FSLR – First Solar, Inc.

Technology | Solar | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$214.28
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▼ Short
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms downtrend – bears in control
+46.7%
Signal Edge
Strong positive edge across 1 signals – signal has a clear statistical advantage
9.4
Trend Strength (ADX)
Weak / ranging – trend signals less reliable
Options Signals
0%
IV-Rank (52w)
Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored
55% / 45%
Call / Put Flow
Neutral flow – call and put activity roughly balanced
Last Trendchange Signal
10.08.26
Date
Signal entry date
$239.33
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
2d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
-7.07%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
+20d
Not yet reached
+30d
Not yet reached
+60d
Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Downtrend Confirmed – Avoid Longs Composite Score: -4 / 7

FSLR is in a confirmed downtrend with broad signal alignment to the downside. The swing trend is negative, momentum is running bearish for -2 days, the 50-day is below the 200-day moving average, and the moving average stack is bearishly ordered.

What to watch

Avoid long exposure. The weight of evidence points lower. Any rally attempts should be treated as potential shorting opportunities until price reclaims the EMA21 and primary trend turns positive.

Options Signal Highlight

Latest FSLR Reports

Follow-Up from Signals and Trendchanges FSLR Signal Follow-Up 10 Days: -10.47% Stoploss Exit
Aug 22, 2026
Aug 11, 2026

FSLR Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 21.08.2026  ·  Close: $214.28  ·  ATR14: $5.59

Downtrend Confirmed – Avoid Longs Composite Score: -4 / 7

FSLR is in a confirmed downtrend with broad signal alignment to the downside. The swing trend is negative, momentum is running bearish for -2 days, the 50-day is below the 200-day moving average, and the moving average stack is bearishly ordered.

What to watch

Avoid long exposure. The weight of evidence points lower. Any rally attempts should be treated as potential shorting opportunities until price reclaims the EMA21 and primary trend turns positive.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▼ Short Primary directional bias
Momentum ▼ Down · -2d Strength: -0.28 – Fading
Trend Strength (ADX) 9.4 – Weak ADX38: 5.5
Volatility (HV30) 52.0% – Calm HV90: 57.0% | HV180: 55.8%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Death Cross ✗ Stack: Partially aligned (1/3)
EMA21 Distance -1.69 ATR ↓ EMA21: $219.71
GD200 Extension -1.5 ATR – Normal GD20: -0.8 | GD50: -1.2 | GD100: -1.2
🟡 Downside Momentum Easing
Downward momentum has run -2 days but strength is decreasing (-0.28). The move may be exhausting.
⚪ Trend Strength – ADX14: 9.4 (Weak)
Weak or ranging market. ADX38: 5.5. Trend-following signals carry lower reliability.
🔻 Volatility Calm
HV30: 52.0% | HV90: 57.0% | HV180: 55.8%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.
💀 Death Cross – Long-term Bearish
Death Cross in place. GD50 $229.99 below GD200 $233.58. Long-term structure remains bearish. MA stack: Partially aligned (1/3).
📉 EMA21 – Gap Narrowing
Price is -1.69 ATR from the EMA21 ($219.71) but the distance is shrinking.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $223.85 (-0.8 ATR) | GD50: $229.99 (-1.2 ATR) | GD100: $229.25 (-1.2 ATR) | GD200: $233.58 (-1.5 ATR). ATR14: $5.59.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -16.36 -9.99 16.12 18.70 -23.52 6.27 6.81 1.36 13.20 -6.49 -8.62 2.68 -3.93
2011 16.42 -5.58 9.14 -12.99 -9.66 10.49 -11.15 -14.83 -34.79 -14.04 2.31 -29.00 -74.57
2012 18.13 -24.32 -17.65 -24.99 -31.81 27.95 1.70 35.07 17.07 10.81 9.05 12.22 -13.77
2013 -11.91 -8.79 6.35 73.60 18.81 -15.98 6.28 -23.74 9.06 19.39 1.15 -8.64 70.80
2014 -11.94 18.04 24.71 -4.80 -8.16 13.33 -10.72 12.33 -5.19 -7.55 -16.31 -2.53 -22.35
2015 -5.01 31.38 -2.16 -1.91 -13.31 -5.85 -3.78 9.50 -9.54 33.72 -2.20 13.42 48.13
2016 2.91 3.96 -0.80 -17.25 -9.48 -3.18 T
-3.73
-20.18 2.73 T
4.98
-26.14 6.47 -51.90
2017 -7.01 T
13.84
-22.62 12.23 T
30.32
4.07 23.06 -5.42 -4.10 T
16.19
8.55 11.97 101.31
2018 -4.63 -6.96 T
14.32
2.19 0.15 -20.13 -1.32 -2.44 -5.63 -14.66 T
7.21
-8.49 -39.71
2019 T
18.87
8.51 -1.07 13.71 -4.65 T
11.80
-2.48 -7.12 T
-4.85
-7.98 T
5.06
T
2.27
31.48
2020 -13.38 T
-8.90
-19.78 T
31.61
11.05 3.10 21.31 25.89 -15.58 T
26.95
5.11 8.63 72.82
2021 -2.06 -17.59 2.84 -11.17 0.45 T
17.73
-4.58 6.49 1.49 T
23.84
-14.48 -14.25 -13.91
2022 -11.52 -3.10 T
10.74
-13.07 -4.11 T
-3.87
45.52 28.20 3.47 T
6.55
16.13 -11.12 69.10
2023 T
21.69
-6.11 11.15 -12.43 12.23 -8.93 T
8.37
-6.69 -13.30 -8.88 T
10.46
7.48 18.05
2024 -15.02 4.06 T
6.80
2.58 53.04 -17.33 -3.02 T
4.06
T
17.25
-19.19 -2.77 T
-15.24
2.37
2025 -10.16 -18.55 -0.94 T
-1.37
24.90 10.62 T
7.22
6.10 12.64 18.73 2.72 -0.88 40.09
2026 -17.80 -14.47 -1.30 1.24 44.91 -22.13 -9.07 T
-7.93
-21.89

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for FSLR:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
10.08.26 $239.33 2d -7.07% +0% +0% +0%
07.07.25 $177.06 35d -0.68% +3.9% +12.93% +25.61%
25.04.25 $141.86 13d -5.71% +10.21% +17.26% +30.16%
05.12.24 $197.93 12d +0.88% +0.88% +0.88% -11.46%
16.09.24 $233.31 24d +9.62% -0.93% -0.93% -14.42%
21.08.24 $222.63 10d -4.44% +8.62% +0% +0%
05.03.24 $159.06 43d -6.08% +5.1% +8.81% +45.31%
20.11.23 $159.29 23d +0.16% +4.17% +5.1% +13.06%
17.07.23 $206.71 10d +0.82% -0.89% -3.33% -19.25%
12.01.23 $178.85 19d -1.91% -5.96% -3.63% +11.73%

Signal Statistics – Historical Edge

Calculated edge for FSLR: 46.7%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
10-15% 1 +13.82% +4.12% +14.99% +40.05% Hold
7-10% 3 +8.39% +7.82% +4.71% +45.2% Hold
3-5% 6 +4.13% +5.33% +8.44% +32.71% Hold
1-3% 3 +2.2% +3.28% +3.91% -13.27% Close
0-1% 6 +0.62% +2.38% +2.89% -7.62% Close
-1-0% 2 -0.58% +3.94% +8.45% +8.1% Neg
-3-1% 2 -1.7% -2.98% -1.81% +5.87% Neg
-5-3% 2 -4.71% +1.82% -2.49% -5.44% Neg
-7-5% 3 -5.66% +3.25% +6.84% +14.54% Neg
-10-7% 3 -8.1% -5.68% -6.96% +38.76% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 3% after 10 days

Signal data as of August 21, 2026

MEDIUM ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 6.3

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
0%
Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).
Call / Put Flow
55% / 45%
Call and put premium are roughly balanced. No clear directional bias from options flow.
GEX (Mio.)
-3,297,222.1
Negative GEX: market makers are short gamma. They sell dips and buy rallies, which amplifies moves and increases volatility.
GEX Flip Strike
$217.50 · 1.5%
GEX flip strike is very close to spot price. Crossing this level can trigger a regime change – from suppressed to amplified volatility.
Max Pain
$225.00 · 5%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$214.28
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

FSLR GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

FSLR GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, one setup stands out. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 0% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages
Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side
Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle
An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously
Risks
Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid
Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches
If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless
FAQ: Long Straddle
What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap$24.24 B
PE Ratio (TTM)22.83
Forward PE9.70
PEG Ratio0.65
EV/EBITDA9.52
Price/Sales4.51
Price/Book2.35
Beta1.75

Profitability

MetricValue
Gross Margin44.02%
Operating Margin42.64%
Net Margin32.47%
ROE18.51%
ROA8.62%

Analyst Consensus (29 Analysts)

MetricValue
Median Target$270
High Target$402
Low Target$150

About First Solar, Inc.

First Solar, Inc., a solar technology company, provides photovoltaic (PV) solar energy solutions in the United States, France, India, Chile, and internationally. The company manufactures and sells PV solar modules with thin film semiconductor technology that provides conventional crystalline silicon PV solar modules. It also designs, manufactures, and sells cadmium telluride solar modules that convert sunlight into electricity. The company serves system developers, independent power producers, utilities, commercial and industrial companies, large corporate energy buyers, and other system owners and operators. The company was formerly known as First Solar Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to First Solar, Inc. in 2006. First Solar, Inc. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.

ETF Holdings

First Solar, Inc. is included in 2 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF Weight
XLK 0.19%
SPY 0.04%

Frequently Asked Questions – First Solar, Inc. (FSLR)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.