SPY – State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
ETFLarge Blend | Inception: 1993-01-22
Quick Stats
Trend Overview
SPY has had a strong run, but the trend shows the first clear signs of fatigue. After 14 days of positive momentum, strength is now declining while price sits 9.1 ATR above the 200-day moving average at $707.55. At this distance from long-term equilibrium, mean-reversion pressure tends to increase.
A fresh entry does not present itself here. For those already in the trade, this is a logical zone to tighten stops, scale out partial positions, or at minimum recalibrate risk-reward.
Options Signal Highlight
Latest SPY Reports
SPY Price Chart
Technical Trend Analysis
As of 21.08.2026 · Close: $765.72 · ATR14: $0.91
SPY has had a strong run, but the trend shows the first clear signs of fatigue. After 14 days of positive momentum, strength is now declining while price sits 9.1 ATR above the 200-day moving average at $707.55. At this distance from long-term equilibrium, mean-reversion pressure tends to increase.
A fresh entry does not present itself here. For those already in the trade, this is a logical zone to tighten stops, scale out partial positions, or at minimum recalibrate risk-reward.
| Indicator | Signal | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Swing Trend | ▲ Long | Primary directional bias |
| Momentum | ▲ Up · 14d | Strength: 0.11 – Fading |
| Trend Strength (ADX) | 21.1 – Moderate | ADX38: 11.5 |
| Volatility (HV30) | 12.5% – Calm | HV90: 12.9% | HV180: 13.2% |
| Vola Compression | None | Normal range |
| MA Structure | Golden Cross ✓ | Stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack |
| EMA21 Distance | 2.65 ATR ↑ | EMA21: $760.95 |
| GD200 Extension | 9.1 ATR – Extended | GD20: 0.5 | GD50: 2.1 | GD100: 4.5 |
Monthly Performance History
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | -5.24 | 1.54 | 4.57 | 0.86 | -9.12 | -4.01 | 7.31 | -6.61 | 5.23 | 3.39 | -0.03 | 3.92 | 10.96 |
| 2011 | 1.28 | 1.84 | 1.27 | 2.46 | -0.97 | 0.08 | -3.43 | -5.09 | -6.44 | 14.16 | 2.45 | 0.42 | -1.22 |
| 2012 | 3.00 | 3.43 | 2.24 | -1.39 | -6.59 | 6.20 | 0.88 | 2.59 | 2.08 | -2.08 | -0.48 | 0.68 | 11.69 |
| 2013 | 2.49 | 0.24 | 3.00 | 2.33 | 3.27 | -2.39 | 4.56 | -4.11 | 2.20 | 3.81 | 2.72 | 2.30 | 26.45 |
| 2014 | -2.59 | 6.96 | 1.10 | 0.03 | 2.31 | 1.46 | -2.00 | 4.26 | -1.79 | 3.76 | 2.69 | -0.11 | 12.37 |
| 2015 | -2.91 | 4.33 | -2.62 | 1.34 | 0.20 | -2.70 | 1.45 | -5.78 | -0.07 | 8.22 | -0.81 | -3.23 | -0.76 |
| 2016 | -3.63 |
T -0.05 |
3.74 | -0.29 |
T 0.90 |
-0.38 | 3.43 | 0.20 | -0.50 | -1.50 |
T 4.44 |
1.80 | 11.20 |
| 2017 | 1.02 | 3.89 | -1.68 |
T 1.17 |
1.16 | -0.64 | 1.88 | 0.07 | 1.37 | 1.91 | 2.92 | 0.91 | 18.48 |
| 2018 | 4.89 |
T -3.53 |
T -1.70 |
2.73 |
T 2.25 |
-0.85 | 3.48 | 3.36 | 0.31 | -7.23 | 0.78 |
T -10.52 |
-7.01 |
| 2019 |
T 7.89 |
3.19 | 0.73 | 2.87 | -5.67 |
T 6.71 |
0.60 | -0.81 |
T 2.07 |
3.44 | 2.67 | 3.28 | 28.65 |
| 2020 | -0.97 | -8.60 | -16.61 |
T 18.01 |
7.61 | 0.92 | 5.15 | 6.24 | -5.02 |
T -3.12 |
9.65 | 2.15 | 15.09 |
| 2021 | 0.35 | 1.10 | 1.73 | 4.17 | 0.44 | 2.00 | 1.88 | 3.19 | -5.02 |
T 5.76 |
-0.97 | 5.43 | 28.79 |
| 2022 | -5.82 | -3.60 |
T 5.04 |
-9.03 | -0.37 | -7.90 |
T 8.07 |
-3.80 | -9.90 | 5.35 | 6.02 | -6.12 | -19.95 |
| 2023 |
T 6.74 |
-3.54 |
T 3.71 |
1.21 | 0.56 | 5.09 | 3.15 | -1.34 |
T -5.25 |
-2.13 |
T 7.98 |
3.53 | 24.81 |
| 2024 | 2.16 | 3.86 | 1.99 | -3.86 |
T 5.40 |
3.11 | 1.00 |
T 3.81 |
3.93 | 0.00 | 5.52 | -2.91 | 24.00 |
| 2025 |
T 2.94 |
-0.60 | -4.18 |
T -1.15 |
5.54 | 4.24 | 2.34 | 3.75 | 4.05 | 2.04 | 0.01 |
T 0.24 |
16.64 |
| 2026 | 1.29 | -1.35 | -5.25 |
T 9.68 |
4.97 | -1.55 |
T 0.17 |
1.06 | 12.08 |
T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.
Trendchange Signal History
The last 10 Trendchange signals for SPY:
| Date | Entry Price | Days Held | +10d | +20d | +30d | +60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06.07.26 | $751.28 | 13d | -1.06% | -1.74% | +3.34% | +0% |
| 10.04.26 | $679.46 | 62d | +4.27% | +7.67% | +9.31% | +14.48% |
| 01.12.25 | $680.27 | 57d | +0.22% | +1.11% | +1.98% | +8.42% |
| 29.04.25 | $554.32 | 88d | +5.17% | +6.64% | +8.8% | +24.35% |
| 22.01.25 | $606.44 | 14d | -0.77% | +1.07% | -1.07% | -0.55% |
| 19.08.24 | $559.61 | 41d | +0.73% | +0.58% | +2.53% | +7.21% |
| 08.05.24 | $517.19 | 61d | +2.74% | +3.38% | +5.76% | +9.79% |
| 08.11.23 | $437.25 | 95d | +3.66% | +4% | +7.09% | +26.65% |
| 12.09.23 | $445.99 | 9d | -0.59% | -0.59% | -0.59% | +0% |
| 05.09.23 | $449.24 | 1d | -0.61% | +0% | +0% | +0% |
Signal Statistics – Historical Edge
Calculated edge for SPY: 9.8%
| Range | N | 10d | 20d | 30d | 60d | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-7% | 3 | +5.17% | +4.16% | +6.74% | +20.34% | Hold |
| 3-5% | 2 | +3.97% | +5.84% | +8.2% | +20.57% | Hold |
| 1-3% | 9 | +2.05% | +2.76% | +3.44% | +5.37% | Hold |
| 0-1% | 6 | +0.56% | +1.21% | +1.92% | +7.59% | Hold |
| -1-0% | 5 | -0.54% | +0.35% | +0.6% | +7.71% | Neg |
| -3-1% | 2 | -1.19% | -1.53% | +1.01% | +0.18% | Neg |
| -5-3% | 1 | -3.39% | -3.39% | -3.39% | +0% | Neg |
Signal data as of August 21, 2026
Options Metrics
Gamma Exposure Timeline
Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.
Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.
Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →
Strategy Setups – You Decide
Based on current options data, one setup stands out. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.
All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.
View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →
About State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
The trust seeks to achieve its investment objective by holding a portfolio of the common stocks that are included in the index (the “Portfolio”), with the weight of each stock in the Portfolio substantially corresponding to the weight of such stock in the index.
Fund Overview
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Assets under Management | $698.27 B |
| Expense Ratio | 0.09% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.03% |
| Portfolio Turnover | 3% |
| YTD Return | 66.41% |
| 3-Year Return | 18.52% |
| 5-Year Return | 11.88% |
Sector Allocation
| Sector | Weight | |
|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 33% |
|
| Financials | 10.7% |
|
| Communication Services | 10.3% |
|
| Consumer Discretionary | 10% |
|
| Healthcare | 9.3% |
|
| Industrials | 9.1% |
|
| Consumer Staples | 5.1% |
|
| Energy | 4% |
|
| Utilities | 2.5% |
|
| Materials | 1.9% |
|
Top 10 Holdings
| Symbol | Company | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | NVIDIA CORP | 7.57% |
|
| AAPL | APPLE INC | 6.56% |
|
| MSFT | MICROSOFT CORP | 4.92% |
|
| AMZN | AMAZON.COM INC | 3.6% |
|
| GOOGL | ALPHABET INC CLASS A | 3% |
|
| AVGO | BROADCOM INC | 2.68% |
|
| GOOG | ALPHABET INC CLASS C | 2.4% |
|
| META | META PLATFORMS INC CLASS A | 2.3% |
|
| TSLA | TESLA INC | 1.91% |
|
| BRK-B | BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC CLASS B | 1.56% |
|
