CHAT – Roundhill Generative AI & Technology ETF

ETF

Technology | Inception: 2023-05-17

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$88.00
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▲ Long
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms uptrend – bulls in control
+53.37%
Signal Edge
Strong positive edge across 2 signals – signal has a clear statistical advantage
14.8
Trend Strength (ADX)
Weak / ranging – trend signals less reliable
Options Signals
18%
IV-Rank (52w)
Options are historically cheap – premium buying favored
78% / 22%
Call / Put Flow
Bullish positioning – call premium dominates options flow
Last Trendchange Signal
14.08.26
Date
Signal entry date
$93.52
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
2d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
-5.9%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
–
+20d
Not yet reached
–
+30d
Not yet reached
–
+60d
Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Pullback to EMA21 – Potential Entry Zone Composite Score: -1 / 7

CHAT is pulling back toward the 21-day EMA at $87.52 within an intact uptrend. The primary swing trend remains positive and momentum, while fading slightly, has not reversed. This kind of measured pullback to a rising EMA is a textbook continuation setup.

What to watch

The EMA21 at $87.52 is the level to watch. A bounce with renewed momentum from this zone would be a trendline entry with a clear invalidation level directly below the EMA.

Options Signal Highlight

Latest CHAT Reports

Trendchange Signals and Reviews CHAT: 61.79% Historical Edge with 10-Day Exit Rule
Aug 15, 2026
Apr 22, 2026
Apr 08, 2026

CHAT Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 21.08.2026  ·  Close: $88.00  ·  ATR14: $3.74

Pullback to EMA21 – Potential Entry Zone Composite Score: -1 / 7

CHAT is pulling back toward the 21-day EMA at $87.52 within an intact uptrend. The primary swing trend remains positive and momentum, while fading slightly, has not reversed. This kind of measured pullback to a rising EMA is a textbook continuation setup.

What to watch

The EMA21 at $87.52 is the level to watch. A bounce with renewed momentum from this zone would be a trendline entry with a clear invalidation level directly below the EMA.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▲ Long Primary directional bias
Momentum ▲ Up · 13d Strength: 0.49 – Fading
Trend Strength (ADX) 14.8 – Weak ADX38: 14.6
Volatility (HV30) 52.5% – Calm HV90: 52.6% | HV180: 44.3%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Golden Cross ✓ Stack: Mostly aligned (2/3)
EMA21 Distance ~0 ATR – Near line EMA21: $87.52
GD200 Extension 5.1 ATR – Normal GD20: 0.3 | GD50: -0.6 | GD100: 0.6
⚠️ Momentum Fading
Upward momentum has been running 13 days but strength is declining (0.49). The trend is intact but losing energy.
⚪ Trend Strength – ADX14: 14.8 (Weak)
Weak or ranging market. ADX38: 14.6. Trend-following signals carry lower reliability.
🔻 Volatility Calm
HV30: 52.5% | HV90: 52.6% | HV180: 44.3%. Short-term vol is below its 90-day average. Calmer conditions favour tighter setups.
⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish
Golden Cross in place. GD50 $89.87 above GD200 $73.91 by 21.59%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Mostly aligned (2/3).
🎯 EMA21 – Reaction Zone
Price is within 0.5 ATR of the EMA21 at $87.52. Watch for a decisive bounce or break.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $87.08 (0.3 ATR) | GD50: $89.87 (-0.6 ATR) | GD100: $85.98 (0.6 ATR) | GD200: $73.91 (5.1 ATR). ATR14: $3.74.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2023 5.99 2.64 4.70 -4.28 -7.35 -5.03 T
12.07 		4.04 19.23
2024 5.50 9.01 -1.60 -7.68 T
5.98 		7.03 -4.68 2.58 10.74 2.19 4.41 0.90 34.02
2025 2.23 T
-5.27 		-7.02 T
1.16 		14.73 15.29 7.40 7.73 16.17 7.11 -10.57 -2.29 44.76
2026 T
2.32 		2.36 -2.97 T
21.31 		23.86 -3.28 -12.36 T
3.17 		45.72

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

Trendchange Signal History

The last 7 Trendchange signals for CHAT:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
14.08.26 $93.52 2d -5.9% +0% +0% +0%
08.04.26 $67.92 64d +11.51% +21.23% +23.04% +29.56%
06.01.26 $61.25 40d -2.69% +1.06% +4.87% +37.44%
29.04.25 $35.77 90d +11.11% +19.3% +26.93% +113.64%
10.02.25 $43.26 12d -6.15% -6.15% -6.15% -2.2%
09.05.24 $34.32 53d +3.55% +4.37% +8.68% +34.03%
07.11.23 $28.15 65d +6.22% +3.73% +9.91% +36.23%

Signal Statistics – Historical Edge

Calculated edge for CHAT: 53.37%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
10-15% 2 +11.31% +20.27% +24.99% +71.6% Hold
5-7% 1 +6.22% +3.73% +9.91% +36.23% Hold
3-5% 1 +3.55% +4.37% +8.68% +34.03% Hold
-3-1% 1 -2.69% +1.06% +4.87% +37.44% Neg
-7-5% 2 -6.03% -3.07% -3.07% -1.1% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 0% after 10 days

Signal data as of August 21, 2026

MEDIUM ALERT ● Neutral Strength: 4

Options Metrics

IV-Rank (52w)
18%
Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).
Call / Put Flow
78% / 22%
More than 60% of options premium is flowing into calls. This indicates net bullish positioning by market participants.
GEX (Mio.)
125,816.8
Positive GEX: market makers are long gamma. They buy dips and sell rallies, which suppresses volatility and keeps price in a range.
Max Pain
$88.00 · 0%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$88.00
Last traded price at signal calculation time

Gamma Exposure Timeline

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.

CHAT GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.

CHAT GEX timeline showing put/call gamma pins, max pain and flip strike

Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our options strategy guides →

Strategy Setups – You Decide

Based on current options data, 2 setups match the current conditions. Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 18% – options are historically cheap. Bullish flow (78% calls) supports buying upside premium at below-average cost.

Advantages
✓ Unlimited upside potential with maximum loss capped at the premium paid
✓ Low IV-Rank means you are buying at historically cheap levels
✓ Benefits from both a price increase and a subsequent rise in implied volatility
Risks
✕ Time decay (theta) works against the position every day
✕ Requires a meaningful move to overcome the premium paid
✕ Full premium is lost if the stock stays below the strike at expiration
▶ FAQ: Long Call
What is a Long Call?

A Long Call gives the buyer the right to purchase the underlying at the strike price before expiration. The maximum loss is limited to the premium paid. It expresses a bullish directional view and profits if the underlying rises significantly above the strike price.

Why buy calls when IV-Rank is low?

Low IV-Rank means implied volatility is historically cheap - options are priced below their typical levels. Buying premium when it is cheap reduces the hurdle rate for profitability. If IV subsequently rises, the option gains value from both the price move and the increase in implied volatility.

What is the breakeven on a Long Call?

The breakeven equals the strike price plus the premium paid. For example, a call with a $100 strike bought for $3 breaks even at $103. Above that level, the position profits dollar-for-dollar with the stock. Below the strike at expiration, the full premium is lost.

Profit Loss $0 Stock Price →
Why this fits today

IV-Rank at 18% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.

Advantages
✓ Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side
✓ Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle
✓ An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously
Risks
✕ Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid
✕ Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches
✕ If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless
▶ FAQ: Long Straddle
What is a Long Straddle?

A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.

Why buy a straddle when IV is low?

Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.

All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.

View full options flow data and historical signals on the Options Flow Analysis Overview →

About Roundhill Generative AI & Technology ETF

The fund is an actively managed exchange-traded fund (ETF) that seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing in the equity securities of exchange-listed companies globally, including those in emerging markets, which are involved in the investment theme of artificial intelligence (AI), focused on generative AI and related technologies. Under normal circumstances, the fund will invest at least 80% of its net assets, plus borrowings for investment purposes, in equity securities of AI and Technology Companies. The fund is non-diversified.

Fund Overview

MetricValue
Assets under Management$1.06 B
Expense Ratio0.75%
Dividend Yield-0.34%
Portfolio Turnover32%
YTD Return856.49%

Sector Allocation

Sector Weight
Information Technology 46.9%
Communication Services 12.1%
Consumer Discretionary 4.1%
Industrials 1%

Top 10 Holdings

Symbol Company Weight
GOOGL ALPHABET INC CLASS A 6.8%
NVDA NVIDIA CORP 6.52%
MSFT MICROSOFT CORP 4.39%
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC 4.05%
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC 3.67%
AVGO BROADCOM INC 3.11%
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC 3.05%
META META PLATFORMS INC CLASS A 2.7%
ASML ASML HOLDING NV ADR 2.63%
ANET ARISTA NETWORKS INC 2.57%

Frequently Asked Questions – Roundhill Generative AI & Technology ETF (CHAT)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.