MSTR – Strategy Inc

Technology | Software - Application | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$119.25
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▲ Long
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms uptrend – bulls in control
+89.68%
Signal Edge
Strong positive edge across 2 signals – signal has a clear statistical advantage
73.0
Trend Strength (ADX)
Strong trend – directional signals reliable
Options Signals
28%
IV-Rank (52w)
IV in normal range – no clear vol edge
89% / 11%
Call / Put Flow
Bullish positioning – call premium dominates options flow
Last Trendchange Signal
16.04.26
Date
Signal entry date
$148.94
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
28d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
+6.21%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
+19.53%
+20d
Return after 20 trading days
+19.12%
+30d
Return after 30 trading days
-19.93%
+60d
Return after 60 trading days

Trend Overview

Breakout – Downside Composite Score: +5 / 7

MSTR has just broken out of a 0-day volatility compression to the downside. Compressions of this length tend to resolve with a sustained directional move rather than a brief spike. Sellers have taken control out of the compression. The path of least resistance is now lower until a clear reclaim is confirmed.

What to watch

Avoid catching a falling knife. Wait for stabilisation and a reclaim of the breakout level before considering any long exposure.

Latest MSTR Reports

Follow-Up from Signals and Trendchanges MSTR Signal Follow-Up +6.21% – 10 Day Review (91.44% Edge)
Apr 30, 2026

MSTR Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 21.08.2026  ·  Close: $119.25  ·  ATR14: $5.68

Breakout – Downside Composite Score: +5 / 7

MSTR has just broken out of a 0-day volatility compression to the downside. Compressions of this length tend to resolve with a sustained directional move rather than a brief spike. Sellers have taken control out of the compression. The path of least resistance is now lower until a clear reclaim is confirmed.

What to watch

Avoid catching a falling knife. Wait for stabilisation and a reclaim of the breakout level before considering any long exposure.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▲ Long Primary directional bias
Momentum ▲ Up · 3d Strength: 1.53 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX) 73.0 – Strong ADX38: 35.9
Volatility (HV30) 71.1% – Calm HV90: 80.0% | HV180: 80.4%
Vola Compression Breakout – Upside Prior compression: 0d
MA Structure Death Cross ✗ Stack: No MAs aligned
EMA21 Distance 3.28 ATR ↑ EMA21: $97.52
GD200 Extension -3.0 ATR – Normal GD20: 3.7 | GD50: 3.4 | GD100: -1.1
🚀 Momentum Accelerating
Upward momentum active for 3 days and still gaining strength (current: 1.53). Trend is building, not fading.
💪 Trend Strength – ADX14: 73.0 (Strong)
A strong and well-defined trend. ADX38: 35.9. Trend-following has clear edge here.
🔻 Volatility Calm
HV30: 71.1% | HV90: 80.0% | HV180: 80.4%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.
💥 Compression Breakout – Upside
A 0-day compression was followed by a upside breakout. Watch for volume confirmation and follow-through.
💀 Death Cross – Long-term Bearish
Death Cross in place. GD50 $99.78 below GD200 $143.95. Long-term structure remains bearish. MA stack: No MAs aligned.
📈 EMA21 – Trend Accelerating
Price is pulling away from the EMA21 ($97.52) with 3.28 ATR distance and growing.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $98.57 (3.7 ATR) | GD50: $99.78 (3.4 ATR) | GD100: $127.32 (-1.1 ATR) | GD200: $143.95 (-3.0 ATR). ATR14: $5.68.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -2.60 -6.14 -6.17 -10.41 1.31 0.00 11.71 -7.70 8.25 3.19 -4.42 -2.51 -11.12
2011 20.36 7.70 16.96 2.61 3.91 8.68 -4.21 -23.19 -3.63 25.40 5.67 -11.45 22.51
2012 3.41 13.76 0.43 -2.37 -12.98 9.25 -10.59 6.63 6.94 -29.00 -9.14 5.30 -16.08
2013 5.03 -0.49 -1.94 -12.43 2.58 -4.50 8.20 -5.17 13.20 13.91 5.72 -0.96 30.05
2014 1.78 4.62 -10.47 4.39 16.71 0.36 0.49 -0.93 -5.97 25.12 7.72 -5.14 31.50
2015 -0.92 8.06 -5.79 7.62 -3.67 -3.41 19.87 -2.36 0.26 -13.65 -1.59 1.19 9.93
2016 0.82 -7.16 4.23 -1.86 1.30 -6.17 1.45 -3.02 0.06 18.93 -0.51 3.03 15.37
2017 1.77 -2.34 -3.10 1.49 -4.70 3.12 -27.88 -5.36 -0.62 2.48 1.71 -2.74 -33.62
2018 4.48 -7.98 4.12 1.59 -0.92 -2.07 0.46 12.62 -4.81 -7.69 T
3.18
-2.59 -3.11
2019 T
-1.32
10.55 1.83 1.63 -5.74 T
9.47
-2.36 T
5.76
3.34 T
4.72
-2.21 -5.00 10.89
2020 T
5.34
-9.57 -13.61 T
11.38
T
1.55
-3.51 T
5.18
16.73 1.21 T
12.15
105.76 19.91 169.23
2021 45.18 18.25 -13.24 T
-6.59
-26.05 T
39.07
-3.83 8.86 -17.67 T
16.75
-2.00 -22.82 28.06
2022 -34.09 18.77 T
4.65
-27.86 -27.66 -31.00 T
71.52
-16.00 -3.89 T
19.15
-22.98 -28.84 -74.64
2023 T
73.59
-2.09 T
13.34
10.42 -1.92 T
14.17
15.89 -17.81 -6.60 T
28.50
16.79 19.70 335.60
2024 -26.85 T
103.15
57.92 -34.93 T
48.26
-15.36 T
18.19
-12.41 T
37.84
50.29 68.68 -23.84 322.71
2025 T
11.59
-26.41 T
14.89
T
24.21
-3.29 8.59 T
7.65
-8.79 -5.68 -20.36 -33.06 -11.36 -49.35
2026 -4.74 -7.25 T
-9.34
T
34.75
-10.20 -41.96 -0.12 25.71 -24.12

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for MSTR:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
16.04.26 $148.94 28d +6.21% +19.53% +19.12% -19.93%
13.03.26 $139.67 12d -0.39% -0.39% +22.45% +0%
09.07.25 $415.41 20d +2.65% -0.12% -0.12% -57.29%
17.04.25 $317.20 52d +20.3% +25.17% +25.93% +30.81%
24.03.25 $335.72 4d -15.92% -5.35% +0% +0%
17.01.25 $396.50 4d -15.56% -15.56% -15.56% -12.8%
23.09.24 $149.97 48d +17.7% +43.94% +53.17% +123.24%
17.07.24 $159.00 17d +0.88% -8.93% -8.93% +37.77%
20.05.24 $172.72 3d -5.78% -7.15% -7.15% +0%
09.02.24 $64.63 44d +6.36% +120.57% +135.64% +148.12%

Signal Statistics – Historical Edge

Calculated edge for MSTR: 89.68%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
>20% 2 +20.28% +26.99% +37.57% +191.18% Hold
15-20% 2 +17.2% +31.2% +39.81% +80.84% Hold
10-15% 4 +11.46% +19.6% +24.29% +120.11% Hold
5-7% 4 +5.85% +35.43% +42.03% +35.4% Hold
3-5% 5 +3.43% +8.01% +3.39% -11.31% Close
1-3% 4 +1.93% +0.72% +1.27% -14.82% Close
0-1% 4 +0.66% -2.27% -1.67% +15.7% Hold
-1-0% 6 -0.44% -4.36% -0.56% -4.38% Neg
-3-1% 9 -1.8% -1.93% -0.78% -0.07% Neg
-5-3% 3 -3.73% +1.22% +2.46% +2.63% Neg
-7-5% 1 -5.78% -7.15% -7.15% +0% Neg
-10-7% 1 -8.32% +13.22% -1.33% -38.38% Neg
<-10% 3 -15.11% -11.59% -9.81% -9.29% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 0% after 10 days

Signal data as of August 21, 2026

HIGH ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 40.5

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
28%
IV is in its normal historical range – no structural vol edge in either direction.
Call / Put Flow
89% / 11%
More than 60% of options premium is flowing into calls. This indicates net bullish positioning by market participants.
GEX (Mio.)
52,368,558.1
Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.
GEX Flip Strike
$96.00 · 19.5%
The GEX flip strike is the price level where dealer gamma exposure shifts from positive to negative. A break through this level often accelerates the move.
Max Pain
$102.00 · 14.5%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$119.25
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

MSTR GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

MSTR GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap$36.64 B
Forward PE1.88
PEG Ratio2.85
EV/EBITDA-1.54
Price/Sales73.53
Price/Book1.12
Beta3.56

Profitability

MetricValue
Gross Margin67.60%
Operating Margin-6,808.11%
Net Margin0.00%
ROE-63.56%
ROA-38.73%

Analyst Consensus (14 Analysts)

MetricValue
Median Target$193
High Target$450
Low Target$125

About Strategy Inc

Strategy Inc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a bitcoin treasury company in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It offers investors varying degrees of economic exposure to Bitcoin by offering a range of securities, including equity and fixed income instruments. The company also provides AI-powered enterprise analytics software, including Strategy One, which provides non-technical users with the ability to directly access novel and actionable insights for decision-making. In addition, the company provides Strategy Mosaic, a universal intelligence layer that offers enterprises with consistent definitions and governance across data sources, regardless of where that data resides or which tools access it. The company was formerly known as MicroStrategy Incorporated and changed its name to Strategy Inc in August 2025. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Tysons Corner, Virginia.

ETF Holdings

Strategy Inc is included in 3 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF Weight
BLOK 1.61%
IGV 1.59%
QQQ 0.24%

Frequently Asked Questions – Strategy Inc (MSTR)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.