	ADX38: 18.8
Volatility (HV30)	29.9% – Calm	HV90: 37.6% \| HV180: 33.1%
Vola Compression	None	Normal range
MA Structure	Death Cross ✗	Stack: No MAs aligned
EMA21 Distance	~0 ATR – Near line	EMA21: $166.96
GD200 Extension	-4.9 ATR – Normal	GD20: -0.2 \| GD50: -1.8 \| GD100: -2.8

📉 Downside Momentum Intensifying

Downward momentum active for -20 days and still building (-0.34). Selling pressure is not easing.

⚪ Trend Strength – ADX14: 2.3 (Weak)

Weak or ranging market. ADX38: 18.8. Trend-following signals carry lower reliability.

🔻 Volatility Calm

HV30: 29.9% | HV90: 37.6% | HV180: 33.1%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.

💀 Death Cross – Long-term Bearish

Death Cross in place. GD50 $175.55 below GD200 $190.74. Long-term structure remains bearish. MA stack: No MAs aligned.

🎯 EMA21 – Reaction Zone

Price is within 0.5 ATR of the EMA21 at $166.96. Watch for a decisive bounce or break.

📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance

GD20: $168.70 (-0.2 ATR) | GD50: $175.55 (-1.8 ATR) | GD100: $179.98 (-2.8 ATR) | GD200: $190.74 (-4.9 ATR). ATR14: $2.49.

Monthly Performance History

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Total
2010	-29.36	4.05	17.22	5.83	12.94	-4.88	6.17	-1.97	13.45	-4.85	15.60	1.85	58.47
2011	-1.07	10.60	13.88	2.06	8.62	-5.18	-8.38	-31.03	-20.53	3.91	9.40	4.58	-33.59
2012	-5.86	12.94	-17.02	-19.87	-10.24	-2.26	37.74	10.44	18.52	-11.37	2.31	-7.71	5.86
2013	3.40	-0.91	11.11	7.15	29.72	19.11	1.64	-3.63	8.03	4.88	-6.74	26.99	73.40
2014	-8.39	3.28	8.30	-12.51	8.47	-2.69	-1.41	-9.99	-5.13	3.84	-0.41	-5.67	-19.27
2015	10.55	8.87	-3.85	7.59	14.86	-0.31	5.25	-4.53	2.18	-5.58	-7.29	8.13	43.30
2016	3.08	-8.60	-0.91	-0.20	6.93	1.53	7.79	-1.55	1.02	6.08	9.98	5.99	47.65
2017	6.77	-1.15	3.61	5.85	-1.30	-10.72	2.77	2.60	-3.90	-2.84	2.21	4.29	8.90
2018	1.66	-4.99	-1.39	1.49	-6.28	T 5.06	0.15	11.25	6.71	-2.42	T -0.62	-6.18	-0.67
2019	T 6.68	3.71	-4.48	T 4.32	-0.19	-0.08	T 7.53	-1.59	T 2.13	T 5.70	-4.75	1.00	20.17
2020	T 0.76	13.47	-10.07	T 3.14	16.06	4.46	1.18	9.17	-2.17	T -5.32	T 20.43	0.84	71.59
2021	-4.79	-6.58	T 1.39	3.51	7.61	2.21	-0.91	-5.44	-7.25	-9.25	-6.08	T 8.68	-12.42
2022	-5.47	T 12.47	4.24	-5.83	T 5.45	T -0.01	4.57	0.12	-6.77	T 9.11	-0.54	-7.78	22.35
2023	T 7.39	-5.82	2.51	T -1.95	-4.16	T -0.01	-1.12	-0.74	T 1.98	3.30	3.72	5.31	15.31
2024	-0.42	T 0.49	-0.09	T 0.92	5.74	1.79	1.79	6.23	2.91	8.28	10.60	-9.84	36.33
2025	6.12	T 13.27	-2.24	T -8.04	-1.94	-1.97	T -1.28	6.24	-6.45	-9.95	2.80	-1.74	-7.51
2026	-1.19	T 11.33	-2.81	-4.28	-4.35	-10.18	T -0.20	1.89	T -10.47	3.66			-16.00

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

TMUS - Trendchange Chart

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for TMUS:

Date	Entry Price	Days Held	+10d	+20d	+30d	+60d
03.09.26	$188.02	3d	-3.37%	-3.37%	-3.37%	+0%
10.07.26	$187.61	12d	-9.16%	-4.01%	-4.01%	+0%
04.02.26	$201.79	30d	+5.68%	+8.88%	+8.42%	+8.42%
24.07.25	$247.50	22d	-3.35%	+4.65%	+1.87%	+2.13%
03.07.25	$240.75	2d	-5.4%	-5.4%	+0%	+0%
17.04.25	$262.04	4d	+0%	+0%	+0%	+0%
03.02.25	$238.10	31d	+13.74%	+14.59%	+11.98%	+11.98%
30.04.24	$164.17	32d	-0.5%	+1.91%	+8.67%	+7.55%
27.02.24	$164.62	12d	+0.09%	-1.07%	-1.07%	-1.07%
13.09.23	$141.50	8d	-0.73%	-1.02%	-1.02%	-1.02%

Signal Statistics - Historical Edge

Calculated edge for TMUS: 13.74%

Range	N	10d	20d	30d	60d	Signal
15-20%	1	+15.7%	+17.94%	+11.1%	+0%	Close
10-15%	2	+12.67%	+24.59%	+12.65%	+12.65%	Hold
7-10%	5	+8.62%	+8.51%	+9.33%	+12.84%	Hold
5-7%	6	+5.91%	+9.97%	+12.11%	+13.64%	Hold
3-5%	4	+4.33%	+3.97%	+3.69%	+3.04%	Close
1-3%	7	+2.22%	+7.99%	+13.02%	+17.91%	Hold
0-1%	6	+0.3%	-1.21%	-0.19%	-0.03%	Close
-1-0%	11	-0.61%	-1.19%	-0.68%	-0.26%	Neg
-3-1%	11	-2.15%	-1.22%	+0.17%	+0.01%	Neg
-5-3%	5	-3.7%	-2.28%	-2.12%	-1.4%	Neg
-7-5%	1	-5.4%	-5.4%	+0%	+0%	Neg
-10-7%	2	-8.13%	-5.56%	-5.56%	-3.55%	Neg
<-10%	2	-13.8%	-13.8%	-13.8%	-13.8%	Neg

Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 1% after 10 days

Signal data as of October 7, 2026

MEDIUM ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 5

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)

14%

Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).

Call / Put Flow

82% / 18%

More than 60% of options premium is flowing into calls. This indicates net bullish positioning by market participants.

GEX (Mio.)

3,471,661.5

Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.

GEX Flip Strike

$165.00 · 1.6%

GEX flip strike is very close to spot price. Crossing this level can trigger a regime change – from suppressed to amplified volatility.

Max Pain

$165.00 · 1.6%

Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.

Spot Price

$167.65

Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

TMUS GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, 2 setups match the current conditions. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Setup 1 of 2 Long Call Full guide →

Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 14% – options are historically cheap. Bullish flow (82% calls) supports buying upside premium at below-average cost.

Advantages

✓ Unlimited upside potential with maximum loss capped at the premium paid

✓ Low IV-Rank means you are buying at historically cheap levels

✓ Benefits from both a price increase and a subsequent rise in implied volatility

Risks

✕ Time decay (theta) works against the position every day

✕ Requires a meaningful move to overcome the premium paid

✕ Full premium is lost if the stock stays below the strike at expiration

▶ FAQ: Long Call

What is a Long Call?

A Long Call gives the buyer the right to purchase the underlying at the strike price before expiration. The maximum loss is limited to the premium paid. It expresses a bullish directional view and profits if the underlying rises significantly above the strike price.

Why buy calls when IV-Rank is low?

Low IV-Rank means implied volatility is historically cheap - options are priced below their typical levels. Buying premium when it is cheap reduces the hurdle rate for profitability. If IV subsequently rises, the option gains value from both the price move and the increase in implied volatility.

What is the breakeven on a Long Call?

The breakeven equals the strike price plus the premium paid. For example, a call with a $100 strike bought for $3 breaks even at $103. Above that level, the position profits dollar-for-dollar with the stock. Below the strike at expiration, the full premium is lost.

Setup 2 of 2 Long Straddle Full guide →

Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 14% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages

✓ Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side

✓ Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle

✓ An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously

Risks

✕ Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid

✕ Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches

✕ If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless

▶ FAQ: Long Straddle

What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	$196.19 B
PE Ratio (TTM)	19.15
Forward PE	12.67
PEG Ratio	0.64
EV/EBITDA	9.11
Price/Sales	2.13
Price/Book	3.49
Beta	0.33

Profitability

Metric	Value
Gross Margin	63.05%
Operating Margin	25.22%
Net Margin	11.46%
ROE	17.99%
ROA	5.97%

Dividends

Metric	Value
Annual Dividend	$4.08
Forward Yield	224.00%
Payout Ratio	41.21%
Dividend Date	2026-09-09

Analyst Consensus (24 Analysts)

Metric	Value
Median Target	$235
High Target	$300
Low Target	$169

About T-Mobile US, Inc.

T-Mobile US, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides wireless communications services in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the United States Virgin Islands. The company offers voice, messaging, and data services to postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale and other services customers. It also provides wireless devices, including smartphones, wearables, tablets, home broadband gateways, headsets, and other mobile communication devices, as well as accessories; financing through equipment installment plans; reinsurance for device insurance policies and extended warranty contracts. The company offers services under the T-Mobile, Metro by T-Mobile, and Mint Mobile brands through its owned and operated retail stores, customer care channels, national retailers, and its websites, as well as through T-Mobile, Metro by T-Mobile, and Mint Mobile apps. It also sells devices to dealers and other third-party distributors for resale through independent third-party retail outlets and various third-party websites. It has 700 MHz wireless spectrum licenses. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington. T-Mobile US, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Deutsche Telekom AG.

ETF Holdings

T-Mobile US, Inc. is included in 3 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF	Weight
XLC	5.00%
QQQ	1.30%
SPY	0.18%

Frequently Asked Questions – T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.