LOW – Lowe's Companies, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical | Home Improvement Retail | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$181.54
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▼ Short
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms downtrend – bears in control
+9.75%
Signal Edge
Slim positive edge across 1 signals – treat with caution
43.2
Trend Strength (ADX)
Strong trend – directional signals reliable
Options Signals
22%
IV-Rank (52w)
IV in normal range – no clear vol edge
3% / 97%
Call / Put Flow
Bearish positioning – put premium dominates options flow
Last Trendchange Signal
07.08.26
Date
Signal entry date
$223.35
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
4d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
-2.69%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
-3.92%
+20d
Return after 20 trading days
-3.92%
+30d
Return after 30 trading days
-3.92%
+60d
Return after 60 trading days

Trend Overview

Mixed Signals – Caution Composite Score: +1 / 7

LOW shows mixed signals. Some trend indicators are positive, others are neutral or deteriorating. The picture is not clear enough to lean heavily in either direction with conviction.

What to watch

This is not an environment that rewards aggressive positioning. Reduced exposure or cash is a valid stance.

LOW Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 07.10.2026  ·  Close: $181.54  ·  ATR14: $2.36

Mixed Signals – Caution Composite Score: +1 / 7

LOW shows mixed signals. Some trend indicators are positive, others are neutral or deteriorating. The picture is not clear enough to lean heavily in either direction with conviction.

What to watch

This is not an environment that rewards aggressive positioning. Reduced exposure or cash is a valid stance.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▼ Short Primary directional bias
Momentum ▼ Down · -30d Strength: -0.57 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX) 43.2 – Strong ADX38: 30.9
Volatility (HV30) 20.1% – Calm HV90: 27.1% | HV180: 28.0%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Death Cross ✗ Stack: No MAs aligned
EMA21 Distance -1.85 ATR ↑ EMA21: $188.23
GD200 Extension -9.0 ATR – Normal GD20: -1.8 | GD50: -4.5 | GD100: -5.6
📉 Downside Momentum Intensifying
Downward momentum active for -30 days and still building (-0.57). Selling pressure is not easing.
💪 Trend Strength – ADX14: 43.2 (Strong)
A strong and well-defined trend. ADX38: 30.9. Trend-following has clear edge here.
🔻 Volatility Calm
HV30: 20.1% | HV90: 27.1% | HV180: 28.0%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.
💀 Death Cross – Long-term Bearish
Death Cross in place. GD50 $203.21 below GD200 $230.62. Long-term structure remains bearish. MA stack: No MAs aligned.
📈 EMA21 – Trend Accelerating
Price is pulling away from the EMA21 ($188.23) with -1.85 ATR distance and growing.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $189.51 (-1.8 ATR) | GD50: $203.21 (-4.5 ATR) | GD100: $209.05 (-5.6 ATR) | GD200: $230.62 (-9.0 ATR). ATR14: $2.36.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -6.52 7.82 1.08 10.51 -10.78 -15.93 1.62 -4.92 4.94 -4.52 7.13 5.60 8.29
2011 -1.43 4.68 3.65 -1.83 -8.49 -1.73 -9.40 -5.50 -2.37 10.75 16.55 6.33 0.87
2012 5.13 5.58 10.57 0.29 -15.47 7.89 -11.36 13.29 6.37 6.83 9.50 -1.44 39.18
2013 5.53 -1.06 -1.20 2.40 10.29 -3.45 8.57 1.73 4.39 3.30 -3.46 5.81 36.92
2014 -6.37 9.71 -2.57 -7.12 1.53 2.08 -0.58 10.34 0.59 8.75 11.11 8.93 39.16
2015 0.09 8.30 -0.93 -7.43 -1.02 -4.52 3.15 0.38 1.73 5.79 3.84 -1.41 12.32
2016 -4.81 -7.06 9.72 -0.63 5.24 -1.37 3.37 -6.99 -5.53 -7.67 7.50 0.17 -5.53
2017 3.00 2.79 0.93 3.46 -6.67 -3.61 -1.10 -5.06 7.09 -1.04 4.32 10.34 30.99
2018 14.31 -13.74 -0.24 -2.55 14.53 -0.27 4.71 11.01 4.45 -16.52 -3.15 -2.05 0.81
2019 T
4.22
8.22 5.30 3.86 -15.74 7.53 T
-0.78
T
12.78
-1.10 T
1.91
3.86 3.24 29.79
2020 -3.50 T
-9.05
-22.51 T
30.25
24.78 4.48 9.79 9.60 -1.03 -5.43 -2.75 T
4.63
33.25
2021 4.03 -2.22 T
17.44
2.58 -2.19 1.11 T
-1.60
T
6.77
-0.28 14.79 5.54 5.36 61.17
2022 -7.11 -7.25 T
-8.72
-2.31 -3.86 -8.89 T
7.99
0.03 -4.06 0.53 T
9.82
-7.54 -22.02
2023 T
4.63
T
-3.66
2.91 T
1.88
-3.41 T
10.68
4.31 -0.80 T
-10.61
-7.37 T
3.94
9.14 11.81
2024 -2.66 T
9.28
4.10 -8.54 -2.74 T
1.72
T
14.96
2.96 10.34 -3.96 4.00 T
-9.28
12.87
2025 T
5.29
-3.06 -5.25 -4.47 T
1.53
-1.62 T
-2.22
13.98 -2.87 -3.98 T
2.90
-2.12 -2.36
2026 8.17 -1.67 -8.12 T
1.19
-8.13 6.16 T
-6.36
T
-3.47
-7.88 -0.46 -26.47

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

LOW - Trendchange Chart

StockBotty Trendchange LOW Chart

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for LOW:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
07.08.26 $223.35 4d -2.69% -3.92% -3.92% -3.92%
01.07.26 $221.92 6d -4.09% -4.09% -4.09% +0%
20.04.26 $253.29 4d -5.12% -5.12% -5.12% -5.12%
26.11.25 $241.61 23d +1.9% +0.19% +0.19% +0.19%
03.07.25 $228.31 4d -5.83% -5.83% -5.83% -5.83%
05.05.25 $225.19 11d +4.01% -1.83% -1.83% +0%
27.01.25 $268.42 4d -4.27% -4.27% -4.27% -4.27%
09.12.24 $274.15 3d -2.28% -2.28% -2.28% +0%
12.07.24 $234.08 15d +0.29% +0.96% +0.75% +0.75%
24.06.24 $228.39 1d +0% +0% +0% +0%

Signal Statistics - Historical Edge

Calculated edge for LOW: 9.75%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
15-20% 1 +15.62% +16.51% +20.09% +69.2% Hold
10-15% 6 +12.17% +13.39% +15.37% +15.88% Hold
7-10% 9 +8.31% +12.82% +12.25% +19.81% Hold
5-7% 10 +6.01% +3.74% +6.94% +16.04% Hold
3-5% 13 +3.89% +5.06% +7.03% +7.03% Hold
1-3% 16 +1.85% +3.35% +3.64% +2.95% Close
0-1% 12 +0.5% +0.87% +1.95% +4.42% Hold
-1-0% 13 -0.51% +2% +2.36% +1.39% Neg
-3-1% 14 -2.06% +2.45% +2.01% +3.37% Neg
-5-3% 12 -3.97% -2.78% -2.91% -2.67% Neg
-7-5% 9 -5.71% -3.82% -3.36% -2.37% Neg
-10-7% 2 -8.03% -7.88% -7.88% -3.59% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 0% after 10 days

Signal data as of October 7, 2026

MEDIUM ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 4

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
22%
IV is in its normal historical range – no structural vol edge in either direction.
Call / Put Flow
3% / 97%
More than 60% of options premium is flowing into puts. This indicates net bearish positioning by market participants.
GEX (Mio.)
-2,944,555.7
Negative GEX: market makers are short gamma. They sell dips and buy rallies, which amplifies moves and increases volatility.
GEX Flip Strike
$182.50 · 0.5%
GEX flip strike is very close to spot price. Crossing this level can trigger a regime change – from suppressed to amplified volatility.
Max Pain
$182.50 · 0.5%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$181.54
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

LOW GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

LOW GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap$111.18 B
PE Ratio (TTM)16.75
Forward PE15.21
PEG Ratio1.33
EV/EBITDA11.79
Price/Sales1.23
Price/Book-14.95
Beta0.85

Profitability

MetricValue
Gross Margin32.99%
Operating Margin13.37%
Net Margin7.35%
ROA12.52%

Dividends

MetricValue
Annual Dividend$5
Forward Yield254.00%
Payout Ratio41.00%
Dividend Date2026-11-03

Analyst Consensus (33 Analysts)

MetricValue
Median Target$255
High Target$290
Low Target$191

About Lowe's Companies, Inc.

Lowe's Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a home improvement retailer in the United States and Canada. It provides a line of products for construction, maintenance, repair, remodeling, and decorating. The company also offers home improvement products, such as appliances, seasonal and outdoor living, lumber, lawn and garden, kitchens and bath, hardware, building materials, millwork, paint, rough plumbing, tools, electrical, flooring, and décor. In addition, it provides installation services through independent contractors in various product categories; and extended protection plans and repair services. Further, the company provides design, distribution, and installation services for interior surface finishes to home builders and property managers. It sells its national brand-name merchandise and private brand products to professional customers, individual homeowners, and renters. The company serves its products through Lowes.com website, mobile applications, retail home improvement stores and outlet stores, and its branches. Lowe's Companies, Inc. was founded in 1921 and is based in Mooresville, North Carolina.

ETF Holdings

Lowe's Companies, Inc. is included in 3 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF Weight
XLY 3.37%
VCR 2.25%
SPY 0.23%

Frequently Asked Questions – Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.