FDX – FedEx Corporation

Industrials | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$325.08
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▲ Long
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms uptrend – bulls in control
+33.96%
Signal Edge
Strong positive edge across 1 signals – signal has a clear statistical advantage
65.6
Trend Strength (ADX)
Strong trend – directional signals reliable
Options Signals
6%
IV-Rank (52w)
Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored
28% / 72%
Call / Put Flow
Bearish positioning – put premium dominates options flow
Last Trendchange Signal
12.08.26
Date
Signal entry date
$326.77
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
2d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
-0.52%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
+20d
Not yet reached
+30d
Not yet reached
+60d
Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Mixed Signals – Caution Composite Score: +2 / 7

FDX shows mixed signals. Some trend indicators are positive, others are neutral or deteriorating. The picture is not clear enough to lean heavily in either direction with conviction.

What to watch

This is not an environment that rewards aggressive positioning. Reduced exposure or cash is a valid stance.

Options Signal Highlight

Latest FDX Reports

Aug 13, 2026
Follow-Up from Signals and Trendchanges FDX Signal Follow-Up – 10 Days Review +4.80%
Apr 28, 2026

FDX Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 21.08.2026  ·  Close: $325.08  ·  ATR14: $2.42

Mixed Signals – Caution Composite Score: +2 / 7

FDX shows mixed signals. Some trend indicators are positive, others are neutral or deteriorating. The picture is not clear enough to lean heavily in either direction with conviction.

What to watch

This is not an environment that rewards aggressive positioning. Reduced exposure or cash is a valid stance.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▲ Long Primary directional bias
Momentum ▲ Up · 12d Strength: 0.51 – Fading
Trend Strength (ADX) 65.6 – Strong ADX38: 12.0
Volatility (HV30) 23.1% – Calm HV90: 33.9% | HV180: 29.7%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Golden Cross ✓ Stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack
EMA21 Distance 0.91 ATR ↓ EMA21: $319.95
GD200 Extension 5.7 ATR – Normal GD20: 0.6 | GD50: 0.7 | GD100: 1.3
⚠️ Momentum Fading
Upward momentum has been running 12 days but strength is declining (0.51). The trend is intact but losing energy.
💪 Trend Strength – ADX14: 65.6 (Strong)
A strong and well-defined trend. ADX38: 12.0. Trend-following has clear edge here.
🔻 Volatility Calm
HV30: 23.1% | HV90: 33.9% | HV180: 29.7%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.
⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish
Golden Cross in place. GD50 $319.71 above GD200 $285.79 by 11.87%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack.
📉 EMA21 – Gap Narrowing
Price is 0.91 ATR from the EMA21 ($319.95) but the distance is shrinking.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $320.17 (0.6 ATR) | GD50: $319.71 (0.7 ATR) | GD100: $315.10 (1.3 ATR) | GD200: $285.79 (5.7 ATR). ATR14: $2.42.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -6.11 5.07 8.85 -2.34 -9.71 -13.75 14.65 -7.74 5.08 2.43 5.44 -1.04 11.46
2011 -3.08 -2.88 6.45 0.71 -0.77 3.74 -9.99 -8.47 -13.28 25.60 4.41 1.80 -10.39
2012 7.42 -2.92 0.92 -4.28 0.11 7.46 -1.35 -1.37 -3.34 8.20 -3.74 4.07 7.69
2013 7.64 2.60 -6.81 -3.86 4.72 0.90 7.19 -2.40 6.05 13.66 3.01 2.54 52.54
2014 -4.61 3.01 -0.61 1.60 5.81 4.94 -3.61 0.77 7.35 5.86 6.57 -2.27 24.25
2015 -1.94 3.35 -6.42 2.00 0.87 -2.83 0.95 -11.83 -2.74 7.84 -0.26 -7.14 -13.60
2016 -7.36 3.45 15.09 0.88 -1.56 -7.84 5.24 2.02 5.46 0.01 11.74 -3.12 29.82
2017 0.75 3.60 -1.15 -2.90 2.98 9.56 -4.30 3.71 4.90 -0.23 2.66 8.10 32.95
2018 1.89 -5.89 -1.47 3.65 1.82 -10.47 7.18 1.18 -0.21 -8.16 T
2.21
-29.87 -37.37
2019 8.81 T
0.94
-0.76 T
1.61
-16.88 7.78 4.64 -2.88 T
-6.31
7.78 T
2.26
T
-4.32
-7.34
2020 T
-6.74
T
-1.86
-13.23 T
11.71
T
10.46
8.10 7.49 29.91 11.56 2.12 7.34 -9.78 67.39
2021 -7.05 T
6.38
8.37 2.39 3.37 -4.03 T
-6.41
-3.79 -17.54 5.84 T
-2.24
13.55 2.15
2022 -4.91 -11.80 T
7.67
-10.17 T
13.99
3.68 4.24 -11.31 -29.92 5.82 T
15.19
-4.02 -33.01
2023 9.36 0.55 11.82 -0.46 -5.46 T
14.09
9.05 -21.57 T
1.51
-9.43 T
6.41
-4.33 14.99
2024 -4.34 2.90 T
17.49
-6.55 -2.60 T
20.60
1.20 0.32 T
-6.75
1.59 T
10.32
-5.18 11.53
2025 -3.43 6.29 -5.79 -13.08 T
3.83
4.32 -4.63 T
6.43
T
5.19
T
5.96
8.97 5.68 5.32
2026 9.93 15.42 -8.02 T
12.25
4.59 -7.49 -2.07 T
5.12
37.63

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for FDX:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
12.08.26 $326.77 2d -0.52% +0% +0% +0%
14.04.26 $298.26 27d +4.8% +2.37% +8.07% +8.99%
21.10.25 $195.68 76d +4.18% +9.01% +11.34% +66.29%
19.09.25 $186.74 28d +4.56% -3.07% +7.41% +0%
22.08.25 $190.81 2d -2.42% -2.13% +0% +0%
13.05.25 $186.26 14d -5.34% -1.38% -3.96% +6.87%
08.11.24 $230.68 30d +3.1% -1.2% -1.2% -18.07%
04.09.24 $235.97 15d +1.54% +2.58% +2.58% -3.41%
26.06.24 $238.67 14d -0.99% +0.71% +0.55% +1.42%
05.03.24 $200.42 46d +1.79% +10.68% +9.43% +19.75%

Signal Statistics – Historical Edge

Calculated edge for FDX: 33.96%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
10-15% 1 +10.93% +6.62% +21.57% +134.85% Hold
7-10% 2 +8.51% +10.5% +13.58% +40.69% Hold
5-7% 1 +5.63% +1.3% +1.3% -15.08% Close
3-5% 6 +4.05% +5.46% +10.34% +14.65% Hold
1-3% 6 +1.43% +1.49% +2.95% +0.91% Close
0-1% 4 +0.46% +1.32% +3.21% +1.94% Close
-1-0% 6 -0.5% +1.78% -0.38% +7.17% Neg
-3-1% 5 -1.78% -0.03% +0.18% +3.42% Neg
-5-3% 2 -4.46% -4.55% -5.65% +0% Neg
-7-5% 2 -5.61% +4.04% +0.48% -3.49% Neg
-10-7% 1 -7.04% -7.04% -7.04% -21.87% Neg
<-10% 3 -11.18% -11.18% -11.18% -8.93% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 3% after 10 days

Signal data as of August 21, 2026

HIGH ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 7.5

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
6%
Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).
Call / Put Flow
28% / 72%
More than 60% of options premium is flowing into puts. This indicates net bearish positioning by market participants.
GEX (Mio.)
220,547.9
Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.
GEX Flip Strike
$330.00 · 1.5%
GEX flip strike is very close to spot price. Crossing this level can trigger a regime change – from suppressed to amplified volatility.
Max Pain
$327.50 · 0.7%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$325.08
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

FDX GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

FDX GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, 2 setups match the current conditions. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 6% – options are historically cheap. Bearish flow (28% calls) supports buying downside premium at below-average cost.

Advantages
Profits from significant downside moves with limited maximum risk
Cheap entry when IV-Rank is historically low
Can be used as portfolio protection against existing long positions
Risks
Time decay erodes value daily – timing the entry matters
Needs a substantial move below the strike to be profitable
Full premium is lost if the stock stays above the strike
FAQ: Long Put
What is a Long Put?

A Long Put gives the buyer the right to sell the underlying at the strike price before expiration. It is a bearish strategy with maximum loss limited to the premium paid. It is often used as a hedge against existing long positions.

When is buying puts most cost-effective?

Buying puts when IV-Rank is low means you are purchasing protection at below-average cost. Many traders fail to hedge when volatility is cheap and scramble to buy expensive puts when fear spikes. Buying puts proactively when IV is historically low is a disciplined risk management approach.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 6% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages
Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side
Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle
An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously
Risks
Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid
Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches
If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless
FAQ: Long Straddle
What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap$79.17 B
PE Ratio (TTM)18.29
Forward PE16.06
PEG Ratio1.37
EV/EBITDA9.17
Price/Sales0.84
Price/Book2.54
Beta1.36

Profitability

MetricValue
Gross Margin27.32%
Operating Margin11.13%
Net Margin4.68%
ROE14.85%
ROA5.01%

Dividends

MetricValue
Annual Dividend$4.88
Forward Yield144.00%
Payout Ratio31.27%
Dividend Date2026-07-06

Analyst Consensus (25 Analysts)

MetricValue
Median Target$359
High Target$479
Low Target$160

About FedEx Corporation

FedEx Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Express U.S. Domestic and Express International. It provides e-commerce and digital solutions; dataworks; printing and shipping management, including digital printing, professional finishing, document creation, design solutions, direct mail, signs and graphics, custom-branded boxes, copying, computer rental, Wi-Fi, corporate print solutions, shredding, U.S. passport processing and renewal, and digital notarization; packing services, as well as packing supplies and boxes; document and business services; and retail access for package transportation. In addition, the company offers logistics services, air and ocean cargo transportation, specialty transportation, customs brokerage, trade management tools and data, and door-to-door solutions; and third party logistics and supply chain management solutions, such as inbound logistics, warehousing and distribution, fulfillment, contract packaging and product configuration, systems integration, returns process and disposition, test, repair, refurbishment, and product liquidation. Further, it provides sales, marketing, administrative, information technology, and back-office support services. FedEx Corporation was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.

ETF Holdings

FedEx Corporation is included in 2 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF Weight
XLI 1.50%
SPY 0.14%

Frequently Asked Questions – FedEx Corporation (FDX)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.