META – Meta Platforms, Inc.

Communication Services | Internet Content & Information | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$721.31
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▲ Long
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms uptrend – bulls in control
+10.26%
Signal Edge
Moderate edge across 1 signals – signal performs above random, not exceptional
36.9
Trend Strength (ADX)
Strong trend – directional signals reliable
Options Signals
16%
IV-Rank (52w)
Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored
77% / 23%
Call / Put Flow
Bullish positioning – call premium dominates options flow
Last Trendchange Signal
09.09.26
Date
Signal entry date
$653.69
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
14d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
+12.68%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
+13.03%
+20d
Return after 20 trading days
–
+30d
Not yet reached
–
+60d
Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Mixed Signals – Caution Composite Score: +1 / 7

META shows mixed signals. Some trend indicators are positive, others are neutral or deteriorating. The picture is not clear enough to lean heavily in either direction with conviction.

What to watch

This is not an environment that rewards aggressive positioning. Reduced exposure or cash is a valid stance.

Options Signal Highlight

META Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 07.10.2026  ·  Close: $721.31  ·  ATR14: $3.27

Mixed Signals – Caution Composite Score: +1 / 7

META shows mixed signals. Some trend indicators are positive, others are neutral or deteriorating. The picture is not clear enough to lean heavily in either direction with conviction.

What to watch

This is not an environment that rewards aggressive positioning. Reduced exposure or cash is a valid stance.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▲ Long Primary directional bias
Momentum ▲ Up · 29d Strength: 0.21 – Fading
Trend Strength (ADX) 36.9 – Strong ADX38: 36.4
Volatility (HV30) 48.0% – Rising HV90: 47.9% | HV180: 44.9%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Golden Cross ✓ Stack: Mostly aligned (2/3)
EMA21 Distance 0.74 ATR ↓ EMA21: $694.66
GD200 Extension 4.5 ATR – Normal GD20: 0.4 | GD50: 4.2 | GD100: 5.0
⚠️ Momentum Fading
Upward momentum has been running 29 days but strength is declining (0.21). The trend is intact but losing energy.
💪 Trend Strength – ADX14: 36.9 (Strong)
A strong and well-defined trend. ADX38: 36.4. Trend-following has clear edge here.
🔺 Volatility Rising
HV30: 48.0% | HV90: 47.9% | HV180: 44.9%. Short-term vol is running above its 90-day average. Wider stops and reduced size may be appropriate.
⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish
Golden Cross in place. GD50 $633.43 above GD200 $629.54 by 0.62%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Mostly aligned (2/3).
📉 EMA21 – Gap Narrowing
Price is 0.74 ATR from the EMA21 ($694.66) but the distance is shrinking.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $711.83 (0.4 ATR) | GD50: $633.43 (4.2 ATR) | GD100: $619.27 (5.0 ATR) | GD200: $629.54 (4.5 ATR). ATR14: $3.27.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2012 -22.57 12.19 -29.44 -13.51 22.17 -4.00 32.01 -1.55 -30.37
2013 10.64 -8.34 -7.92 8.77 -11.23 4.32 48.33 10.14 19.97 -0.42 -5.51 16.13 95.18
2014 14.37 11.35 -10.64 -4.54 3.52 6.67 6.74 3.40 3.08 -2.04 5.17 3.89 42.61
2015 -3.24 5.31 3.10 -3.55 0.25 6.83 8.17 -5.00 3.06 12.12 0.90 -2.30 33.41
2016 9.77 -7.10 3.90 1.31 0.20 -3.79 8.54 1.46 1.66 1.72 -8.56 -0.04 12.55
2017 11.52 1.73 3.37 5.60 -0.66 -0.36 14.03 1.24 -0.67 6.25 -3.00 0.78 51.00
2018 3.02 -7.65 -9.18 10.69 10.31 0.17 -12.56 2.38 -3.91 -6.56 -7.34 -7.09 -27.74
2019 T
22.86
-2.57 2.72 T
14.64
-8.06 T
17.58
0.64 -3.66 T
-2.36
T
9.01
4.14 2.78 51.28
2020 -3.75 T
-5.74
-15.09 T
28.26
11.28 -2.09 6.79 16.37 -11.35 T
-1.32
5.97 T
-4.67
30.21
2021 T
-3.95
-1.68 T
11.18
8.85 1.91 5.65 0.54 7.79 -11.17 -5.67 T
-1.67
T
8.29
25.07
2022 -7.47 -33.85 T
9.27
-10.84 T
-8.28
-14.52 -0.58 T
1.88
-17.95 -32.79 T
24.05
-0.08 -64.45
2023 19.42 14.25 22.21 12.79 8.86 5.27 11.39 -8.31 T
1.29
-1.81 T
4.91
8.97 183.76
2024 12.66 24.15 -3.33 -12.45 6.29 T
5.60
-5.91 T
4.74
11.86 -1.54 1.26 T
-1.23
69.08
2025 15.01 -4.20 -12.01 -6.31 T
13.16
10.01 T
7.54
-1.51 -0.10 -9.62 1.61 T
3.00
10.15
2026 T
10.16
-8.24 -12.46 T
5.64
3.90 -6.19 T
-9.17
-3.03 T
25.35
-0.64 10.90

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

META - Trendchange Chart

StockBotty Trendchange META Chart

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for META:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
09.09.26 $653.69 14d +12.68% +13.03% +0% +0%
08.07.26 $603.12 16d +6.75% -1.31% -1.31% -1.31%
14.04.26 $662.49 16d +2.43% -7.63% -7.63% -7.63%
27.01.26 $672.97 8d +0.63% -3.44% -3.44% -3.44%
23.12.25 $664.94 6d -0.73% -0.73% -0.73% +0%
31.07.25 $773.44 12d +0.86% -3.33% -3.33% -3.33%
02.05.25 $597.02 32d +7.85% +8.45% +14.38% +18.99%
02.12.24 $592.83 20d +4.64% -1.28% -1.28% -1.28%
12.08.24 $515.95 12d +2.34% +1.04% +1.04% +1.04%
05.06.24 $495.06 27d +0.89% +3.01% +0.77% +0.77%

Signal Statistics - Historical Edge

Calculated edge for META: 10.26%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
15-20% 1 +18.85% +13.79% +16.13% +16.13% Hold
10-15% 3 +12.76% +13.4% +11.61% +13.58% Hold
7-10% 1 +7.85% +8.45% +14.38% +18.99% Hold
5-7% 2 +6.69% +0.28% +0.28% +0.28% Close
3-5% 6 +3.89% +8.84% +7.53% +9.38% Close
1-3% 8 +2.16% +8.01% +7.17% +13.81% Hold
0-1% 7 +0.64% -0.8% +0.99% +0.62% Close
-1-0% 2 -0.47% -0.36% -0.36% +0% Neg
-3-1% 3 -2.48% -2% -2% -0.91% Neg
-5-3% 5 -4.06% -5.23% -4.3% -0.67% Neg
-7-5% 3 -5.87% -5.88% -5.88% +0% Neg
-10-7% 3 -7.71% -7.71% -7.71% -5.34% Neg
<-10% 1 -11.53% -11.53% -11.53% -11.53% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 1% after 10 days

Signal data as of October 7, 2026

HIGH ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 25.5

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
16%
Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).
Call / Put Flow
77% / 23%
More than 60% of options premium is flowing into calls. This indicates net bullish positioning by market participants.
GEX (Mio.)
73,561,975.9
Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.
GEX Flip Strike
$720.00 · 0.2%
GEX flip strike is very close to spot price. Crossing this level can trigger a regime change – from suppressed to amplified volatility.
Max Pain
$720.00 · 0.2%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$721.31
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

META GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

META GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, 2 setups match the current conditions. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 16% – options are historically cheap. Bullish flow (77% calls) supports buying upside premium at below-average cost.

Advantages
✓ Unlimited upside potential with maximum loss capped at the premium paid
✓ Low IV-Rank means you are buying at historically cheap levels
✓ Benefits from both a price increase and a subsequent rise in implied volatility
Risks
✕ Time decay (theta) works against the position every day
✕ Requires a meaningful move to overcome the premium paid
✕ Full premium is lost if the stock stays below the strike at expiration
▶ FAQ: Long Call
What is a Long Call?

A Long Call gives the buyer the right to purchase the underlying at the strike price before expiration. The maximum loss is limited to the premium paid. It expresses a bullish directional view and profits if the underlying rises significantly above the strike price.

Why buy calls when IV-Rank is low?

Low IV-Rank means implied volatility is historically cheap - options are priced below their typical levels. Buying premium when it is cheap reduces the hurdle rate for profitability. If IV subsequently rises, the option gains value from both the price move and the increase in implied volatility.

What is the breakeven on a Long Call?

The breakeven equals the strike price plus the premium paid. For example, a call with a $100 strike bought for $3 breaks even at $103. Above that level, the position profits dollar-for-dollar with the stock. Below the strike at expiration, the full premium is lost.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 16% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages
✓ Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side
✓ Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle
✓ An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously
Risks
✕ Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid
✕ Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches
✕ If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless
▶ FAQ: Long Straddle
What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap$1.70 T
PE Ratio (TTM)25.05
Forward PE19.04
PEG Ratio0.86
EV/EBITDA15.66
Price/Sales7.43
Price/Book6.49
Beta1.24

Profitability

MetricValue
Gross Margin81.75%
Operating Margin34.83%
Net Margin29.83%
ROE29.85%
ROA14.59%

Dividends

MetricValue
Annual Dividend$2.1
Forward Yield32.00%
Payout Ratio7.91%
Dividend Date2026-06-24

Analyst Consensus (57 Analysts)

MetricValue
Median Target$750
High Target$1000
Low Target$580

About Meta Platforms, Inc.

Meta Platforms, Inc. engages in the development of products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality (VR) headsets, and AI glasses in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Family of Apps (FoA) and Reality Labs (RL). The FoA segment offers Facebook, which enables people to build community through feed, reels, stories, groups, marketplace, and other; Instagram that brings people closer through Instagram feed, stories, reels, live, and messaging; Messenger, a messaging application for people to connect with friends, family, communities, and businesses across platforms and devices through text, audio, and video calls; Meta AI, an assistant that's available across apps, as a stand-alone app, on AI glasses, and on the web; Threads, an application for text-based updates and public conversations; and WhatsApp, a messaging application that is used by people and businesses to communicate and transact. The RL segment provides virtual and augmented reality products, including consumer hardware, software, and content that help people feel connected, as well as Meta Quest devices that enable social experiences across gaming, fitness, entertainment, and more. The segment also includes wearables such as AI glasses like Ray Ban Meta and Oakley Meta glasses; and the Meta Ray Ban Display, which combines AI glasses with an integrated lens display and the Meta Neural Band, a wrist worn device using electromyography that lets people control their AI glasses through neuromuscular signals. Meta Platforms, Inc. has a collaboration with Microsoft Corporation, NVIDIA Corporation, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc., Broadcom Inc., and OpenAI, L.L.C. The company was formerly known as Facebook, Inc. and changed its name to Meta Platforms, Inc. in October 2021. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, California.

ETF Holdings

Meta Platforms, Inc. is included in 4 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF Weight
XLC 19.20%
QQQ 3.54%
CHAT 2.70%
SPY 2.30%

Frequently Asked Questions – Meta Platforms, Inc. (META)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.