T
A T badge marks a Trendchange signal in that month. Hover for entry price.
Trendchange Signal History
The last 7 Trendchange signals for ARM:
Date
Entry Price
Days Held
+10d
+20d
+30d
+60d
10.02.26
$125.95
45d
+1.74%
-1.46%
+7.15%
+181.52%
16.09.25
$153.85
21d
-6.21%
+11.76%
+16.1%
+5.51%
28.04.25
$112.08
47d
+3.32%
+13.47%
+23.67%
+50.5%
10.01.25
$140.49
24d
+15.68%
+15.67%
+14.11%
+1.1%
13.12.24
$151.91
2d
-10.1%
-7.8%
+0%
+0%
16.09.24
$138.40
33d
+5.19%
+9.44%
+2.9%
+30.01%
17.05.24
$110.35
44d
+9.22%
+43.08%
+43.93%
+39.92%
Signal Statistics – Historical Edge
Calculated edge for ARM: 74.38%
Range
N
10d
20d
30d
60d
Signal
15-20%
1
+15.68%
+15.67%
+14.11%
+1.1%
Close
7-10%
1
+9.22%
+43.08%
+43.93%
+39.92%
Hold
5-7%
1
+5.19%
+9.44%
+2.9%
+30.01%
Hold
3-5%
1
+3.32%
+13.47%
+23.67%
+50.5%
Hold
1-3%
1
+1.74%
-1.46%
+7.15%
+181.52%
Hold
-7-5%
1
-6.21%
+11.76%
+16.1%
+5.51%
Neg
<-10%
1
-10.1%
-7.8%
+0%
+0%
Neg
Exit Rules:
Stoploss: -10% |
Close if below 0% after 10 days
Signal data as of August 21, 2026
HIGH ALERT
● Neutral
Strength: 9.5
Options Metrics
IV-Rank (52w)
7%
Bottom 20% of the past 52 weeks – options are historically cheap. Conditions favor premium buyers (Long Call, Long Put).
Call / Put Flow
37%
/ 63%
More than 60% of options premium is flowing into puts. This indicates net bearish positioning by market participants.
GEX (Mio.)
-8,643.9
Negative GEX: market makers are short gamma. They sell dips and buy rallies, which amplifies moves and increases volatility.
GEX Flip Strike
$242.50 · 0.3%
GEX flip strike is very close to spot price. Crossing this level can trigger a regime change – from suppressed to amplified volatility.
Max Pain
$257.50 · 5.8%
Max Pain is the price at which the most options contracts expire worthless. As expiration approaches, price often gravitates toward this level due to dealer hedging flows.
Spot Price
$243.32
Last traded price at signal calculation time
Gamma Exposure Timeline
Key GEX levels, Max Pain, and unusual activity across weekly and monthly expirations, plotted around the current spot price.
Key GEX levels, Max Pain, Anchor, Ceiling and unusual activity across 14-30 DTE, plotted around the current spot price.
Put and call pins mark strikes where dealer gamma exposure concentrates. The GEX flip strike is where dealer hedging shifts from stabilizing (positive gamma) to amplifying (negative gamma) price moves. Max Pain is the strike where the most options expire worthless. Dashed markers flag unusual options activity. Learn how to use these signals in our
options strategy guides →
Strategy Setups – You Decide
Based on current options data, 2 setups match the current conditions.
Each strategy has different risk/reward characteristics – the final decision is always yours.
IV-Rank at 7% – options are historically cheap. Bearish flow (37% calls) supports buying downside premium at below-average cost.
Advantages
✓Profits from significant downside moves with limited maximum risk
✓Cheap entry when IV-Rank is historically low
✓Can be used as portfolio protection against existing long positions
Risks
✕Time decay erodes value daily – timing the entry matters
✕Needs a substantial move below the strike to be profitable
✕Full premium is lost if the stock stays above the strike
▶ FAQ: Long Put
What is a Long Put?
A Long Put gives the buyer the right to sell the underlying at the strike price before expiration. It is a bearish strategy with maximum loss limited to the premium paid. It is often used as a hedge against existing long positions.
When is buying puts most cost-effective?
Buying puts when IV-Rank is low means you are purchasing protection at below-average cost. Many traders fail to hedge when volatility is cheap and scramble to buy expensive puts when fear spikes. Buying puts proactively when IV is historically low is a disciplined risk management approach.
IV-Rank at 7% – buying both sides is cost-effective. A subsequent vol expansion or large move benefits both legs simultaneously.
Advantages
✓Profits from any large directional move without needing to pick a side
✓Buying when IV is historically cheap reduces the breakeven hurdle
✓An unexpected vol expansion benefits both the call and put simultaneously
Risks
✕Requires a significant move to recover the combined premium paid
✕Theta decay accelerates as expiration approaches
✕If the stock stays flat, both legs expire worthless
▶ FAQ: Long Straddle
What is a Long Straddle?
A Long Straddle buys a call and a put at the same strike and expiration. It profits from a large move in either direction. When IV is low, the premium cost is reduced, making the breakeven easier to reach on a directional move.
Why buy a straddle when IV is low?
Low IV means you are buying the options cheaply. If IV subsequently rises - due to an event or a directional move - both legs can gain value simultaneously, giving you a double benefit. The key is entering before the vol expansion.
All setups above are personal trade journal observations derived from options flow data. This is not financial advice. The decision to trade, and which strategy to use, is entirely yours.
Arm Holdings plc researches, develops, licenses, and markets central processing unit (CPU) intellectual property (IP), graphics processing unit IP, systems IP, compute subsystems (CSS), and associated software, tools and related services. The company provides a product portfolio, including CPU IP, GPU and neural processing unit (NPU) accelerators, system IP such as interconnects, compute platform products including pre-integrated CSSs, and development tools and software. The company serves semiconductor companies, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), cloud service providers (CSPs), and organizations developing chips for end markets such as smartphones, consumer electronics, industrial IoT, embedded systems, cloud data centers, networking, automotive, and robotics. It provides its products and services in the United States, China, Japan, Taiwan, Korea, and internationally. The company was founded in 1990 and is based in Cambridge, United Kingdom. Arm Holdings plc operates as a subsidiary of SoftBank Group Corp.
ETF Holdings
Arm Holdings plc is included in 2 ETFs tracked by StockBotty.
Frequently Asked Questions – Arm Holdings plc (ARM)
ARM is a publicly traded company listed on a major US stock exchange. The data and analysis on this page track ARM's price momentum, trend strength, and multi-period performance.
Arm Holdings plc (ARM) currently has a market capitalization of approximately $298.44B. Market cap reflects the total market value of all outstanding shares and is commonly used to classify companies as large-cap, mid-cap, or small-cap.
ARM currently reports a gross margin of 97.54%, a operating margin of 7.60%, a net margin of 20.25%. Return on equity (ROE) of 13.35% and return on assets (ROA) of 5.42%. These figures provide context for evaluating the quality and sustainability of the company's earnings.
Based on a consensus of 38 analysts, the median price target is $260.00, the most optimistic target is $500.00, the most conservative target is $125.00. Analyst targets represent 12-month price expectations and should be considered alongside momentum and trend data.
The momentum table tracks the daily rate of change of ARM's smoothed price average. A rising sequence of positive values indicates a trend that is building strength. A declining sequence may signal the move is losing energy.
All data on this page is updated once per trading day after the US market closes, using official end-of-day prices.
Disclaimer: All trade history on this page reflects the author's personal trading activity only.
This is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
See our full Disclaimer.
