CANE – Teucrium Sugar Fund

ETF

Commodities Focused | Inception: 2011-09-16

Quick Stats

Trend Signal
$11.21
Last Close
Official EOD price – basis for all calculations
▲ Long
Swing Trend
Moving average structure confirms uptrend – bulls in control
+22.08%
Signal Edge
Strong positive edge across 3 signals – signal has a clear statistical advantage
75.8
Trend Strength (ADX)
Strong trend – directional signals reliable
Last Trendchange Signal
08.07.26
Date
Signal entry date
$9.94
Entry Price
Closing price at signal date
13d
Days Held
Trading days since signal
-1.41%
+10d
Return after 10 trading days
-0.3%
+20d
Return after 20 trading days
+12.47%
+30d
Return after 30 trading days
+60d
Not yet reached

Trend Overview

Trend Extended – Protect Gains Composite Score: +1 / 7

CANE has had a strong run, but the trend shows the first clear signs of fatigue. After 13 days of positive momentum, strength is now declining while price sits 8.7 ATR above the 200-day moving average at $9.71. At this distance from long-term equilibrium, mean-reversion pressure tends to increase.

What to watch

A fresh entry does not present itself here. For those already in the trade, this is a logical zone to tighten stops, scale out partial positions, or at minimum recalibrate risk-reward.

Latest CANE Reports

Mar 23, 2026
Mar 09, 2026

CANE Price Chart

Technical Trend Analysis

As of 21.08.2026  ·  Close: $11.21  ·  ATR14: $1.77

Trend Extended – Protect Gains Composite Score: +1 / 7

CANE has had a strong run, but the trend shows the first clear signs of fatigue. After 13 days of positive momentum, strength is now declining while price sits 8.7 ATR above the 200-day moving average at $9.71. At this distance from long-term equilibrium, mean-reversion pressure tends to increase.

What to watch

A fresh entry does not present itself here. For those already in the trade, this is a logical zone to tighten stops, scale out partial positions, or at minimum recalibrate risk-reward.

Indicator Signal Detail
Swing Trend ▲ Long Primary directional bias
Momentum ▲ Up · 13d Strength: 1.20 – Fading
Trend Strength (ADX) 75.8 – Strong ADX38: 43.9
Volatility (HV30) 22.2% – Rising HV90: 22.2% | HV180: 21.9%
Vola Compression None Normal range
MA Structure Golden Cross ✓ Stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack
EMA21 Distance ~0 ATR – Near line EMA21: $10.45
GD200 Extension 8.7 ATR – Extended GD20: 4.4 | GD50: 7.2 | GD100: 7.9
⚠️ Momentum Fading
Upward momentum has been running 13 days but strength is declining (1.20). The trend is intact but losing energy.
💪 Trend Strength – ADX14: 75.8 (Strong)
A strong and well-defined trend. ADX38: 43.9. Trend-following has clear edge here.
🔺 Volatility Rising
HV30: 22.2% | HV90: 22.2% | HV180: 21.9%. Short-term vol is running above its 90-day average. Wider stops and reduced size may be appropriate.
⭐ Golden Cross – Long-term Bullish
Golden Cross in place. GD50 $9.95 above GD200 $9.71 by 2.45%. Long-term structure is bullish. MA stack: Fully aligned – bullish stack.
🎯 EMA21 – Reaction Zone
Price is within 0.5 ATR of the EMA21 at $10.45. Watch for a decisive bounce or break.
📏 Extended Move
8.7 ATR from the 200-day SMA. The trend may be maturing. Disciplined stop management becomes increasingly important.
📐 Key Price Levels & ATR Distance
GD20: $10.40 (4.4 ATR) | GD50: $9.95 (7.2 ATR) | GD100: $9.84 (7.9 ATR) | GD200: $9.71 (8.7 ATR). ATR14: $1.77.

Monthly Performance History

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2011 -2.95 2.83 -4.87 -2.09 -8.68
2012 -2.69 1.83 -1.69 -11.22 -8.25 0.89 5.60 -7.72 0.05 -7.78 0.23 0.17 -25.07
2013 -3.24 -3.31 -2.54 -1.43 -4.43 -0.40 -2.15 -2.41 7.05 -0.07 -3.35 -3.44 -21.46
2014 -3.17 8.47 0.79 2.15 -1.83 0.80 -5.08 -0.77 -6.54 -0.93 -4.40 -5.56 -14.53
2015 3.97 -3.54 -12.89 5.31 -5.53 0.00 -8.06 -2.75 6.97 7.81 -1.11 -0.79 -13.20
2016 -9.22 8.04 10.59 7.03 3.70 12.11 -3.37 6.15 10.37 -2.97 -7.58 2.20 31.71
2017 2.44 -5.87 -11.35 -3.86 -7.88 -4.08 7.33 -3.48 -2.57 2.31 1.76 0.00 -27.56
2018 -9.20 -2.43 -7.46 -8.03 T
4.13
-4.29 -5.49 -0.44 T
-2.50
T
11.99
-1.70 -5.97 -28.31
2019 T
8.41
1.34 -2.28 T
-2.31
-0.99 T
0.28
-1.56 -6.48 3.89 T
-2.07
T
1.97
5.56 1.74
2020 4.62 -3.79 -22.99 3.84 T
0.00
5.12 T
3.24
0.17 T
1.33
-0.16 1.44 5.14 -2.60
2021 0.88 6.13 -5.38 T
14.31
3.39 T
0.83
0.83 12.04 -0.93 -2.21 T
-4.47
2.79 34.31
2022 T
-2.93
-1.90 T
6.63
0.21 T
3.38
-5.09 -4.28 1.26 -2.25 T
-0.69
T
6.52
1.17 3.59
2023 T
10.43
1.17 7.36 19.50 -0.67 -5.20 T
3.24
3.64 3.69 1.42 -3.34 -13.62 31.86
2024 T
11.29
-3.86 5.39 T
-12.03
-4.10 T
5.35
-4.50 T
3.77
11.80 -1.37 -2.42 -8.56 -8.45
2025 -1.61 T
3.44
4.18 -9.03 0.55 -2.45 2.05 0.74 -1.94 -10.23 3.61 T
2.58
-16.41
2026 -3.55 0.87 T
12.50
-4.57 T
-4.88
0.31 T
-2.34
13.92 17.01

T A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.

Trendchange Signal History

The last 10 Trendchange signals for CANE:

Date Entry Price Days Held +10d +20d +30d +60d
08.07.26 $9.94 13d -1.41% -0.3% +12.47% +0%
05.05.26 $10.28 4d -3.4% -3.7% -3.7% -3.02%
09.03.26 $9.81 14d +6.52% +3.47% +3.47% +0%
08.12.25 $9.62 26d +0.05% -0.42% +0.73% +5.51%
10.02.25 $11.55 39d +8.31% +5.11% +7.36% -12.12%
29.08.24 $11.97 22d -2.51% +12.7% +7.52% +3.34%
24.06.24 $11.88 25d +2.8% +0.93% +0.93% +14.14%
01.04.24 $13.55 4d -4.35% -4.35% -4.35% -11.47%
25.01.24 $13.91 14d +0.3% -1.22% -1.51% -6.83%
24.07.23 $13.71 20d -4.23% -2.48% +3.97% -5.47%

Signal Statistics – Historical Edge

Calculated edge for CANE: 22.08%

Range N 10d 20d 30d 60d Signal
7-10% 3 +8.7% +8.75% +8.49% -2.44% Close
5-7% 3 +5.73% +6.82% +7.11% +23.16% Hold
3-5% 3 +4.19% +4.58% +5.28% +21.49% Hold
1-3% 7 +2.07% +1.4% +2.78% +2.08% Close
0-1% 6 +0.5% +1.08% +3.21% -0.56% Close
-1-0% 2 -0.66% -1.52% +2.63% +2.54% Neg
-3-1% 10 -1.96% +1.06% +2.52% +0.34% Neg
-5-3% 5 -4.04% -3.65% -2.36% -8.2% Neg
Exit Rules: Stoploss: -10% | Close if below 3% after 10 days
📊

No Options Data Available

Options flow data for CANE is not yet tracked. Check back after the next market session.

About Teucrium Sugar Fund

The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing under normal market conditions in Benchmark Component Futures Contracts. Under normal market conditions, the manager expects that 100% of the fund’s assets will be used to trade Sugar Futures Contracts and invest in cash and cash equivalents.

Fund Overview

MetricValue
Assets under Management$62.86 M
Expense Ratio1.00%
Dividend Yield0.00%
Portfolio Turnover0%
YTD Return656.20%
3-Year Return-6.87%
5-Year Return6.63%

Top 10 Holdings

Symbol Company Weight
FGTXX GOLDMAN SACHS FS GOVERNMENT INSTL 23.17%

Frequently Asked Questions – Teucrium Sugar Fund (CANE)

Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only. This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See our full Disclaimer.