DBB – Invesco DB Base Metals Fund

ETF

Commodities Focused | Inception: 2007-01-05

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$25.12
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▼ Short
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms downtrend – bears in control
+3.34%
Signal Edge
Slim positive edge across 4 signals – treat with caution
37.2
Trend Strength (ADX)
Strong trend – directional signals reliable
Last Trendchange Signal
30.07.26
Date
Signal entry date
$25.04
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
28d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
+1.84%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
+0.92%
+20d
Return after 20 trading days
+0.92%
+30d
Return after 30 trading days
+0.92%
+60d
Return after 60 trading days

Trend Overview

Mixed Signals – Caution Composite Score: +2 / 7

DBB shows mixed signals. Some trend indicators are positive, others are neutral or deteriorating. The picture is not clear enough to lean heavily in either direction with conviction.

What to watch

This is not an environment that rewards aggressive positioning. Reduced exposure or cash is a valid stance.

DBB Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 07.10.2026  ·  Close: $25.12  ·  ATR14: $1.13

Mixed Signals – Caution Composite Score: +2 / 7

DBB shows mixed signals. Some trend indicators are positive, others are neutral or deteriorating. The picture is not clear enough to lean heavily in either direction with conviction.

What to watch

This is not an environment that rewards aggressive positioning. Reduced exposure or cash is a valid stance.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▼ Short Primary directional bias
Momentum ▼ Down · -7d Strength: -0.27 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX) 37.2 – Strong ADX38: 8.0
Volatility (HV30) 17.6% – Rising HV90: 16.9% | HV180: 19.8%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Golden Cross ✓ Stack: Mostly aligned (2/3)
EMA21 Distance -1.01 ATR ↑ EMA21: $25.31
GD200 Extension 1.7 ATR – Normal GD20: -1.2 | GD50: -1.2 | GD100: -0.5
📉 Downside Momentum Intensifying
Downward momentum active for -7 days and still building (-0.27). Selling pressure is not easing.
💪 Trend Strength – ADX14: 37.2 (Strong)
A strong and well-defined trend. ADX38: 8.0. Trend-following has clear edge here.
🔺 Volatility Rising
HV30: 17.6% | HV90: 16.9% | HV180: 19.8%. Short-term vol is running above its 90-day average. Wider stops and reduced size may be appropriate.
⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish
Golden Cross in place. GD50 $25.47 above GD200 $24.65 by 3.30%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Mostly aligned (2/3).
📈 EMA21 – Trend Accelerating
Price is pulling away from the EMA21 ($25.31) with -1.01 ATR distance and growing.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $25.46 (-1.2 ATR) | GD50: $25.47 (-1.2 ATR) | GD100: $25.26 (-0.5 ATR) | GD200: $24.65 (1.7 ATR). ATR14: $1.13.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2010 -13.59 3.36 6.94 -5.73 -9.45 -3.24 12.64 -4.27 6.52 2.89 -6.17 9.65 6.59
2011 -1.07 1.45 -3.07 -1.34 0.00 1.28 4.80 -5.96 -18.90 7.49 3.12 -5.91 -24.67
2012 9.69 0.46 -6.41 -0.65 -9.23 0.86 -1.53 2.07 9.33 -10.18 5.78 -0.19 1.14
2013 -1.83 -6.01 -3.52 -2.85 4.79 -7.66 -1.75 1.48 0.14 1.46 -3.92 6.32 -14.93
2014 -5.59 3.30 -1.94 0.68 2.59 2.93 5.30 1.17 -5.66 2.37 -4.86 -4.98 -5.59
2015 -5.23 -0.32 0.40 7.78 -7.42 -5.17 -7.92 -2.16 -2.23 -1.44 -7.12 1.86 -25.40
2016 1.04 4.62 0.19 5.48 -4.96 5.90 1.07 -0.97 3.10 1.97 8.13 -4.70 28.75
2017 10.37 1.11 -1.60 -1.35 -2.02 3.98 2.06 10.56 -2.72 3.17 -3.96 T
5.24
31.27
2018 0.43 T
-3.49
-4.32 T
2.19
1.44 T
-6.24
-3.67 -0.44 T
4.79
-5.32 0.60 T
-4.92
-19.67
2019 T
8.51
2.33 2.07 -2.32 -5.51 1.95 T
-0.46
-3.86 T
2.14
T
4.05
-3.91 T
2.32
0.79
2020 -6.57 -1.43 -11.09 3.38 T
5.30
4.86 6.90 5.03 -3.35 T
6.04
9.07 -1.20 14.31
2021 -4.19 T
11.03
0.00 8.13 3.43 -3.99 T
3.79
0.28 0.28 2.34 -2.13 T
7.74
26.73
2022 3.60 5.55 T
3.85
-8.86 -1.99 -14.28 2.00 T
-0.24
-4.60 -2.78 T
11.66
-2.27 -11.11
2023 13.64 -7.16 T
12.16
-4.25 -8.68 0.56 6.89 -2.81 T
2.73
-2.81 T
0.57
-2.61 9.52
2024 -1.28 -0.74 T
3.28
12.52 2.91 -3.13 -6.17 T
5.70
8.22 -2.94 -1.52 T
-6.64
4.84
2025 0.00 T
0.74
0.47 -6.62 2.27 3.69 -0.36 2.71 3.32 6.24 0.27 4.23 22.81
2026 4.30 2.72 T
-2.33
T
4.72
4.89 -8.75 T
5.10
1.67 -0.47 0.48 9.17

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

DBB - Trendchange Chart

StockBotty Trendchange DBB Chart

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for DBB:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
30.07.26 $25.04 28d +1.84% +0.92% +0.92% +0.92%
08.04.26 $23.91 27d +3.64% +3.56% +3.56% +3.56%
10.03.26 $24.39 4d -2.3% -2.3% +0% +0%
14.02.25 $19.22 16d -0.68% -0.68% -0.68% -0.68%
05.12.24 $20.44 8d -1.91% -1.91% -1.91% -1.91%
23.08.24 $19.91 12d -4.22% -4.22% -4.22% -4.22%
06.03.24 $17.49 57d +2.57% +7.55% +13.38% +18.87%
09.11.23 $18.66 16d -0.21% +0.11% +0.11% +0.11%
15.09.23 $18.52 6d -0.48% -0.48% -0.48% +0%
06.09.23 $18.41 1d +0% +0% +0% +0%

Signal Statistics - Historical Edge

Calculated edge for DBB: 3.34%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
7-10% 4 +7.57% +8.3% +10.16% +8.51% Close
5-7% 2 +6.83% +12.43% +11.31% +17.55% Hold
3-5% 7 +3.73% +2.75% +3.1% +3.26% Close
1-3% 12 +1.95% +2.64% +3.63% +4.89% Hold
0-1% 6 +0.57% -0.22% -0.01% +0.05% Close
-1-0% 13 -0.54% +0.3% +0.07% +1.52% Neg
-3-1% 17 -1.78% -1.74% -1.61% -1.03% Neg
-5-3% 7 -3.96% -3.72% -2.82% -1.96% Neg
-7-5% 1 -6.38% -6.38% -6.38% +0% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 1% after 10 days
📊

No Options Data Available

Options flow data for DBB is not yet tracked. Check back after the next market session.

Fund Overview

MetricValue
Assets under Management$302.58 M
Expense Ratio0.75%
Dividend Yield2.48%
Portfolio Turnover0%
YTD Return5.86%
3-Year Return9.84%
5-Year Return6.88%

Top 10 Holdings

Symbol Company Weight
AGPXX INVESCO SHRT-TRM INV GOV&AGCY INSTL 43.15%

Frequently Asked Questions – Invesco DB Base Metals Fund (DBB)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.