How is FDX valued relative to the market?

FDX currently trades at a trailing P/E of 16.84x and a forward P/E of 14.98x. The stock has a beta of 1.36, meaning it moves roughly more than the broader market on average. Valuation multiples should always be considered alongside earnings growth rate and sector context.

How profitable is FDX?

FDX reports a gross margin of 27.32%, an operating margin of 11.13%, a net profit margin of 4.68%. Return on equity stands at 14.85% and return on assets at 5.01%. These figures provide context for evaluating the quality and sustainability of the company's earnings relative to its peers.

Does FDX pay a dividend?

FDX pays an annual dividend of $4.88, representing a forward yield of 156.00%. The payout ratio is 31.27%, which indicates the share of earnings distributed to shareholders. The most recent dividend date was 2026-09-30. Dividend sustainability should always be evaluated alongside free cash flow trends.

What is the analyst price target for FDX?

Based on a consensus of 26 analysts, the median price target is $359.50, the most optimistic target is $479.00, the most conservative target is $160.00. At the current price of $289.04, the median target implies 24.4% upside. Analyst targets represent 12-month price expectations and should be considered alongside technical signals and momentum data.

FDX is held by 2 ETFs tracked by StockBotty. The largest allocations are in XLI (1.50%), SPY (0.14%). Significant ETF ownership means institutional flows in and out of these funds can influence FDX's price action, particularly around rebalancing dates.

What is the current trend signal for FDX?

As of the most recent session, FDX closed at $289.04. The swing trend is negative with ADX at 66.4 (strong trend strength). Momentum is bearish and has been running for 25 days. A Golden Cross is in place. 30-day historical volatility is at 24.1%.

When was the last Trendchange signal for FDX and what is its historical edge?

The most recent Trendchange signal for FDX fired on 12.08.26 at $326.77. The position has been held for 6 trading days. 10-day return from entry: +2.12%. 20-day return: -0.58%. The historical edge of the signal system for FDX is +11.63% across 119 tracked signals. The best-performing entry bucket historically is the 10-15% range, averaging 12.3% at 10 days and 17.6% at 60 days.

FDX – FedEx Corporation

Industrials | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal

$289.04

Last Close

Official EOD price – basis for all calculations

▼ Short

Swing Trend

Moving average structure confirms downtrend – bears in control

+11.63%

Signal Edge

Moderate edge across 5 signals – signal performs above random, not exceptional

66.4

Trend Strength (ADX)

Strong trend – directional signals reliable

Options Signals

11%

IV-Rank (52w)

Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored

60% / 40%

Call / Put Flow

Neutral flow – call and put activity roughly balanced

Last Trendchange Signal

12.08.26

Date

Signal entry date

$326.77

Entry Price

Closing price at signal date

Days Held

Trading days since signal

+2.12%

+10d

Return after 10 trading days

-0.58%

+20d

Return after 20 trading days

-0.58%

+30d

Return after 30 trading days

–

+60d

Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Neutral – No Clear Edge Composite Score: 0 / 7

FDX is in a neutral phase with no clear directional edge. Trend and momentum indicators are roughly balanced between positive and negative readings.

What to watch

No actionable setup is present. The market is not offering a clean edge in either direction. Patience is the discipline here.

Options Signal Highlight

MEDIUM Strength 4.5 Long Straddle 📖 View full options analysis →

FDX Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 07.10.2026 · Close: $289.04 · ATR14: $2.15

Neutral – No Clear Edge Composite Score: 0 / 7

FDX is in a neutral phase with no clear directional edge. Trend and momentum indicators are roughly balanced between positive and negative readings.

What to watch

No actionable setup is present. The market is not offering a clean edge in either direction. Patience is the discipline here.

Indicator	Signal	Detail
Swing Trend	▼ Short	Primary directional bias
Momentum	▼ Down · -25d	Strength: -0.27 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX)	66.4 – Strong	ADX38: 51.8
Volatility (HV30)	24.1% – Calm	HV90: 27.8% \| HV180: 30.5%
Vola Compression	None	Normal range
MA Structure	Golden Cross ✓	Stack: Partially aligned (1/3)
EMA21 Distance	-1.15 ATR ↓	EMA21: $293.61
GD200 Extension	-1.7 ATR – Normal	GD20: -1.0 \| GD50: -3.4 \| GD100: -4.0

📉 Downside Momentum Intensifying

Downward momentum active for -25 days and still building (-0.27). Selling pressure is not easing.

💪 Trend Strength – ADX14: 66.4 (Strong)

A strong and well-defined trend. ADX38: 51.8. Trend-following has clear edge here.

🔻 Volatility Calm

HV30: 24.1% | HV90: 27.8% | HV180: 30.5%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.

⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish

Golden Cross in place. GD50 $311.93 above GD200 $299.94 by 3.99%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Partially aligned (1/3).

📉 EMA21 – Gap Narrowing

Price is -1.15 ATR from the EMA21 ($293.61) but the distance is shrinking.

📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance

GD20: $295.57 (-1.0 ATR) | GD50: $311.93 (-3.4 ATR) | GD100: $315.97 (-4.0 ATR) | GD200: $299.94 (-1.7 ATR). ATR14: $2.15.

Monthly Performance History

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Total
2010	-6.11	5.07	8.85	-2.34	-9.71	-13.75	14.65	-7.74	5.08	2.43	5.44	-1.04	11.46
2011	-3.08	-2.88	6.45	0.71	-0.77	3.74	-9.99	-8.47	-13.28	25.60	4.41	1.80	-10.39
2012	7.42	-2.92	0.92	-4.28	0.11	7.46	-1.35	-1.37	-3.34	8.20	-3.74	4.07	7.69
2013	7.64	2.60	-6.81	-3.86	4.72	0.90	7.19	-2.40	6.05	13.66	3.01	2.54	52.54
2014	-4.61	3.01	-0.61	1.60	5.81	4.94	-3.61	0.77	7.35	5.86	6.57	-2.27	24.25
2015	-1.94	3.35	-6.42	2.00	0.87	-2.83	0.95	-11.83	-2.74	7.84	-0.26	-7.14	-13.60
2016	-7.36	3.45	15.09	0.88	-1.56	-7.84	5.24	2.02	5.46	0.01	11.74	-3.12	29.82
2017	0.75	3.60	-1.15	-2.90	2.98	9.56	-4.30	3.71	4.90	-0.23	2.66	8.10	32.95
2018	1.89	-5.89	-1.47	3.65	1.82	-10.47	7.18	T 1.18	-0.21	-8.16	T 2.21	-29.87	-37.37
2019	8.81	T 0.94	-0.76	T 1.61	-16.88	7.78	4.64	-2.88	T -6.31	7.78	T 2.26	T -4.32	-7.34
2020	T -6.74	T -1.86	-13.23	T 11.71	T 10.46	8.10	7.49	29.91	11.56	2.12	7.34	-9.78	67.39
2021	-7.05	T 6.38	8.37	2.39	3.37	-4.03	T -6.41	-3.79	-17.54	5.84	T -2.24	13.55	2.15
2022	-4.91	-11.80	T 7.67	-10.17	T 13.99	3.68	4.24	-11.31	-29.92	5.82	T 15.19	-4.02	-33.01
2023	9.36	0.55	11.82	-0.46	-5.46	T 14.09	9.05	-21.57	1.51	-9.43	T 6.41	-4.33	14.99
2024	-4.34	2.90	T 17.49	-6.55	-2.60	T 20.60	1.20	0.32	T -6.75	1.59	T 10.32	-5.18	11.53
2025	-3.43	6.29	-5.79	-13.08	T 3.83	4.32	-4.63	T 6.43	T 5.19	T 5.96	8.97	5.68	5.32
2026	9.93	15.42	-8.02	T 12.25	4.59	-7.49	-2.07	T 5.87	-12.25	0.69			22.37

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

FDX - Trendchange Chart

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for FDX:

Date	Entry Price	Days Held	+10d	+20d	+30d	+60d
12.08.26	$326.77	6d	+2.12%	-0.58%	-0.58%	+0%
14.04.26	$298.26	23d	+4.8%	-3.33%	-3.33%	-3.33%
21.10.25	$195.68	69d	+4.18%	+9.01%	+11.34%	+53.74%
19.09.25	$186.74	25d	+4.56%	-3.07%	-3.07%	+0%
22.08.25	$190.81	2d	-2.42%	-2.42%	+0%	+0%
13.05.25	$186.26	8d	-5.34%	-5.34%	-5.34%	-5.34%
08.11.24	$230.68	30d	+3.1%	-1.2%	-1.2%	-1.2%
04.09.24	$235.97	4d	+0%	+0%	+0%	+0%
26.06.24	$238.67	14d	-0.99%	+0.71%	+0.55%	+0.55%
05.03.24	$200.42	42d	+1.79%	+10.68%	+11.12%	+11.12%

Signal Statistics - Historical Edge

Calculated edge for FDX: 11.63%

Range	N	10d	20d	30d	60d	Signal
10-15%	5	+12.32%	+14.65%	+15.31%	+17.63%	Hold
7-10%	6	+8.62%	+11.1%	+13.65%	+14.23%	Hold
5-7%	7	+5.9%	+6.34%	+5.88%	+5.58%	Close
3-5%	16	+3.99%	+3.36%	+4.63%	+7.76%	Close
1-3%	19	+2.09%	+1.01%	+1.15%	+1.7%	Close
0-1%	12	+0.48%	+2.02%	+2.4%	+2.35%	Close
-1-0%	17	-0.62%	+0.41%	-0.16%	+0.17%	Neg
-3-1%	15	-1.6%	-0.33%	-0.28%	+0.01%	Neg
-5-3%	7	-3.9%	-2.7%	-2.79%	-0.82%	Neg
-7-5%	9	-5.68%	-3.31%	-0.44%	+4.28%	Neg
-10-7%	2	-7.53%	-7.53%	-7.53%	-7.53%	Neg
<-10%	4	-10.9%	-10.9%	-10.9%	-5.14%	Neg

Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 7% after 10 days

Signal data as of October 7, 2026

MEDIUM ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 4.5

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)

11%

Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).

Call / Put Flow

60% / 40%

Call and put premium are roughly balanced. No clear directional bias from options flow.

GEX (Mio.)

-3,161,058.9

Negative GEX: market makers are short gamma. They sell dips and buy rallies, which amplifies moves and increases volatility.

GEX Flip Strike

$290.00 · 0.3%

GEX flip strike is very close to spot price. Crossing this level can trigger a regime change – from suppressed to amplified volatility.

Max Pain

$290.00 · 0.3%

Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.

Spot Price

$289.04

Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

FDX GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, one setup stands out. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Setup 1 of 1 Long Straddle Full guide →

Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 11% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages

✓ Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side

✓ Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle

✓ An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously

Risks

✕ Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid

✕ Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches

✕ If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless

▶ FAQ: Long Straddle

What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	$73.98 B
PE Ratio (TTM)	16.84
Forward PE	14.98
PEG Ratio	1.32
EV/EBITDA	8.73
Price/Sales	0.78
Price/Book	2.37
Beta	1.36

Profitability

Metric	Value
Gross Margin	27.32%
Operating Margin	11.13%
Net Margin	4.68%
ROE	14.85%
ROA	5.01%

Dividends

Metric	Value
Annual Dividend	$4.88
Forward Yield	156.00%
Payout Ratio	31.27%
Dividend Date	2026-09-30

Analyst Consensus (26 Analysts)

Metric	Value
Median Target	$359.5
High Target	$479
Low Target	$160

About FedEx Corporation

FedEx Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Express U.S. Domestic and Express International. It provides e-commerce and digital solutions; dataworks; printing and shipping management, including digital printing, professional finishing, document creation, design solutions, direct mail, signs and graphics, custom-branded boxes, copying, computer rental, Wi-Fi, corporate print solutions, shredding, U.S. passport processing and renewal, and digital notarization; packing services, as well as packing supplies and boxes; document and business services; and retail access for package transportation. In addition, the company offers logistics services, air and ocean cargo transportation, specialty transportation, customs brokerage, trade management tools and data, and door-to-door solutions; and third party logistics and supply chain management solutions, such as inbound logistics, warehousing and distribution, fulfillment, contract packaging and product configuration, systems integration, returns process and disposition, test, repair, refurbishment, and product liquidation. Further, it provides sales, marketing, administrative, information technology, and back-office support services. FedEx Corporation was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.

ETF Holdings

FedEx Corporation is included in 2 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF	Weight
XLI	1.50%
SPY	0.14%

Frequently Asked Questions – FedEx Corporation (FDX)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.