COIN – Coinbase Global, Inc.

Financial Services | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$186.49
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▲ Long
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms uptrend – bulls in control
+78.89%
Signal Edge
Strong positive edge across 3 signals – signal has a clear statistical advantage
78.9
Trend Strength (ADX)
Strong trend – directional signals reliable
Options Signals
14%
IV-Rank (52w)
Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored
72% / 28%
Call / Put Flow
Bullish positioning – call premium dominates options flow
Last Trendchange Signal
21.08.26
Date
Signal entry date
$186.49
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
1d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
+10d
Not yet reached
+20d
Not yet reached
+30d
Not yet reached
+60d
Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Breakout – Downside Composite Score: +5 / 7

COIN has just broken out of a 0-day volatility compression to the downside. Compressions of this length tend to resolve with a sustained directional move rather than a brief spike. Sellers have taken control out of the compression. The path of least resistance is now lower until a clear reclaim is confirmed.

What to watch

Avoid catching a falling knife. Wait for stabilisation and a reclaim of the breakout level before considering any long exposure.

Options Signal Highlight

Latest COIN Reports

Aug 22, 2026
Follow-Up from Signals and Trendchanges COIN Signal Follow-Up 10 Days: -9.00% Performance Review
May 01, 2026
Follow-Up from Signals and Trendchanges COIN Signal Follow-Up 10 Days -8.86% Exit Review
Mar 25, 2026

COIN Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 21.08.2026  ·  Close: $186.49  ·  ATR14: $5.39

Breakout – Downside Composite Score: +5 / 7

COIN has just broken out of a 0-day volatility compression to the downside. Compressions of this length tend to resolve with a sustained directional move rather than a brief spike. Sellers have taken control out of the compression. The path of least resistance is now lower until a clear reclaim is confirmed.

What to watch

Avoid catching a falling knife. Wait for stabilisation and a reclaim of the breakout level before considering any long exposure.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▲ Long Primary directional bias
Momentum ▲ Up · 2d Strength: 1.30 – Rising
Trend Strength (ADX) 78.9 – Strong ADX38: 27.0
Volatility (HV30) 75.8% – Rising HV90: 68.4% | HV180: 71.4%
Vola Compression Breakout – Upside Prior compression: 0d
MA Structure Death Cross ✗ Stack: No MAs aligned
EMA21 Distance 5.23 ATR ↑ EMA21: $153.63
GD200 Extension -1.1 ATR – Normal GD20: 3.7 | GD50: 3.3 | GD100: 1.5
🚀 Momentum Accelerating
Upward momentum active for 2 days and still gaining strength (current: 1.30). Trend is building, not fading.
💪 Trend Strength – ADX14: 78.9 (Strong)
A strong and well-defined trend. ADX38: 27.0. Trend-following has clear edge here.
🔺 Volatility Rising
HV30: 75.8% | HV90: 68.4% | HV180: 71.4%. Short-term vol is running above its 90-day average. Wider stops and reduced size may be appropriate.
💥 Compression Breakout – Upside
A 0-day compression was followed by a upside breakout. Watch for volume confirmation and follow-through.
💀 Death Cross – Long-term Bearish
Death Cross in place. GD50 $158.51 below GD200 $198.53. Long-term structure remains bearish. MA stack: No MAs aligned.
📈 EMA21 – Trend Accelerating
Price is pulling away from the EMA21 ($153.63) with 5.23 ATR distance and growing.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $155.80 (3.7 ATR) | GD50: $158.51 (3.3 ATR) | GD100: $172.42 (1.5 ATR) | GD200: $198.53 (-1.1 ATR). ATR14: $5.39.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2021 -9.33 -19.60 6.01 T
-2.01
T
10.03
-14.45 T
38.19
-4.83 -14.31 -23.12
2022 -24.26 -3.52 T
-3.22
-39.71 -35.64 -31.49 T
28.38
T
6.54
T
-1.59
0.45 -27.75 -21.82 -85.90
2023 T
74.05
-1.32 T
4.48
-15.44 T
24.05
T
12.55
23.37 -15.45 -3.73 T
2.40
T
60.29
30.02 417.62
2024 -18.28 T
57.86
28.84 -19.11 7.53 T
-3.96
T
-3.86
-13.77 5.35 T
8.63
61.96 -17.89 58.27
2025 13.27 -24.19 -16.29 T
16.26
22.51 42.06 12.65 -3.23 11.18 -0.69 -17.43 -12.97 -12.08
2026 -17.67 -6.39 T
-5.74
T
8.54
-1.16 -19.94 T
-8.15
T
27.30
-21.16

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for COIN:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
21.08.26 $186.49 1d +0% +0% +0% +0%
21.07.26 $175.85 4d -6.98% -6.98% +6.05% +0%
17.04.26 $206.33 11d -9% +2.75% -5.28% -9.62%
11.03.26 $198.63 10d -8.86% -8.86% +3.83% +0%
24.04.25 $203.87 29d -3.59% +27.04% +19.78% -19.76%
14.10.24 $196.35 35d +4.43% +37.89% +55.15% +105.98%
19.07.24 $257.79 11d -12.97% -12.97% -12.97% +25.9%
03.06.24 $231.39 12d +5.67% +1.97% +1.97% +0%
16.02.24 $180.31 42d +14.12% +34.41% +39.82% +42.88%
02.11.23 $84.60 74d +16.02% +47.42% +81.6% +195.05%

Signal Statistics – Historical Edge

Calculated edge for COIN: 78.89%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
>20% 3 +29.22% +29.47% +29.36% +58.6% Hold
15-20% 1 +16.02% +47.42% +81.6% +195.05% Hold
10-15% 2 +13.92% +27.15% +29.17% +1.17% Close
5-7% 2 +5.58% +0.99% +0.99% +0% Close
3-5% 2 +4.49% +18.94% +27.58% +52.99% Hold
-5-3% 2 -3.97% +15.55% +10.07% +7.24% Neg
-7-5% 2 -6.3% +3.38% +3.03% +0% Neg
-10-7% 3 -8.63% -4.72% -0.48% -3.21% Neg
<-10% 4 -15.09% -12.42% -12.42% -9.33% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 0% after 10 days

Signal data as of August 21, 2026

HIGH ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 29.6

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
14%
Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).
Call / Put Flow
72% / 28%
More than 60% of options premium is flowing into calls. This indicates net bullish positioning by market participants.
GEX (Mio.)
30,443,934.0
Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.
GEX Flip Strike
$147.00 · 21.2%
The GEX flip strike is the price level where dealer gamma exposure shifts from positive to negative. A break through this level often accelerates the move.
Max Pain
$160.00 · 14.2%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$186.49
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

COIN GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

COIN GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, 2 setups match the current conditions. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 14% – options are historically cheap. Bullish flow (72% calls) supports buying upside premium at below-average cost.

Advantages
Unlimited upside potential with maximum loss capped at the premium paid
Low IV-Rank means you are buying at historically cheap levels
Benefits from both a price increase and a subsequent rise in implied volatility
Risks
Time decay (theta) works against the position every day
Requires a meaningful move to overcome the premium paid
Full premium is lost if the stock stays below the strike at expiration
FAQ: Long Call
What is a Long Call?

A Long Call gives the buyer the right to purchase the underlying at the strike price before expiration. The maximum loss is limited to the premium paid. It expresses a bullish directional view and profits if the underlying rises significantly above the strike price.

Why buy calls when IV-Rank is low?

Low IV-Rank means implied volatility is historically cheap - options are priced below their typical levels. Buying premium when it is cheap reduces the hurdle rate for profitability. If IV subsequently rises, the option gains value from both the price move and the increase in implied volatility.

What is the breakeven on a Long Call?

The breakeven equals the strike price plus the premium paid. For example, a call with a $100 strike bought for $3 breaks even at $103. Above that level, the position profits dollar-for-dollar with the stock. Below the strike at expiration, the full premium is lost.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 14% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages
Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side
Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle
An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously
Risks
Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid
Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches
If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless
FAQ: Long Straddle
What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap$39.17 B
Forward PE49.12
PEG Ratio8.43
EV/EBITDA52.97
Price/Sales6.48
Price/Book2.99
Beta3.36

Profitability

MetricValue
Gross Margin85.81%
Operating Margin-13.92%
Net Margin-16.34%
ROE-7.85%
ROA1.12%

Analyst Consensus (29 Analysts)

MetricValue
Median Target$185
High Target$330
Low Target$95

About Coinbase Global, Inc.

Coinbase Global, Inc. operates platform for crypto assets in the United States and internationally. It provides the primary financial account in the crypto economy for consumers; a brokerage platform with a pool of liquidity across the crypto marketplace for institutions; and a suite of products granting access to build onchain for developers. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in New York, New York.

ETF Holdings

Coinbase Global, Inc. is included in 3 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF Weight
BLOK 3.53%
XLF 0.66%
SPY 0.07%

Frequently Asked Questions – Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.