MSFT – Microsoft Corporation
Technology | Software - Infrastructure | Website
Quick Stats
Trend Overview
MSFT shows mixed signals. Some trend indicators are positive, others are neutral or deteriorating. The picture is not clear enough to lean heavily in either direction with conviction.
This is not an environment that rewards aggressive positioning. Reduced exposure or cash is a valid stance.
Options Signal Highlight
Latest MSFT Reports
MSFT Price Chart
Technical Trend Analysis
As of 21.08.2026 · Close: $483.24 · ATR14: $2.55
MSFT shows mixed signals. Some trend indicators are positive, others are neutral or deteriorating. The picture is not clear enough to lean heavily in either direction with conviction.
This is not an environment that rewards aggressive positioning. Reduced exposure or cash is a valid stance.
| Indicator | Signal | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Swing Trend | ▲ Long | Primary directional bias |
| Momentum | ▲ Up · 34d | Strength: 0.16 – Fading |
| Trend Strength (ADX) | 5.2 – Weak | ADX38: 43.3 |
| Volatility (HV30) | 50.8% – Rising | HV90: 40.4% | HV180: 36.0% |
| Vola Compression | None | Normal range |
| MA Structure | Death Cross ✗ | Stack: Mostly aligned (2/3) |
| EMA21 Distance | 5.78 ATR ↑ | EMA21: $463.79 |
| GD200 Extension | 4.7 ATR – Normal | GD20: 0.8 | GD50: 5.9 | GD100: 6.4 |
Monthly Performance History
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | -8.93 | 1.41 | 0.92 | 4.69 | -15.98 | -11.09 | 11.43 | -10.40 | 2.42 | 9.40 | -5.67 | 7.19 | -7.94 |
| 2011 | -0.94 | -4.44 | -2.93 | 1.74 | -1.93 | 6.40 | 5.26 | -1.80 | -5.05 | 8.59 | -0.84 | 2.67 | -4.77 |
| 2012 | 10.33 | 6.91 | -0.08 | -0.82 | -8.19 | 7.52 | -3.54 | 5.47 | -2.06 | -3.22 | -9.06 | 1.08 | 2.62 |
| 2013 | -0.58 | 0.40 | 2.33 | 15.73 | 7.40 | -2.95 | -7.35 | 6.21 | 4.41 | 5.45 | 8.15 | -2.69 | 39.59 |
| 2014 | 1.81 | 5.80 | 8.50 | -2.48 | 3.07 | 2.24 | 3.09 | 6.64 | 2.80 | 2.28 | 1.42 | -4.46 | 28.42 |
| 2015 | -13.60 | 6.98 | -7.34 | 19.45 | -3.06 | -6.53 | 5.07 | -6.42 | 5.85 | 18.01 | 2.78 | 0.47 | 21.89 |
| 2016 | 0.54 | -6.33 | 5.04 | -10.26 | 5.46 | -3.17 | 10.79 | 2.19 | 0.02 | 4.34 | 1.44 | 4.97 | 16.52 |
| 2017 | 3.32 | 1.24 | 1.41 | 4.44 | 1.19 | -1.67 |
T 6.64 |
3.57 | 0.75 | 11.47 | 1.70 | 1.52 | 39.75 |
| 2018 | 10.54 | -0.06 | -1.70 |
T 5.65 |
4.49 | -2.16 | 6.07 | 6.09 | 2.38 | -7.62 |
T 5.15 |
-9.38 | 20.21 |
| 2019 |
T 3.27 |
9.47 | 4.80 | 9.73 | -2.93 |
T 11.78 |
0.44 |
T 0.19 |
2.19 |
T 4.59 |
5.69 | 5.45 | 58.26 |
| 2020 | 5.98 | -6.84 | -8.73 |
T 17.82 |
5.27 | 11.31 | 0.15 | 4.40 | -7.45 |
T -4.70 |
6.08 | 2.87 | 39.94 |
| 2021 | 6.56 | -2.81 | -0.49 |
T 4.06 |
-0.64 |
T 9.50 |
4.90 | 6.19 | -6.60 |
T 14.71 |
0.55 |
T 1.89 |
55.79 |
| 2022 | -7.10 | -3.03 |
T 4.53 |
-10.31 | -4.21 | -5.72 |
T 8.15 |
-5.75 | -10.56 | -3.58 |
T 12.14 |
-5.84 | -27.69 |
| 2023 |
T 3.44 |
0.85 | 17.07 | 6.97 | 7.47 | 2.39 | -0.61 | -2.55 |
T -3.93 |
T 5.07 |
9.49 | 0.41 | 60.41 |
| 2024 |
T 7.20 |
2.44 | 1.26 | -8.30 |
T 5.11 |
8.08 | -8.40 | 0.01 |
T 5.09 |
-3.41 |
T 3.19 |
-2.20 | 13.65 |
| 2025 |
T -0.84 |
-3.39 | -3.37 |
T 3.42 |
8.22 | 7.67 | 8.42 | -3.32 |
T 2.54 |
-0.37 | -4.84 | -0.64 | 15.54 |
| 2026 | -9.02 | -7.23 | -7.12 |
T 10.40 |
8.64 | -19.00 |
T 20.93 |
-0.90 | 2.18 |
T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.
Trendchange Signal History
The last 10 Trendchange signals for MSFT:
| Date | Entry Price | Days Held | +10d | +20d | +30d | +60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.07.26 | $451.10 | 14d | +9.16% | +7.12% | +0% | +0% |
| 15.04.26 | $411.22 | 28d | +4.38% | +0.35% | +1.17% | +17.51% |
| 30.09.25 | $517.95 | 17d | -0.75% | +2.62% | -0.18% | -19.55% |
| 29.04.25 | $394.04 | 74d | +14.01% | +16.91% | +19.51% | +31.21% |
| 28.01.25 | $447.20 | 15d | -1.09% | -1.09% | -1.09% | +5.18% |
| 14.11.24 | $426.89 | 36d | -0.91% | +5.31% | +2.63% | +3.62% |
| 16.09.24 | $431.34 | 9d | -0.77% | -2.47% | -0.74% | +0% |
| 14.05.24 | $416.56 | 42d | +3.3% | +3.87% | +8.55% | +3.83% |
| 10.01.24 | $382.77 | 65d | +5.17% | +8.17% | +7.54% | +21.81% |
| 12.10.23 | $331.16 | 56d | +2.87% | +9.68% | +14.1% | +22.77% |
Signal Statistics – Historical Edge
Calculated edge for MSFT: 18.11%
| Range | N | 10d | 20d | 30d | 60d | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15% | 1 | +14.01% | +16.91% | +19.51% | +31.21% | Hold |
| 7-10% | 4 | +8.74% | +6.46% | +5.36% | +21.49% | Hold |
| 5-7% | 4 | +5.61% | +8.15% | +8.53% | +13.69% | Hold |
| 3-5% | 6 | +3.48% | +2.33% | +4.15% | +17.13% | Hold |
| 1-3% | 4 | +1.81% | +4.35% | +5.88% | +13.22% | Hold |
| 0-1% | 3 | +0.26% | +2.71% | +3.65% | +23.61% | Hold |
| -1-0% | 5 | -0.6% | +1.19% | +0.85% | +0.49% | Neg |
| -3-1% | 6 | -1.72% | -1.55% | -0.26% | +9.06% | Neg |
| -5-3% | 1 | -3.59% | -3.59% | -3.59% | -12.8% | Neg |
Signal data as of August 21, 2026
Options Metrics
Gamma Exposure Timeline
Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.
Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.
Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →
Strategy Setups – You Decide
Based on current options data, 2 setups match the current conditions. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.
All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.
View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.68 T |
| PE Ratio (TTM) | 27.71 |
| Forward PE | 21.02 |
| PEG Ratio | 1.65 |
| EV/EBITDA | 19.26 |
| Price/Sales | 11.09 |
| Price/Book | 8.32 |
| Beta | 1.10 |
Profitability
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 67.94% |
| Operating Margin | 45.11% |
| Net Margin | 40.31% |
| ROE | 34.04% |
| ROA | 14.09% |
Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Annual Dividend | $3.64 |
| Forward Yield | 73.00% |
| Payout Ratio | 19.83% |
| Dividend Date | 2026-09-09 |
Analyst Consensus (53 Analysts)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median Target | $550 |
| High Target | $870 |
| Low Target | $400 |
About Microsoft Corporation
Microsoft Corporation, a technology company, develops and supports a portfolio of technology solutions for individuals and businesses worldwide. Its products include operating systems, server applications, business solution applications, software development tools, desktop and server management tools, and video games; and devices, such as PCs, tablets, gaming and entertainment consoles, other intelligent devices, and related accessories. The company's Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Microsoft 365 Commercial, Enterprise Mobility + Security, Power BI, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Microsoft 365 Security and Compliance, Microsoft 365 Copilot, and Windows Commercial on-premises and Office licensed on-premises. This segment also provides Microsoft 365 Consumer products and cloud services; LinkedIn, including talent solutions, marketing solutions, subscriptions, and sales solutions; Dynamics 365, a set of cloud-based applications; and on-premises ERP and CRM applications. Its Intelligent Cloud segment offers server products and cloud services; cloud and AI consumption-based services, GitHub cloud services, health and life sciences cloud services, as well as virtual desktop offerings, and other cloud services; SQL Server, Windows Server, Visual Studio, System Center, and related client access licenses; and enterprise support services, industry solutions, Microsoft partner network, and learning experience. The company's More Personal Computing segment provides Windows OEM licensing and devices comprising Surface and PC accessories; XBOX hardware, and XBOX first- and third-party content and services; XBOX Game Pass and other subscriptions; XBOX Cloud Gaming, advertising, and other cloud services; and search advertising consisting of Bing, Copilot, Microsoft News, Microsoft Edge, and third-party affiliates. It sells its products through partners and retail networks. The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, Washington.
ETF Holdings
Microsoft Corporation is included in 8 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.
