How is COIN valued relative to the market?

COIN currently trades at a forward P/E of 69.73x. The stock has a beta of 3.39, meaning it moves roughly more than the broader market on average. Valuation multiples should always be considered alongside earnings growth rate and sector context.

How profitable is COIN?

COIN reports a gross margin of 85.81%, an operating margin of -13.92%, a net profit margin of -16.34%. Return on equity stands at -7.85% and return on assets at 1.12%. These figures provide context for evaluating the quality and sustainability of the company's earnings relative to its peers.

What is the analyst price target for COIN?

Based on a consensus of 29 analysts, the median price target is $200.00, the most optimistic target is $330.00, the most conservative target is $95.00. At the current price of $178.45, the median target implies 12.1% upside. Analyst targets represent 12-month price expectations and should be considered alongside technical signals and momentum data.

Which ETFs hold COIN?

COIN is held by 3 ETFs tracked by StockBotty. The largest allocations are in BLOK (3.53%), XLF (0.66%), SPY (0.07%). Significant ETF ownership means institutional flows in and out of these funds can influence COIN's price action, particularly around rebalancing dates.

What is the current trend signal for COIN?

As of the most recent session, COIN closed at $178.45. The swing trend is positive with ADX at 28.2 (strong trend strength). Momentum is bearish and has been running for 2 days. No Golden Cross is currently active. 30-day historical volatility is at 79.1%.

When was the last Trendchange signal for COIN and what is its historical edge?

The most recent Trendchange signal for COIN fired on 21.08.26 at $186.49. The position has been held for 12 trading days. 10-day return from entry: +3.33%. 20-day return: +2.66%. The historical edge of the signal system for COIN is +37.83% across 21 tracked signals. The best-performing entry bucket historically is the >20% range, averaging 29.2% at 10 days and 22.5% at 60 days.

COIN – Coinbase Global, Inc.

Financial Services | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | Website

Quick Stats

Trend Signal

$178.45

Last Close

Official EOD price – basis for all calculations

▲ Long

Swing Trend

Moving average structure confirms uptrend – bulls in control

+37.83%

Signal Edge

Strong positive edge across 3 signals – signal has a clear statistical advantage

28.2

Trend Strength (ADX)

Strong trend – directional signals reliable

Options Signals

IV-Rank (52w)

Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored

78% / 22%

Call / Put Flow

Bullish positioning – call premium dominates options flow

Last Trendchange Signal

21.08.26

Date

Signal entry date

$186.49

Entry Price

Closing price at signal date

12d

Days Held

Trading days since signal

+3.33%

+10d

Return after 10 trading days

+2.66%

+20d

Return after 20 trading days

+2.66%

+30d

Return after 30 trading days

–

+60d

Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Mixed Signals – Caution Composite Score: +2 / 7

COIN shows mixed signals. Some trend indicators are positive, others are neutral or deteriorating. The picture is not clear enough to lean heavily in either direction with conviction.

What to watch

This is not an environment that rewards aggressive positioning. Reduced exposure or cash is a valid stance.

Options Signal Highlight

HIGH Strength 10.5 Long Call 📖 View full options analysis →

COIN Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 07.10.2026 · Close: $178.45 · ATR14: $6.13

Mixed Signals – Caution Composite Score: +2 / 7

COIN shows mixed signals. Some trend indicators are positive, others are neutral or deteriorating. The picture is not clear enough to lean heavily in either direction with conviction.

What to watch

This is not an environment that rewards aggressive positioning. Reduced exposure or cash is a valid stance.

Indicator	Signal	Detail
Swing Trend	▲ Long	Primary directional bias
Momentum	▼ Down · -2d	Strength: -0.30 – Fading
Trend Strength (ADX)	28.2 – Strong	ADX38: 29.1
Volatility (HV30)	79.1% – Rising	HV90: 72.6% \| HV180: 75.8%
Vola Compression	None	Normal range
MA Structure	Death Cross ✗	Stack: Mostly aligned (2/3)
EMA21 Distance	-0.61 ATR ↑	EMA21: $181.97
GD200 Extension	-0.5 ATR – Normal	GD20: -0.7 \| GD50: 0.4 \| GD100: 0.8

🟡 Downside Momentum Easing

Downward momentum has run -2 days but strength is decreasing (-0.30). The move may be exhausting.

💪 Trend Strength – ADX14: 28.2 (Strong)

A strong and well-defined trend. ADX38: 29.1. Trend-following has clear edge here.

🔺 Volatility Rising

HV30: 79.1% | HV90: 72.6% | HV180: 75.8%. Short-term vol is running above its 90-day average. Wider stops and reduced size may be appropriate.

💀 Death Cross – Long-term Bearish

Death Cross in place. GD50 $174.01 below GD200 $184.49. Long-term structure remains bearish. MA stack: Mostly aligned (2/3).

📈 EMA21 – Trend Accelerating

Price is pulling away from the EMA21 ($181.97) with -0.61 ATR distance and growing.

📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance

GD20: $186.57 (-0.7 ATR) | GD50: $174.01 (0.4 ATR) | GD100: $170.26 (0.8 ATR) | GD200: $184.49 (-0.5 ATR). ATR14: $6.13.

Monthly Performance History

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Total
2021				-9.33	-19.60	6.01	T -2.01	T 10.03	-14.45	T 38.19	-4.83	-14.31	-23.12
2022	-24.26	-3.52	T -3.22	-39.71	-35.64	-31.49	T 28.38	T 6.54	T -1.59	0.45	-27.75	-21.82	-85.90
2023	T 74.05	-1.32	T 4.48	-15.44	T 24.05	T 12.55	23.37	-15.45	-3.73	T 2.40	T 60.29	30.02	417.62
2024	-18.28	T 57.86	28.84	-19.11	7.53	T -3.96	T -3.86	-13.77	5.35	T 8.63	61.96	-17.89	58.27
2025	13.27	-24.19	-16.29	T 16.26	22.51	42.06	12.65	-3.23	11.18	-0.69	-17.43	-12.97	-12.08
2026	-17.67	-6.39	T -5.74	T 8.54	-1.16	-19.94	T -8.15	T 28.41	5.42	-5.73			-24.56

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

COIN - Trendchange Chart

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for COIN:

Date	Entry Price	Days Held	+10d	+20d	+30d	+60d
21.08.26	$186.49	12d	+3.33%	+2.66%	+2.66%	+0%
21.07.26	$175.85	3d	-6.98%	-6.98%	-6.98%	+0%
17.04.26	$206.33	11d	-9%	+2.75%	-5.28%	-5.28%
11.03.26	$198.63	9d	-8.86%	-8.86%	-8.86%	+0%
24.04.25	$203.87	19d	-3.59%	+27.04%	+19.78%	+22.96%
14.10.24	$196.35	12d	+4.43%	-6.86%	-6.86%	-6.86%
19.07.24	$257.79	8d	-12.97%	-12.97%	-12.97%	-12.97%
03.06.24	$231.39	12d	+5.67%	+1.97%	+1.97%	+0%
16.02.24	$180.31	42d	+14.12%	+34.41%	+39.82%	+38.43%
02.11.23	$84.60	62d	+16.02%	+47.42%	+81.6%	+83.92%

Signal Statistics - Historical Edge

Calculated edge for COIN: 37.83%

Range	N	10d	20d	30d	60d	Signal
>20%	3	+29.22%	+29.47%	+25.85%	+22.46%	Hold
15-20%	1	+16.02%	+47.42%	+81.6%	+83.92%	Hold
10-15%	2	+13.92%	+27.15%	+31.65%	+30.96%	Hold
5-7%	1	+5.67%	+1.97%	+1.97%	+0%	Close
3-5%	2	+3.88%	-2.1%	-2.1%	-3.43%	Close
-5-3%	2	-3.97%	+13.77%	+10.14%	+11.73%	Neg
-7-5%	2	-6.3%	-6.3%	-3.49%	+0%	Neg
-10-7%	4	-8.75%	-3.54%	-3.53%	-1.32%	Neg
<-10%	4	-17.86%	-13.77%	-13.77%	-7.53%	Neg

Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 7% after 10 days

Signal data as of October 7, 2026

HIGH ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 10.5

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)

Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).

Call / Put Flow

78% / 22%

More than 60% of options premium is flowing into calls. This indicates net bullish positioning by market participants.

GEX (Mio.)

6,286,148.7

Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.

GEX Flip Strike

$187.50 · 5.1%

The GEX flip strike is the price level where dealer gamma exposure shifts from positive to negative. A break through this level often accelerates the move.

Max Pain

$187.50 · 5.1%

Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.

Spot Price

$178.45

Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

COIN GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, 2 setups match the current conditions. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Setup 1 of 2 Long Call Full guide →

Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 7% – options are historically cheap. Bullish flow (78% calls) supports buying upside premium at below-average cost.

Advantages

✓ Unlimited upside potential with maximum loss capped at the premium paid

✓ Low IV-Rank means you are buying at historically cheap levels

✓ Benefits from both a price increase and a subsequent rise in implied volatility

Risks

✕ Time decay (theta) works against the position every day

✕ Requires a meaningful move to overcome the premium paid

✕ Full premium is lost if the stock stays below the strike at expiration

▶ FAQ: Long Call

What is a Long Call?

A Long Call gives the buyer the right to purchase the underlying at the strike price before expiration. The maximum loss is limited to the premium paid. It expresses a bullish directional view and profits if the underlying rises significantly above the strike price.

Why buy calls when IV-Rank is low?

Low IV-Rank means implied volatility is historically cheap - options are priced below their typical levels. Buying premium when it is cheap reduces the hurdle rate for profitability. If IV subsequently rises, the option gains value from both the price move and the increase in implied volatility.

What is the breakeven on a Long Call?

The breakeven equals the strike price plus the premium paid. For example, a call with a $100 strike bought for $3 breaks even at $103. Above that level, the position profits dollar-for-dollar with the stock. Below the strike at expiration, the full premium is lost.

Setup 2 of 2 Long Straddle Full guide →

Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 7% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages

✓ Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side

✓ Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle

✓ An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously

Risks

✕ Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid

✕ Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches

✕ If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless

▶ FAQ: Long Straddle

What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	$50.51 B
Forward PE	69.73
PEG Ratio	3.01
EV/EBITDA	69.18
Price/Sales	8.36
Price/Book	3.86
Beta	3.39

Profitability

Metric	Value
Gross Margin	85.81%
Operating Margin	-13.92%
Net Margin	-16.34%
ROE	-7.85%
ROA	1.12%

Analyst Consensus (29 Analysts)

Metric	Value
Median Target	$200
High Target	$330
Low Target	$95

About Coinbase Global, Inc.

Coinbase Global, Inc. operates platform for crypto assets in the United States and internationally. It provides the primary financial account in the crypto economy for consumers; a brokerage platform with a pool of liquidity across the crypto marketplace for institutions; and a suite of products granting access to build onchain for developers. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in New York, New York.

ETF Holdings

Coinbase Global, Inc. is included in 3 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.

ETF	Weight
BLOK	3.53%
XLF	0.66%
SPY	0.07%

Frequently Asked Questions – Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.